SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

§  Ascendas REIT has recently replaced CapitaLand Mall Trust as Singapore's largest capitalised REIT – and has been the second-best performing REIT in the YTD with an 11.9% total return.§  The capitalisation of Singapore’s REIT Sector has almost doubled over the past five years. Singapore’s REIT Sector also maintains a competitive edge with higher average yields and lower average gearing ratios than the combined REIT Sector of Japan, Australia and Hong Kong. §  The NikkoAM - StraitsTrading Asia ex Japan REIT ETF  which is expected to include up to 70% weightage in Singapore REITs is scheduled to list on SGX on 29 March 2017. Ascendas REIT and CapitaLand Mall Trust are expected to maintain relatively large weightings in the ETF.

§  Ascendas REIT has recently replaced CapitaLand Mall Trust as Singapore's largest capitalised REIT – and has been the second-best performing REIT in the YTD with an 11.9% total return.§  The capitalisation of Singapore’s REIT Sector has almost doubled over the past five years. Singapore’s REIT Sector also maintains a competitive edge with higher average yields and lower average gearing ratios than the combined REIT Sector of Japan, Australia and Hong Kong. §  The NikkoAM - StraitsTrading Asia ex Japan REIT ETF  which is expected to include up to 70% weightage in Singapore REITs is scheduled to list on SGX on 29 March 2017. Ascendas REIT and CapitaLand Mall Trust are expected to maintain relatively large weightings in the ETF. 

Ascendas REIT Is Now Singapore's Largest Capitalised REIT

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

Smartkarma

Smartkarma unites the fragmented investment industry, connecting institutional investors, independent research providers, and corporates within a single network.

Research Reinvented

For this week's ASEAN Weekly, created in the midst of Jakarta "Macet", I interviewed Insight Provider and Thai guru <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/766" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:766">Athaporn Arayasantiparb</a> to canvass his views on Thailand and his top picks at the moment. His views on the overall economy suggest there may be too much optimism around on a domestic recovery and higher oil prices may eventually stymie growth for the Thai consumer. He likes selected banks, higher end property developers, energy, construction and tourism. Please read on for a…

For this week's ASEAN Weekly, created in the midst of Jakarta "Macet", I interviewed Insight Provider and Thai guru Athaporn Arayasantiparb to canvass his views on Thailand and his top picks at the moment. His views on the overall economy suggest there may be too much optimism around on a domestic recovery and higher oil prices may eventually stymie growth for the Thai consumer. He likes selected banks, higher end property developers, energy, construction and tourism. Please read on for a…

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma (Part 2) - Macet=Traffic Jam

Asian property research and analysis, DimSum Property

Kang Ho Chong

Asian property research and analysis

DimSum Property

Established in Singapore, DimSum Property is a private fund-raising platform with an investment focus across the entire real estate value chain, designed to connect real estate players to investors, built on proprietary and well-researched content, and driven by fin-tech innovations.

Our research articles are written by the DimSum Property Research Team led by co-founder Kang-Ho Chong.

Bid to win, or bid to try your luck...Developers often enter into land bids with different strategies. They may aggressively “bid to win”, especially when their landbank has been depleted. Other times, they may choose to bid low, just to try their luck, hoping that no one else bids above them. Very often, these strategies will lead to different outcomes for their profit margins.<ul><li>Land is the most basic and important ingredient in a development project. In Asia, as land that is zoned for property development becomes more scarce, we see developers competing more and more aggressively for  land parcels, hence driving up land prices.</li><li>Given its relatively transparent and public data-rich land bidding system, we have chosen the Singapore land market as a case study to analyse and understand developers’ behaviours when they bid for land.  </li><li>Our model (between 2007-2016) suggests that since 2016, developers operating in Singapore have been finding it hard to win land parcels, due to greater competition for land. Combined with the pressing need to replenish their depleting landbank, many developers strategized to go all out to win in their land bids.</li><li>These aggressive bids have led to higher land costs and lower profit margins for developers, especially in an environment of falling home prices. We estimate net margins fell to ~15% in 2015, down from 22-36% in 2009-12. We expect them to continue lowering to single digits in 2016-17E.</li><li>Even in the face of a potential margin squeeze, many developers are still jumping in to bid for land, as they seek to fulfil “non-profit driven” strategies such as the need to restock, deploy cash, gain market share, or protect the value of a nearby land which they previously acquired.</li></ul>

Bid to win, or bid to try your luck...Developers often enter into land bids with different strategies. They may aggressively “bid to win”, especially when their landbank has been depleted. Other times, they may choose to bid low, just to try their luck, hoping that no one else bids above them. Very often, these strategies will lead to different outcomes for their profit margins.Land is the most basic and important ingredient in a development project. In Asia, as land that is zoned for property development becomes more scarce, we see developers competing more and more aggressively for  land parcels, hence driving up land prices.Given its relatively transparent and public data-rich land bidding system, we have chosen the Singapore land market as a case study to analyse and understand developers’ behaviours when they bid for land.  Our model (between 2007-2016) suggests that since 2016, developers operating in Singapore have been finding it hard to win land parcels, due to greater competition for land. Combined with the pressing need to replenish their depleting landbank, many developers strategized to go all out to win in their land bids.These aggressive bids have led to higher land costs and lower profit margins for developers, especially in an environment of falling home prices. We estimate net margins fell to ~15% in 2015, down from 22-36% in 2009-12. We expect them to continue lowering to single digits in 2016-17E.Even in the face of a potential margin squeeze, many developers are still jumping in to bid for land, as they seek to fulfil “non-profit driven” strategies such as the need to restock, deploy cash, gain market share, or protect the value of a nearby land which they previously acquired.

Land Market – Bid to Win, or Bid to Try Your Luck?

In this week's ASEAN Weekly, we have <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/1208" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:1208">Nicolas Van Broekhoven</a> publishing his inaugural Insight on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/19384" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19384:1">Micro Mechanics (Holdings) Ltd (MMH SP)</a>, which looks like an interesting cash rich value play. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/48" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:48">Jason Tan</a> highlights Singapore's monetary dilemma, where it will now need to rely more on fiscal stimulus to lift the economy. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/35" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:35">Manu Bhaskaran</a> applauds Ahok's victory in the first round of the Jakarta Governor's election but he may need President Jokowi's help to win out next time round.<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/827" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:827">Control Risks</a> writes…

In this week's ASEAN Weekly, we have Nicolas Van Broekhoven publishing his inaugural Insight on Micro Mechanics (Holdings) Ltd (MMH SP), which looks like an interesting cash rich value play. Jason Tan highlights Singapore's monetary dilemma, where it will now need to rely more on fiscal stimulus to lift the economy. Manu Bhaskaran applauds Ahok's victory in the first round of the Jakarta Governor's election but he may need President Jokowi's help to win out next time round.Control Risks writes…

The Week That Was in Asean@Smartkarma - Policy Shifts, Taxing Diesel and Micro Lending

<ul>
<li>SGX’s Real Estate Developers and Operators have returned 12% YTD, outperforming the STI’s +8%. Despite the rally, the price-to-book ratio of the Sector is still trading near one standard deviation below its historical mean.</li>
<li>
Potential drivers for the Singapore property market exist on both the supply and demand front. The biggest Real Estate Developer stocks with substantial Singapore exposure include UOL Group, United Industrial Corporation, Wheelock Properties, Wing Tai Holdings and Bukit…</li>
</ul>


SGX’s Real Estate Developers and Operators have returned 12% YTD, outperforming the STI’s +8%. Despite the rally, the price-to-book ratio of the Sector is still trading near one standard deviation below its historical mean.

Potential drivers for the Singapore property market exist on both the supply and demand front. The biggest Real Estate Developer stocks with substantial Singapore exposure include UOL Group, United Industrial Corporation, Wheelock Properties, Wing Tai Holdings and Bukit…


Real Estate Sector Outperformed in the Year to Date

Philippines

Ayala Land is the largest property developer in the Philippines with a track record in developing large-scale, integrated, mixed-use, and sustainable estates. It offers a balanced and complementary mix of residential developments, shopping centers, offices, hotels and resorts, construction, property management and strategic investments.

Robinsons Land Corporation invests in and develops real estate. The Company develops residential housing and commercial real estate and operates shopping malls and hotels.

Megaworld Corporation, through its subsidiaries, operates in the real estate and hotel businesses as well as provides marketing services. The Company provides a wide array of product from condominiums to subdivisions developments.

8990 Holdings Inc. is a low-cost mass housing developer in the Philippines. The Company offers several housing units/models from which potential homebuyers may choose from, including single-storey detached houses with lofts, single-storey attached row-houses, 2-storey townhouses, and medium-rise building condominiums.

Filinvest Development Corporation engages in the real estate; banking; farming, milling, and trading of sugar; hotel; and energy businesses in the Philippines. Its Real Estate segment acquires land, and plans and develops integrated residential and commercial communities; develops and sells residential and commercial lots; develops and leases retail and office space and land; constructs and sells residential housing and condominiums, and office buildings; develops farm estates, industrial, and business parks; operates cinema and malls; and provides property management services. The company�s Banking and Financial Services segment provides commercial banking operations comprising savings and time deposits in pesos and foreign currencies; commercial mortgage and agribusiness loans; payment services, fund transfers, international trade settlements, and remittances from overseas workers; trust and investment services, such as portfolio management, unit funds, trust administration, and estate planning; and safety deposit facilities. Its Sugar Operations segment operates agricultural lands for planting and cultivating farm products; and a sugar central for the purpose of milling or converting sugar canes to centrifugal or refined sugar. The company�s Hotel Operations segment engages in the operation of hotels, including management of resorts, villas, service apartment, and other services for guests. Its Power Generation Operations segment is involved in the establishment, construction, operation, and supply of power to offtakers. The Other Operation segment engages in the operation, management, maintenance, and rehabilitation of waterworks and sewerage system. The company was incorporated in 1973 and is based in Taguig, the Philippines. Filinvest Development Corporation operates as a subsidiary of A.L. Gotianun, Inc.

DoubleDragon Properties Corp offers real estate development services in the Philippines.  The Company focuses on commercial, residential, and public-private partnership projects.

Sta. Lucia Land, Inc. primarily engages in the real estate development activities in the Philippines. It operates through two segments, Leasing and Residential Development. The company develops and sells residential subdivisions, golf courses and communities, resorts, condominiums, sports and country club estates, and commercial properties. It is also involved in leasing of mall. The company was formerly known as Zipporah Realty Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Sta. Lucia Land, Inc. in 2007. The company was incorporated in 1966 and is headquartered in Cainta, the Philippines. Sta. Lucia Land, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Sta. Lucia Realty & Development, Inc.

Vista Land & Lifescapes, Inc. is an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries develops and sells residential subdivisions and housing units. Vista Land operates in the Philippines.

Filinvest Land, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a real estate developer in the Philippines. The company operates through Real Estate Sales and Leasing segments. It develops and sells affordable and middle-market residential lots and housing units to lower and middle-income markets. The company also develops themed residential projects with a leisure component, such as farm estates and developments anchored by sports and resort clubs. In addition, it has investment properties comprising Festival Supermall, a shopping complex consisting of approximately 700 retail stores and outlets, 10 theater movie multiplexs, and 2 themed amusement centers, as well as exhibit, trade, and music halls; PBCom Tower located in Makati City; and office buildings in Northgate Cyberzone, a 10-hectare business process outsourcing office park. The company was formerly known as Citation Homes, Inc. and changed its name to Filinvest Land, Inc. in July 1993. The company was incorporated in 1989 and is headquartered in Mandaluyong, the Philippines. Filinvest Land, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Filinvest Development Corp.

Shang Properties, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in property investment and development, real estate management, leasing, and mall and carpark operations in the Philippines. The company, formerly known as Edsa Properties Holdings Inc., was incorporated in 1987 and is based in Mandaluyong, the Philippines.

The Wharf (Holdings) Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops and invests in real estate properties. The Company also owns and manages hotels and operates logistics business. In addition, the Wharf operates telecommunication business, cable television, and Internet-related businesses.

DAIWA HOUSE INDUSTRY CO., LTD. designs and builds residential, commercial, and institutional buildings.  The Company constructs single-family houses, collective housings, condominiums, stores, office buildings, factories, and hospitals. DAIWA HOUSE INDUSTRY also operates real estate businesses. The Company, through its subsidiaries, manages hotels and golf country clubs.

Henderson Land Development Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops, invests in, and manages properties. The Company also provides project management, construction, and finance services. In addition, Henderson Land Development operates department stores, hotels, and infrastructure business.

China Overseas Land & Investment Limited provides real estate services. The Company develops, manages, and invests in commercial properties. China Overseas Land & Investment serves customers globally.

China Overseas Land & Investment (688 HK)

Mitsubishi Estate Company Ltd. invests in real estate properties in Japan.  The Company leases, manages, and develops commercial buildings in central Tokyo. Mitsubishi Estate also develops and sells residential properties and parking lots and manages recreational facilities including golf courses and tennis clubs.

Sumitomo Realty & Development Co., Ltd. develops, manages, and sells houses and condominiums.  The Company also develops and manages real estates in overseas. Sumitomo Realty & Development undertakes infrastructure projects, manages real estate properties, and provides financing services to its customers.  The Company operates fitness clubs and restaurants as well.

Godrej Properties, Ltd. is a real estate development company.

Swire Properties Limited develops and manages commercial, retail, and residential properties. The Company's investment portfolio includes office and retail premises, and serviced apartments and other residential accommodation.

Longfor Properties Co. Ltd. operates in the property development, property investment and property management businesses in China.

Poly Real Estate Group Co., Ltd. mainly develops and sells residential homes. The company is also in the business of leasing and rental of real estates, and property management.

Poly Real Estate Group Co., Ltd (600048 CH)

SM Prime Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, is engaged in residential property, shopping malls, offices, hotels and convention centers development.

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Sm Prime Holdings (SMPH PM)

Ascendas REIT Is Now Singapore's Largest Capitalised REIT

§ Ascendas REIT has recently replaced CapitaLand Mall Trust as Singapore's largest capitalised REIT – and has been the second-best performing REIT...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma (Part 2) - Macet=Traffic Jam

For this week's ASEAN Weekly, created in the midst of Jakarta "Macet", I interviewed Insight Provider and Thai guru Athaporn Arayasantiparb to...

Angus Mackintosh

Land Market – Bid to Win, or Bid to Try Your Luck?

Bid to win, or bid to try your luck...Developers often enter into land bids with different strategies. They may aggressively “bid to win”,...

DimSum Property

The Week That Was in Asean@Smartkarma - Policy Shifts, Taxing Diesel and Micro Lending

In this week's ASEAN Weekly, we have Nicolas Van Broekhoven publishing his inaugural Insight on Micro Mechanics (Holdings) Ltd (MMH SP), which...

Angus Mackintosh

Real Estate Sector Outperformed in the Year to Date

SGX’s Real Estate Developers and Operators have returned 12% YTD, outperforming the STI’s +8%. Despite the rally, the price-to-book ratio of the...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

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