Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Net of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hkt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:874:1" rel="noopener">HKT Ltd (6823 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pccw-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:873:1" rel="noopener">PCCW Ltd (8 HK)</a> recorded negative EBITDA of HK$378mn in the 1H23.</li>
<li>This is the largest six-month negative EBITDA figure since the EBITDA loss of HK$427mn in 2H22, and the third largest in the past decade. </li>
<li>PCCWs current discount to NAV is at an unsustainable 5%.</li>
</ul>


Net of HKT Ltd (6823 HK), PCCW Ltd (8 HK) recorded negative EBITDA of HK$378mn in the 1H23.
This is the largest six-month negative EBITDA figure since the EBITDA loss of HK$427mn in 2H22, and the third largest in the past decade. 
PCCWs current discount to NAV is at an unsustainable 5%.


<ul>
<li>RMB dual counter started trading. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-wall-motor-co-ltd-cb302af9-398c-4d2d-ba39-023e43287eef" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:128:1" rel="noopener">Great Wall Motor (2333 HK)</a>'s A-shares trade at 3x the multiple. THAT is a big discount to harvest. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-feihe-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24413:1" rel="noopener">China Feihe (6186 HK)</a>'s CFO exits an indirect stake of 6.38% around Feihe's all-time low. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ecopro-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19029:1" rel="noopener">EcoPro Co Ltd (086520 KS)</a> has swatted aside analyst downgrades and the indictment of its chairman to touch an all-time high</li>
</ul>


RMB dual counter started trading. Great Wall Motor (2333 HK)'s A-shares trade at 3x the multiple. THAT is a big discount to harvest. 

China Feihe (6186 HK)'s CFO exits an indirect stake of 6.38% around Feihe's all-time low. 

EcoPro Co Ltd (086520 KS) has swatted aside analyst downgrades and the indictment of its chairman to touch an all-time high


Last Week in Event SPACE: Great Wall Motor, China Feihe, EcoPro, PCCW

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pccw-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:873:1" rel="noopener">PCCW Ltd (8 HK)</a> is selling an initial 26.1% equity stake in its streaming platform Viu, to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vivendi-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21076:1" rel="noopener">Vivendi SA (VIV FP)</a>'s Canal+, for US$200mn.</li>
<li>Via a staggered investment, Canal+ can increase its equity to US$300mn. In addition, a further investment, at Canal+'s option, could result in increasing its stake in Viu to 51%.  </li>
<li>Elsewhere, PCCW's 18% discount to NAV is the narrowest in over two years.</li>
</ul>



PCCW Ltd (8 HK) is selling an initial 26.1% equity stake in its streaming platform Viu, to Vivendi SA (VIV FP)'s Canal+, for US$200mn.
Via a staggered investment, Canal+ can increase its equity to US$300mn. In addition, a further investment, at Canal+'s option, could result in increasing its stake in Viu to 51%.  
Elsewhere, PCCW's 18% discount to NAV is the narrowest in over two years.


<ul>
<li>Big picture: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-post-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:359:1" rel="noopener">Japan Post (6178 JP)</a> selling 29% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-post-bank-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:838:1" rel="noopener">Japan Post Bank (7182 JP)</a> is a Very Big Offering at ¥1.236trln. 80/20 dom/international. A TOUGH sell. 1.089bn shares is 4x float. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/downer-edi-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12350:1" rel="noopener">Downer EDI (DOW AU)</a>'s CEO resigned ahead of announcing accounting irregularities last December. The CFO resigned this week after Downer announced another profit downgrade. Now the chairman is exiting. </li>
<li>Hong Kong broadband play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hkbn-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:289:1" rel="noopener">HKBN Ltd (1310 HK)</a>said it has been approached by I Squares' HGC. No pricing announced, but talks continue. </li>
</ul>


Big picture: Japan Post (6178 JP) selling 29% of Japan Post Bank (7182 JP) is a Very Big Offering at ¥1.236trln. 80/20 dom/international. A TOUGH sell. 1.089bn shares is 4x float. 

Downer EDI (DOW AU)'s CEO resigned ahead of announcing accounting irregularities last December. The CFO resigned this week after Downer announced another profit downgrade. Now the chairman is exiting. 
Hong Kong broadband play HKBN Ltd (1310 HK)said it has been approached by I Squares' HGC. No pricing announced, but talks continue. 


Last Week in Event SPACE: Japan Post/Japan Post Bank, Downer, HKBN, Golden Energy

<ul>
<li>
Reportedly (Bloomberg) Hong Kong broadband play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hkbn-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:289:1" rel="noopener">HKBN Ltd (1310 HK)</a> has received a takeover offer from  I Square's HGC Global Communications. </li>
<li>HKBN's shares were halted in the late afternoon trading session yesterday after gaining 11.6%. The reason stated for the suspension was "possible inside information", not pursuant to the Takeovers Code. </li>
<li>Last May, Bloomberg reported that KKR, PAG, and Stonepeak - amongst others - were considering bids for HKBN. The market cap at the time was US$1.6bn versus US$934mn now.</li>
</ul>



Reportedly (Bloomberg) Hong Kong broadband play HKBN Ltd (1310 HK) has received a takeover offer from  I Square's HGC Global Communications. 
HKBN's shares were halted in the late afternoon trading session yesterday after gaining 11.6%. The reason stated for the suspension was "possible inside information", not pursuant to the Takeovers Code. 
Last May, Bloomberg reported that KKR, PAG, and Stonepeak - amongst others - were considering bids for HKBN. The market cap at the time was US$1.6bn versus US$934mn now.


HKBN Ltd (1310 HK) Mulls I Square's HGC Offer

Hong Kong

HKT Trust and HKT Ltd trade together as a stapled security.  HKT Ltd provides telecommunications services.  The Company's business provides telecommunications products and services including local telephony services, local data and broadband services, international telecommunications services, and other services.

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HKT Ltd (6823 HK)

PCCW's Stub Ops Spill More Red Ink

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Last Week in Event SPACE: Great Wall Motor, China Feihe, EcoPro, PCCW

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Vivendi Acquires A Stake In PCCW's Viu

An 18% discount to NAV is tight, relative to history, for this holding company structure. If you had set up the stub, I'd be unwinding here, with...

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Last Week in Event SPACE: Japan Post/Japan Post Bank, Downer, HKBN, Golden Energy

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

HKBN Ltd (1310 HK) Mulls I Square's HGC Offer

Pricing here is not compelling. This is a steady business and a decent yield. HKBN could attract interest from PRC companies or government-backed...

David Blennerhassett

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