SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

Lendlease Global Commercial REIT / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>CICT's DPU rose 3.5% to 5.62 cents, with leverage and debt costs reduced to 37.9% and 3.4%.  </li><li>FCT's committed occupancy reached 99.9%, with tenant sales up 4.4% and leverage increased to 40.4%.  </li><li>Suntec REIT's Gross Revenue and NPI grew 3.3% and 5.6%, with DPU increasing 3.7% to 3.155 cents.</li></ul>

CICT's DPU rose 3.5% to 5.62 cents, with leverage and debt costs reduced to 37.9% and 3.4%.  FCT's committed occupancy reached 99.9%, with tenant sales up 4.4% and leverage increased to 40.4%.  Suntec REIT's Gross Revenue and NPI grew 3.3% and 5.6%, with DPU increasing 3.7% to 3.155 cents.

REIT Watch - Retail S-REITs see lower cost of debt and positive rental reversions as retail sales improve

Invest, Trade and Save in Singapore, Syfe

Syfe

Invest, Trade and Save in Singapore

Syfe is an investment platform offering Managed Portfolios, Brokerage services, and Cash Management solutions to help people build wealth for a better future.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The interest rate cycle in Singapore typically correlates with the Fed.  According to June’s FOMC Summary of Economic Projections, based on median estimates, the Fed is expected to cut interest rates by 50bps (in two rate cuts) for the rest of 2025, with 25bps more (in one rate cut) in 2026.  </li><li>Based on latest futures from CME Group, the market is pricing in a 89% probability of rate cut during the Fed's next meeting in September.</li><li>The current easing cycle is a clear sector tailwind. The steep decline in 3M Singapore’s SORA from 3.03% in January to 1.85% in August, will benefit the sector in multiple perspectives: reduced funding cost, more stable cap rates to support asset valuations, as well as more attractive REIT valuation on the back of yield spreads.</li></ul>

The interest rate cycle in Singapore typically correlates with the Fed.  According to June’s FOMC Summary of Economic Projections, based on median estimates, the Fed is expected to cut interest rates by 50bps (in two rate cuts) for the rest of 2025, with 25bps more (in one rate cut) in 2026.  Based on latest futures from CME Group, the market is pricing in a 89% probability of rate cut during the Fed's next meeting in September.The current easing cycle is a clear sector tailwind. The steep decline in 3M Singapore’s SORA from 3.03% in January to 1.85% in August, will benefit the sector in multiple perspectives: reduced funding cost, more stable cap rates to support asset valuations, as well as more attractive REIT valuation on the back of yield spreads.

Singapore Office REITs: Interest Rate Easing Cycle Provides Earnings and DPU Upside

<ul>
<li>During Q2 2025, the S-REIT sector benefited from declining interest rates and improved sentiment, which enhanced the relative appeal of REIT dividend yields versus safer assets.</li>
<li>The three-month compounded Singapore Overnight Rate Average (SORA) fell from 3.02% in January to about 1.85% by end-July, reflecting easing domestic borrowing costs. While the US Federal Reserve has yet to cut its policy rate in the first half, market expectations of rate relief later in 2025 grew.</li>
<li>This backdrop supported S-REIT valuations, as investors anticipated lower financing costs and improved sentiment for yield-oriented investments.</li>
</ul>


During Q2 2025, the S-REIT sector benefited from declining interest rates and improved sentiment, which enhanced the relative appeal of REIT dividend yields versus safer assets.
The three-month compounded Singapore Overnight Rate Average (SORA) fell from 3.02% in January to about 1.85% by end-July, reflecting easing domestic borrowing costs. While the US Federal Reserve has yet to cut its policy rate in the first half, market expectations of rate relief later in 2025 grew.
This backdrop supported S-REIT valuations, as investors anticipated lower financing costs and improved sentiment for yield-oriented investments.


Syfe S-REITs Tracker: Q2 2025 - S-REITs Continue to Deliver Attractive Yields Amid Falling Rates

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Top S-REIT performers in H1 2025 include FHT, CICT, First REIT, FCT, and Parkway Life REIT with returns of 10.0-21.4%.</li><li>Retail investors were net buyers with S$400 million inflow, while institutions were net sellers with S$500 million outflow.</li><li>Forward dividend yield for FTSE ST REIT Index was 6.4%, with a nearly 4% yield spread to 10-year Singapore Government Bonds.</li></ul>

Top S-REIT performers in H1 2025 include FHT, CICT, First REIT, FCT, and Parkway Life REIT with returns of 10.0-21.4%.Retail investors were net buyers with S$400 million inflow, while institutions were net sellers with S$500 million outflow.Forward dividend yield for FTSE ST REIT Index was 6.4%, with a nearly 4% yield spread to 10-year Singapore Government Bonds.

REIT Watch - Best performing S-REITs post double digit total returns in H1

<ul><li>Six S-REITs with Singapore office exposure reported positive rental reversions, with Keppel REIT achieving 10.6% growth.</li><li>Occupancy rates remained high, with Suntec REIT at 98.7% and LREIT's Jem office fully occupied.</li><li>Limited new office supply in Singapore's CBD from 2025-2027 is expected to support rental stability.</li></ul>

Six S-REITs with Singapore office exposure reported positive rental reversions, with Keppel REIT achieving 10.6% growth.Occupancy rates remained high, with Suntec REIT at 98.7% and LREIT's Jem office fully occupied.Limited new office supply in Singapore's CBD from 2025-2027 is expected to support rental stability.

REIT Watch - S-REITs with Singapore office assets post resilient 1Q 2025 amid positive rent reversions and high occupancy

Singapore

OUE Real Estate Investment Trust (“OUE REIT”) is one of the largest diversified Singapore REITs (“S-REITs”) with total assets of S$6.0 billion as at 31 December 2022. With seven properties across the commercial and hospitality segments in Singapore and Shanghai, the property portfolio comprises more than 2.1 million square feet of prime office and retail space, and 1,643 upper upscale hotel rooms.

OUE REIT invests in income-producing real estate used primarily for commercial purposes (including real estate used primarily for office and/or retail purposes) in financial and business hubs, hospitality and/or hospitality-related purposes, as well as real estate-related assets.

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OUE REIT (OUECT SP)

REIT Watch - Retail S-REITs see lower cost of debt and positive rental reversions as retail sales improve

CICT's DPU rose 3.5% to 5.62 cents, with leverage and debt costs reduced to 37.9% and 3.4%. FCT's committed occupancy reached 99.9%, with tenant...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Office REITs: Interest Rate Easing Cycle Provides Earnings and DPU Upside

The interest rate cycle in Singapore typically correlates with the Fed. According to June’s FOMC Summary of Economic Projections, based on median...

Syfe

Syfe S-REITs Tracker: Q2 2025 - S-REITs Continue to Deliver Attractive Yields Amid Falling Rates

During Q2 2025, the S-REIT sector benefited from declining interest rates and improved sentiment, which enhanced the relative appeal of REIT...

Syfe

REIT Watch - Best performing S-REITs post double digit total returns in H1

Top S-REIT performers in H1 2025 include FHT, CICT, First REIT, FCT, and Parkway Life REIT with returns of 10.0-21.4%. Retail investors were net...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

REIT Watch - S-REITs with Singapore office assets post resilient 1Q 2025 amid positive rent reversions and high occupancy

Six S-REITs with Singapore office exposure reported positive rental reversions, with Keppel REIT achieving 10.6% growth. Occupancy rates remained...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

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