Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Headquartered in Singapore, SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia) is an investment bank focusing on emerging growth companies across Asia, providing a full suite of investment banking services, including corporate finance, mergers and acquisitions advisory, equity capital markets, institutional equities sales and trading and equities research.

SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Mapletree Logistics Trust (MLT SP) to purchase 17 properties in China, Vietnam and Japan for ~S$1.4bn; DPU accretive by +2.2%</li><li>Ascendas India Trust (AIT SP) completes acquisition of Building Q1 in Aurum Q Parc at Navi Mumbai</li><li>Digital Realty seeks to list data centre-focused Digital Core REIT; FY22-23 dividend yield forecasts of 4.75-5%</li></ul>

Mapletree Logistics Trust (MLT SP) to purchase 17 properties in China, Vietnam and Japan for ~S$1.4bn; DPU accretive by +2.2%Ascendas India Trust (AIT SP) completes acquisition of Building Q1 in Aurum Q Parc at Navi MumbaiDigital Realty seeks to list data centre-focused Digital Core REIT; FY22-23 dividend yield forecasts of 4.75-5%

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (23Nov21) - MLT Acquires CN, VN, JPN Logistics for ~S$1.4bn

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

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<p>Singaporean property play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singhaiyi-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19307:1" rel="noopener">SingHaiyi (SHG SP)</a> has announced a <a href="https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/Offer_Announcement.ashx?App=Announcement&amp;FileID=689919" target="_blank" rel="noopener">voluntary conditional cash Offer</a> from Gordan and Celine Tang, who control 75.56% of shares out. </p>
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<p>The Offer Price of S$0.117/share is an 8.3% premium to last close and 0.78x P/NAV. The acceptance condition is 90%, including the Tang's stake, although the Tang's reserve the right to reduce this to 50%. Family members with 2.81% have given an irrecoverable to tender into the Offer taking the accumulated holding to 78.37%. Save for the acceptance condition, the Offer is unconditional in all other respects.</p>
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<p>This appears a relatively listless Offer premium, however, it pitches SingHaiyi around a multi-year high. The Offer has not been declared final.</p>
<p>The entire construct is reminiscent of the Offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guoco-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5290:1" rel="noopener">Guoco Group Ltd (53 HK)</a> for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gl-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2540:1" rel="noopener">GL Ltd (GLL SP)</a> - <em><a href="https://skr.ma/SdJKh" target="_blank" rel="noopener">GL Limited (GLL SP): Privatisation Offer Renews Interest In Guoco</a></em> - which was successfully completed after terms were bumped. </p>
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<p>As always, more below the fold.</p>
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Singaporean property play SingHaiyi (SHG SP) has announced a voluntary conditional cash Offer from Gordan and Celine Tang, who control 75.56% of shares out. 


The Offer Price of S$0.117/share is an 8.3% premium to last close and 0.78x P/NAV. The acceptance condition is 90%, including the Tang's stake, although the Tang's reserve the right to reduce this to 50%. Family members with 2.81% have given an irrecoverable to tender into the Offer taking the accumulated holding to 78.37%. Save for the acceptance condition, the Offer is unconditional in all other respects.


This appears a relatively listless Offer premium, however, it pitches SingHaiyi around a multi-year high. The Offer has not been declared final.
The entire construct is reminiscent of the Offer from Guoco Group Ltd (53 HK) for GL Ltd (GLL SP) - GL Limited (GLL SP): Privatisation Offer Renews Interest In Guoco - which was successfully completed after terms were bumped. 


As always, more below the fold.


SingHaiyi Group (SHG SP): Tang's Conditional Offer

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/capitaland-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:55" rel="noopener">Capitaland (CAPL SP)</a> 3Q21 Business Updates – A good start with key metrics growing robustly</h3><ul><li>9M21 revenue came in at S$1.6bn with Fee income Related Business (FRB) making up 40% of total revenue and Real-estate investment business making up the remaining 60%. 9M21 FRB rose by 19% YoY to S$656m, with fund management rising by 35% YoY to S$292m, followed by property management rising by 2.6% YoY to S$236m and lodging management rising by 23% to S$128m, respectively     </li></ul>

SingaporeCapitaland (CAPL SP) 3Q21 Business Updates – A good start with key metrics growing robustly9M21 revenue came in at S$1.6bn with Fee income Related Business (FRB) making up 40% of total revenue and Real-estate investment business making up the remaining 60%. 9M21 FRB rose by 19% YoY to S$656m, with fund management rising by 35% YoY to S$292m, followed by property management rising by 2.6% YoY to S$236m and lodging management rising by 23% to S$128m, respectively     

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

Lendlease Global Commercial REIT / Equity Bottom-Up

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    <div class='content-caption'>Top performer SREIT and property</div>
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<p>In the year to date, Singapore-listed Reits and property trusts averaged total returns of close to 11 per cent. The 10 best-performing trusts were mostly mid-caps, which averaged 32 per cent total returns and own assets across industrial, retail, healthcare, office and hospitality sub-segments.</p>

<p>Among the 10 best performers, seven were recent inclusions into the FTSE EPRA Nareit Global Developed Index following the September review.<br><br>
The five trusts which received the highest amount of net institutional inflows this year were mid-cap REITs (data as of 28 October): ARA LOGOS Logistics Trust (+S$79 million), OUE Commercial REIT (+S$39 million), Starhill Global REIT (+S$36 million), Lendlease Global Commercial REIT (+S$27 million) and ESR-REIT (+S$26 million).<br><br>
In the month of October, the sector averaged 3 per cent in total returns. Retail investors net bought the sector with net inflows of S$158 million while institutional investors net sold S$195 million (data as at Oct 28).<br><br>
Four of the top five performers over the month were trusts with exposure to the retail or hospitality segments - Dasin Retail Trust (21 per cent), CDL Hospitality Trusts (15 per cent), Ascott Residence Trust (11 per cent), Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust (8 per cent) and Keppel REIT (7 per cent). Three of them reported before market opened last Friday.<br><br>
CDLHT reported year-on-year (yoy) growth of 34.8 per cent in net property income for Q3 2021 attributable to the ongoing recovery from negative effects of the pandemic, broader distribution of vaccines as well as easing of travel restrictions which resulted in more accommodation demand.<br><br>
LMIRT declared Q3 2021 distribution per unit (DPU) of 0.09 cents, up 28.6 per cent yoy. The trust's rental revenue and gross revenue for the period grew 16.2 per cent and 7.0 per cent yoy respectively, due to income from the newly acquired Lippo Mall Puri, which contributed S$8.2 million to rental revenue and S$10.3 million to gross revenue for the quarter.</p>

<p>Keppel Reit reported 20.8 per cent yoy growth in distributable income from operations for the nine months of 2021, due mainly to contributions from Victoria Police Centre in Melbourne, Pinnacle Office Park in Sydney and Keppel Bay Tower in Singapore. The Reit noted that despite the pandemic, portfolio leasing activities remained positive with new leases and expansions seen from diverse industry sectors.</p>

<p>Aside from the three trusts above, more than half of the 40 S-Reits have also released financial results or business updates, before market opened last Friday.</p>

<p>Most of the trusts reported financial and operating metrics which were in line with analysts' estimates, with some exceeding expectations.</p>

<p>Among the trusts that have reported, 14 of them declared DPUs for the latest quarter or half year period. These trusts, on average, saw a 20 per cent year-on-year growth in declared DPUs. Some reasons provided for the increase in DPUs across these trusts include new acquisitions which boosted revenues, lower rental rebates which reduced expense and gradual reopening across the globe.<br><br><strong><em>REIT Watch is a weekly column on The Business Times,<a href="https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/retail-and-hospitality-sector-s-reits-outperform-in-october"> read </a>the original version.</em></strong></p>
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    Top performer SREIT and property


In the year to date, Singapore-listed Reits and property trusts averaged total returns of close to 11 per cent. The 10 best-performing trusts were mostly mid-caps, which averaged 32 per cent total returns and own assets across industrial, retail, healthcare, office and hospitality sub-segments.

Among the 10 best performers, seven were recent inclusions into the FTSE EPRA Nareit Global Developed Index following the September review.  
The five trusts which received the highest amount of net institutional inflows this year were mid-cap REITs (data as of 28 October): ARA LOGOS Logistics Trust (+S$79 million), OUE Commercial REIT (+S$39 million), Starhill Global REIT (+S$36 million), Lendlease Global Commercial REIT (+S$27 million) and ESR-REIT (+S$26 million).  
In the month of October, the sector averaged 3 per cent in total returns. Retail investors net bought the sector with net inflows of S$158 million while institutional investors net sold S$195 million (data as at Oct 28).  
Four of the top five performers over the month were trusts with exposure to the retail or hospitality segments - Dasin Retail Trust (21 per cent), CDL Hospitality Trusts (15 per cent), Ascott Residence Trust (11 per cent), Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust (8 per cent) and Keppel REIT (7 per cent). Three of them reported before market opened last Friday.  
CDLHT reported year-on-year (yoy) growth of 34.8 per cent in net property income for Q3 2021 attributable to the ongoing recovery from negative effects of the pandemic, broader distribution of vaccines as well as easing of travel restrictions which resulted in more accommodation demand.  
LMIRT declared Q3 2021 distribution per unit (DPU) of 0.09 cents, up 28.6 per cent yoy. The trust's rental revenue and gross revenue for the period grew 16.2 per cent and 7.0 per cent yoy respectively, due to income from the newly acquired Lippo Mall Puri, which contributed S$8.2 million to rental revenue and S$10.3 million to gross revenue for the quarter.

Keppel Reit reported 20.8 per cent yoy growth in distributable income from operations for the nine months of 2021, due mainly to contributions from Victoria Police Centre in Melbourne, Pinnacle Office Park in Sydney and Keppel Bay Tower in Singapore. The Reit noted that despite the pandemic, portfolio leasing activities remained positive with new leases and expansions seen from diverse industry sectors.

Aside from the three trusts above, more than half of the 40 S-Reits have also released financial results or business updates, before market opened last Friday.

Most of the trusts reported financial and operating metrics which were in line with analysts' estimates, with some exceeding expectations.

Among the trusts that have reported, 14 of them declared DPUs for the latest quarter or half year period. These trusts, on average, saw a 20 per cent year-on-year growth in declared DPUs. Some reasons provided for the increase in DPUs across these trusts include new acquisitions which boosted revenues, lower rental rebates which reduced expense and gradual reopening across the globe.  REIT Watch is a weekly column on The Business Times, read the original version.



REIT Watch - Retail and hospitality sector S-Reits outperform in October

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suntec-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:151:1" rel="noopener">Suntec REIT (SUN SP)</a> reported its 3Q21 business updates pre-market on 22 Oct 21. In this note, we will analyze its performance for the period, current capital management, and share our thoughts on its outlook.</p>

Suntec REIT (SUN SP) reported its 3Q21 business updates pre-market on 22 Oct 21. In this note, we will analyze its performance for the period, current capital management, and share our thoughts on its outlook.

Suntec REIT 3Q21 - Higher Topline and Gearing, Only Difference Is the Former Was One-Off

Singapore

OUE Commercial Real Estate Investment Trust (“OUE C-REIT”) is one of the largest diversified Singapore REITs (“S-REITs”) with total assets of S$6.0 billion as at 31 December 2022. With seven properties across the commercial and hospitality segments in Singapore and Shanghai, the property portfolio comprises more than 2.1 million square feet of prime office and retail space, and 1,643 upper upscale hotel rooms.

OUE C-REIT invests in income-producing real estate used primarily for commercial purposes (including real estate used primarily for office and/or retail purposes) in financial and business hubs, hospitality and/or hospitality-related purposes, as well as real estate-related assets.

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OUE Commercial REIT (OUECT SP)

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (23Nov21) - MLT Acquires CN, VN, JPN Logistics for ~S$1.4bn

MLT acquires CN, VN, JPN logistics for ~S$1.4bn; AIT completes Navi Mumbai acq; Digital Core REIT offers 4.75-5% yield; FLI resi buoys 3Q21...

SCCM Asia Research

SingHaiyi Group (SHG SP): Tang's Conditional Offer

The Offer has not been declared final. I think there's probably enough here to get the deal over the line. I would not chase this much through...

David Blennerhassett

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (3Nov21)

CLI 3Q21 results a good start; OUECT declining QoQ reversions; MUST green shoots of recovery; HOBEE buys Melbourne site; ALLHC expands Cavite...

SCCM Asia Research

REIT Watch - Retail and hospitality sector S-Reits outperform in October

In the year to date, Singapore-listed Reits and property trusts averaged total returns of close to 11 per cent. The 10...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Suntec REIT 3Q21 - Higher Topline and Gearing, Only Difference Is the Former Was One-Off

Suntec REIT (SUN SP) reported its 3Q21 business updates pre-market on 22 Oct 21. In this note, we will analyze its performance, current capital...

Clarence Chu

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