Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We maintain a Neutral rating, with the fundamental view revised to overvalued (previously buy), as the share price has risen more than 6.1% since our previous report, leaving upside of just 5.7% compared to the fair value of Bt314 (based on a required return of 4.0%).</li><li>Meanwhile, the neutral tactical view remains unchanged.</li><li>The long-term profit outlook, based on projected EPS growth for 2025-27E, is relatively weak at a CAGR of 7.0%, compared to the average of major operators in ASEAN (+14.1%).</li></ul>

We maintain a Neutral rating, with the fundamental view revised to overvalued (previously buy), as the share price has risen more than 6.1% since our previous report, leaving upside of just 5.7% compared to the fair value of Bt314 (based on a required return of 4.0%).Meanwhile, the neutral tactical view remains unchanged.The long-term profit outlook, based on projected EPS growth for 2025-27E, is relatively weak at a CAGR of 7.0%, compared to the average of major operators in ASEAN (+14.1%).

Advanced Info Service - Better Profitability Led to Upbeat 1Q25 Earnings

<ul><li>We maintain our Neutral rating, as the attractiveness of the valuation based on the fundamentals (with the share price implying 12% upside to the fair value) is offset by the relatively modest average EPS growth of a 7% CAGR during 2025-27E, which is at the lower end compared to regional peers. In addition, the tactical view is neutral.</li><li>The 12-month forward fair value has been revised to Bt314 (previously Bt317), reflecting adjustments to the macroeconomic variables in the beta estimation based on our new house view.</li><li>This adjustment immaterially impacted the required return, which remains almost unchanged at 4.0%.</li></ul>

We maintain our Neutral rating, as the attractiveness of the valuation based on the fundamentals (with the share price implying 12% upside to the fair value) is offset by the relatively modest average EPS growth of a 7% CAGR during 2025-27E, which is at the lower end compared to regional peers. In addition, the tactical view is neutral.The 12-month forward fair value has been revised to Bt314 (previously Bt317), reflecting adjustments to the macroeconomic variables in the beta estimation based on our new house view.This adjustment immaterially impacted the required return, which remains almost unchanged at 4.0%.

Advanced Info Service - Continued Earnings Momentum 1Q25E

<ul><li>We reinitiate our coverage on ADVANC with a Neutral rating.</li><li>While the valuation appears attractive from a fundamental perspective, with 13% upside to its fair value, this is offset by its earnings growth outlook, which remains below the average of major regional operators.</li><li>In addition, the tactical outlook remains neutral.</li></ul>

We reinitiate our coverage on ADVANC with a Neutral rating.While the valuation appears attractive from a fundamental perspective, with 13% upside to its fair value, this is offset by its earnings growth outlook, which remains below the average of major regional operators.In addition, the tactical outlook remains neutral.

ADVANCED INFO SERVICE - Resuming Normal Growth Mode in 2025E

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>KTX expects the index to remain volatile, with the resistance levels at 1,220/1,250 points and the support at 1,170/1,150 points.</li><li>Positive factors include a return of buying in risk assets, particularly if Trump eases tariff measures — such as delaying tariffs on specific sectors like automobiles and semiconductors, and signaling a reduction in reciprocal tariffs for US trading partners making progress in negotiations (e.g., South Korea, Japan); and if China announces details of a new economic stimulus package.</li><li>On the domestic front, key factors to watch include the successful launch of the TESG Extra Fund, expected to generate Bt15-20bn in new capital inflows, and progress in Thailand’s negotiations on reciprocal tariffs with the US, along with the government’s gradual rollout of economic stimulus measures to offset trade war impacts (notably, the IMF has cut its 2025E global GDP growth forecast from 2.9% to 1.8%).</li></ul>

KTX expects the index to remain volatile, with the resistance levels at 1,220/1,250 points and the support at 1,170/1,150 points.Positive factors include a return of buying in risk assets, particularly if Trump eases tariff measures — such as delaying tariffs on specific sectors like automobiles and semiconductors, and signaling a reduction in reciprocal tariffs for US trading partners making progress in negotiations (e.g., South Korea, Japan); and if China announces details of a new economic stimulus package.On the domestic front, key factors to watch include the successful launch of the TESG Extra Fund, expected to generate Bt15-20bn in new capital inflows, and progress in Thailand’s negotiations on reciprocal tariffs with the US, along with the government’s gradual rollout of economic stimulus measures to offset trade war impacts (notably, the IMF has cut its 2025E global GDP growth forecast from 2.9% to 1.8%).

<ul><li>The SET rallied for the fourth consecutive day, supported by optimism over US-China trade negotiations, enthusiasm surrounding the Thai ESGX fund, and notably, the MPC’s decision to cut the policy rate by 0.25%.</li><li>This rate cut accelerated the index’s gains, particularly in the afternoon session.</li><li>Key stocks such as DELTA, ADVANC, SCC, GULF, and major banking shares recorded strong gains, while fund inflows helped sustain solid upward momentum.</li></ul>

The SET rallied for the fourth consecutive day, supported by optimism over US-China trade negotiations, enthusiasm surrounding the Thai ESGX fund, and notably, the MPC’s decision to cut the policy rate by 0.25%.This rate cut accelerated the index’s gains, particularly in the afternoon session.Key stocks such as DELTA, ADVANC, SCC, GULF, and major banking shares recorded strong gains, while fund inflows helped sustain solid upward momentum.

Thailand

Advanced Info Service Public Company Limited is granted a 25-year concession expiring the year 2015 by the Telephone Organization of Thailand to provide cellular phone services.  The Company provides analog mobile phone services through the Nordic Mobile Telephone (NMT900) network, and digital phone services through the Global Systems for Mobile Communication (GSM) network.

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52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB)

Advanced Info Service - Better Profitability Led to Upbeat 1Q25 Earnings

The long-term profit outlook, based on projected EPS growth for 2025-27E, is relatively weak at a CAGR of 7.0%, compared to the average of major...

Krungthai XSpring

Advanced Info Service - Continued Earnings Momentum 1Q25E

The 12-month forward fair value has been revised to Bt314 (previously Bt317), reflecting adjustments to the macroeconomic variables in the beta...

Krungthai XSpring

ADVANCED INFO SERVICE - Resuming Normal Growth Mode in 2025E

While the valuation appears attractive from a fundamental perspective, with 13% upside to its fair value, this is offset by its earnings growth...

Krungthai XSpring

Monthly Report: May 2025

Positive factors include a return of buying in risk assets, particularly if Trump eases tariff measures — such as delaying tariffs on specific...

Krungthai XSpring

Technical Analysis - MAY 2, 2025

Key stocks such as DELTA, ADVANC, SCC, GULF, and major banking shares recorded strong gains, while fund inflows helped sustain solid upward momentum.

Krungthai XSpring

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