HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongfang-electric-corporation-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1251:1" rel="noopener">Dongfang Electric Corporation (1072 HK)</a> (DEC) has been rallying on the back of its hydrogen energy angle and the pumped storage story. Given the company's experience and leadership in hydro generating equipment, we think it is well positioned to capture the gigantic market opportunity from the government's push to increase pumped storage capacity in the country by potentially a CAGR of 16% between 2020 and 2035. </p><p>DEC's edges are its expertise and technical competence - it has completed complicated projects like the world's largest pumped storage (Fengning, Hebei), highest operating water heads in China (Changlongshan, Zhejiang) and largest single unit size of generation (Xianju, Zhejiang). Currently, it has pipeline in Fujian, Xinjiang, Chongqing and Henan among others. Despite the recent spike in share price, valuations are still not too demanding at 12.7x PER for FY21 and 11.4x for FY22. We even see likeliness for earnings upgrade after 1H21 result announcement set for 27-Aug.</p>

Dongfang Electric Corporation (1072 HK) (DEC) has been rallying on the back of its hydrogen energy angle and the pumped storage story. Given the company's experience and leadership in hydro generating equipment, we think it is well positioned to capture the gigantic market opportunity from the government's push to increase pumped storage capacity in the country by potentially a CAGR of 16% between 2020 and 2035. DEC's edges are its expertise and technical competence - it has completed complicated projects like the world's largest pumped storage (Fengning, Hebei), highest operating water heads in China (Changlongshan, Zhejiang) and largest single unit size of generation (Xianju, Zhejiang). Currently, it has pipeline in Fujian, Xinjiang, Chongqing and Henan among others. Despite the recent spike in share price, valuations are still not too demanding at 12.7x PER for FY21 and 11.4x for FY22. We even see likeliness for earnings upgrade after 1H21 result announcement set for 27-Aug.

Dongfang Electric (1072 HK): Pumped Additionally by Pumped Storage Story

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 105.7% as of Jul 12th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -2.5ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, energy, consumer discretionary and offset by real estate, utilities, information technology.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Wuapptec, China Telecom, Remegen, Hua Hong Semi, Flat Glass .</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 105.7% as of Jul 12th.
The average A-H premium changed by -2.5ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, energy, consumer discretionary and offset by real estate, utilities, information technology.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Wuapptec, China Telecom, Remegen, Hua Hong Semi, Flat Glass .


A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 12th):Wuapptec, China Telecom, Remegen, Hua Hong Semi, Flat Glass

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market cap and liquidity from the Shanghai and Shenzhen Exchanges. CSI 500 is the next 500.</li>
<li>The reference period for the June 2024 review is now complete. There are some changes to the expected ADDs/DELs list since I published my last insight (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-leaderboard-csi-300-500-jun-24-shorts-down-11-vs-index-since-mid-feb-change-the-hedge" target="_blank" rel="noopener">link</a>) ~3 weeks ago.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at our final expectations for index changes in June 2024.</li>
</ul>


CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market cap and liquidity from the Shanghai and Shenzhen Exchanges. CSI 500 is the next 500.
The reference period for the June 2024 review is now complete. There are some changes to the expected ADDs/DELs list since I published my last insight (link) ~3 weeks ago.
In this insight, we take a look at our final expectations for index changes in June 2024.


Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Jun 24: Final Expectations; US$3.4bn One-Way; New Trade Idea

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 132.9% as of Apr 5th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 5.3ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, health care, real estate.</li>
<li>We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Baiyunshan, Jiangxi Copper, ZTE, Fosun Pharma, Air China, Joinn Lab.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 132.9% as of Apr 5th.
The average A-H premium changed by 5.3ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, health care, real estate.
We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Baiyunshan, Jiangxi Copper, ZTE, Fosun Pharma, Air China, Joinn Lab.


A-H Premium Weekly (Apr 5th): 21 Stocks at 1Y High

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongfang-electric-corporation-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1251:1" rel="noopener">Dongfang Electric (1072 HK)</a> reached another record year with net profit surging 24.2% in FY23. Favourable product mix has benefited gross margin which expanded 0.8pp YoY.</li>
<li>Record new orders of Rmb86.5bn (+31.9% YoY) have been signed and there is a recovery in momentum in 4Q23. Its end-FY23 backlog should be enough to cover 3.1x FY24F revenue.</li>
<li>DEC is well-positioned to capture the demand for hydrogen energy and power storage. With 19.3% 3-year earnings CAGR, its 5.1x PER and 8.2% dividend yield are attractive.</li>
</ul>



Dongfang Electric (1072 HK) reached another record year with net profit surging 24.2% in FY23. Favourable product mix has benefited gross margin which expanded 0.8pp YoY.
Record new orders of Rmb86.5bn (+31.9% YoY) have been signed and there is a recovery in momentum in 4Q23. Its end-FY23 backlog should be enough to cover 3.1x FY24F revenue.
DEC is well-positioned to capture the demand for hydrogen energy and power storage. With 19.3% 3-year earnings CAGR, its 5.1x PER and 8.2% dividend yield are attractive.


Dongfang Electric (1072 HK): Good Profit, Record Orders

China

Shanghai Zhixin Electric Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets electric equipment, including bus line slots, switch boxes, transformers, electric cables, and other related products.

Shanghai Zhixin Electric Co, Ltd. (600517 CH)

Guangdong HuaSheng Electrical Appliances Company Limited develops, produces and sells wiring components for household appliances. The Company's main products include air-conditioning components and power input components for household appliances.

Guangdong Huasheng Elctrcl Aplncs (002670 CH)

Xi'an Qiyuan Mechanical and Electrical Equipment Company Limited designs, develops, manufactures, sells and provides services for transformer equipment and components. The Company's main products includes iron core cutting equipment, routing equipment, transformer tank equipment, insulator processing equipment, tooling equipments and radiators etc.

Xian Qiyuan Mchncl And Elctcl Eqp (300140 CH)

Qingdao TGOOD Electric Co Ltd designs and manufactures electrical transformers and provides related technical services.  The Company also provides system solutions for the electrical transformer substations.

Fangda Carbon New Material Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets graphite electrodes, carbon bricks, carbon paste, and advanced carbon materials.

Fangda Carbon New Material Co, Ltd. (600516 CH)

Shenzhen Woer Heat-Shrinkable Material Co., Ltd. researches, manufactures and markets new application electronic & electric products and equipments based on nuclear technology. The main products include heat shrinkable tube, heat shrinkable bus bar tubing, heat shrinkable power cable accessories, cold shrinkable power cable accessories, Cable Branch Box, Ring-net Switch Cupboard.

Shenzhen Woer Heat Shrinkable Mat (002130 CH)

JL MAG Rare-Earth Co., Ltd. manufactures rare earth materials. The Company produces NdFeB magnet materials and other rare earth products. JL MAG Rare-Earth supplies its products to wind power, new energy vehicles, inverter air conditioners, energy saving elevators, and other fields.

Henan Pinggao Electric Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets electrical equipment. The Company produces high pressure plates, high voltage equipment, circuit breakers, switches, insulated switchgears, and other products. Henan Pinggao Electric also operates import and export businesses.

Xi'an Shaangu Power Co., Ltd. provides solutions and services to turbomachinery systems.  The Company's products include turbine compressers, industrial process energy recovery systems, and turbo blower units.

Titan Wind Energy (Suzhou) Company Limited produces and sells wind towers and wind tower parts.

LS Corp is a holding company, which operated subsidiaries including LS Industrial Systems, LS Cable, LS-Nikko Copper and LS Mtron.

Teco Electric & Machinery Co., Ltd. manufactures household appliances, industrial motors, and smart cards.  The Company produces air conditioners, refrigerators, washing machines, televisions, dryers, single-phase motors, three-phase motors, inverters, rotary compressors, stepping motors, gear motors, and generators.

V-Guard Industries Limited produces and manufacturers stabilizers, pumps, cables, fans, and electrical and solar water heaters.

Amara Raja Batteries Limited specializes in the manufacture of industrial and automotive batteries. The Company manufactures industrial batteries primarily for the telecom and UPS sectors. Amara Raja manufactures automotive batteries for the original equipment manufacturers and the aftermarket.

Finolex Cables Ltd. manufactures a wide range of telecommunication and electrical cables. The Company's products include flexible cables for appliances and industrial use electrification, winding wires, automobile cables, welding cables, and cables for submersible pumps. The Company also manufactures jelly filled phone cables, high frequency/radio frequency cables and PVC Sheets.

L&F Co., Ltd. develops and manufactures battery materials. The Company produces and sells cathode active materials, anode materials, electrolyte, separator, and other products. L&F markets its products throughout Korea.

Triveni Turbine Ltd. manufactures industrial steam turbines. The Company offers customized Condensing and Back Pressure steam turbines for industry segments as varied and diverse as Biomass IPP, Municipal Solid Waste IPP, District Heating, Palm Oil, Paper, Sugar, Textiles, Metals, Cement, and Oil and Gas.

AZZ Incorporated manufactures specialty electrical equipment and components for the global power generation, power transmission, and distribution markets.  The Company also provides hot dip galvanizing services to the steel fabrication industry across the United States.

Nordex SE develops, produces, installs, and maintains electricity-generating wind turbines.  The Company also designs and produces blades and control systems.

Inox Wind Ltd. provides wind power solutions. The Company manufactures and distributes wind turbine generator components such as nacelles, hubs, rotor blade sets, and tubular towers, as well as offers wind resource assessment, site acquisition, infrastructure development, and operations and maintenance of wind power projects. Inox Wind serves customers in India.

Shanghai Electric Group Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, sells, and services a wide range of products and services in the power equipment, electromechanical equipment, transportation equipment and environmental system industries.

Shanghai Electric Group Company (2727 HK)

Price Gauge
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Shanghai Electric Group Company (2727 HK)

Dongfang Electric (1072 HK): Pumped Additionally by Pumped Storage Story

Dongfang Electric has interesting angles of being a play on China's hydrogen energy and pumped storage development push. Despite recent rally, the...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 12th):Wuapptec, China Telecom, Remegen, Hua Hong Semi, Flat Glass

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Wuapptec, China Telecom, Remegen, Hua Hong Semi, Flat Glass .

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/500 Jun 24: Final Expectations; US$3.4bn One-Way; New Trade Idea

The official changes is expected at the end of this month. I expect the names with clear positive flow expectations to outperform those with clear...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Apr 5th): 21 Stocks at 1Y High

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Baiyunshan, Jiangxi Copper, ZTE, Fosun Pharma, Air China,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Dongfang Electric (1072 HK): Good Profit, Record Orders

Dongfang Electric reports record profits and new orders in FY23, positioning well for growth in hydrogen energy and power storage. Order backlog...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Dongfang Electric (1072 HK): Pumped Additionally by Pumped Storage Story

Dongfang Electric has interesting angles of being a play on China's hydrogen energy and pumped storage development push. Despite recent rally, the...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 12th):Wuapptec, China Telecom, Remegen, Hua Hong Semi, Flat Glass

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Wuapptec, China Telecom, Remegen, Hua Hong Semi, Flat Glass .

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Jun 24: Final Expectations; US$3.4bn One-Way; New Trade Idea

The official changes is expected at the end of this month. I expect the names with clear positive flow expectations to outperform those with clear...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Apr 5th): 21 Stocks at 1Y High

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Baiyunshan, Jiangxi Copper, ZTE, Fosun Pharma, Air China,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Dongfang Electric (1072 HK): Good Profit, Record Orders

​Dongfang Electric reports record profits and new orders in FY23, positioning well for growth in hydrogen energy and power storage. Order backlog...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/500 Jun 24: Final Expectations; US$3.4bn One-Way; New Trade Idea

Dongfang Electric reports record profits and new orders in FY23, positioning well for growth in hydrogen energy and power storage. Order backlog...