Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Equity Bottom-Up

China Resources Beer Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>A liquid proxy for China's recovering consumption (with no technology regulation risk)</li>
<li>A quality red chip company at a very reasonable valuation</li>
<li>Growing sales and margins as its premiumisation strategy is executed</li>
</ul>


A liquid proxy for China's recovering consumption (with no technology regulation risk)
A quality red chip company at a very reasonable valuation
Growing sales and margins as its premiumisation strategy is executed


Cheers! Raise a Glass to China Resources Beer (0291.HK)

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/budweiser-brewing-co-apac-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28077:1" rel="noopener">Budweiser Brewing APAC (1876 HK)</a> has seen investors run for the hills over the last year. The halving of the stock price could mean deletion from passive portfolios.</li>
<li>Other Hong Kong listed brewers, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-beer-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:399:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Beer Holdings (291 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tsingtao-brewery-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1296:1" rel="noopener">Tsingtao Brewery Co Ltd H (168 HK)</a> have been beaten down too and have underperformed their Asian peers.</li>
<li>The deletion from passive portfolios could provide a buying opportunity in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/budweiser-brewing-co-apac-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28077:1" rel="noopener">Budweiser Brewing APAC (1876 HK)</a> at the end of February (or earlier if the stock drops due to positioning).</li>
</ul>



Budweiser Brewing APAC (1876 HK) has seen investors run for the hills over the last year. The halving of the stock price could mean deletion from passive portfolios.
Other Hong Kong listed brewers, China Resources Beer Holdings (291 HK) and Tsingtao Brewery Co Ltd H (168 HK) have been beaten down too and have underperformed their Asian peers.
The deletion from passive portfolios could provide a buying opportunity in Budweiser Brewing APAC (1876 HK) at the end of February (or earlier if the stock drops due to positioning).


Bud APAC (1876 HK): Nursing a Hangover; Now Comes a Passive Overhang

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/the-keepers-holdings-inc" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Keepers Holdings (KEEPR PM)</a> reported Q3 2024 revenues/profits of 7.5%/14.5% YoY. Based on current trends, they guided an optimistic outlook for Q4 2024, the high-season quarter.</li>
<li>The company also announced the 100% acquisition of beer distributor Booze On-Line Inc., having exclusive distribution rights to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anheuser-busch-inbev-sa-adr" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Anheuser-Busch InBev's</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anheuser-busch-inbev-sa-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:864:1" rel="noopener"> (BUD US)</a> beer portfolio in the Philippines.  </li>
<li>Trading at 9.2x FY24 PE, net cash, &gt;20% ROE, and a 5% dividend yield based on a 50% payout is a structural play on the premiumization of alcohol consumption. </li>
</ul>



Keepers Holdings (KEEPR PM) reported Q3 2024 revenues/profits of 7.5%/14.5% YoY. Based on current trends, they guided an optimistic outlook for Q4 2024, the high-season quarter.
The company also announced the 100% acquisition of beer distributor Booze On-Line Inc., having exclusive distribution rights to Anheuser-Busch InBev's (BUD US) beer portfolio in the Philippines.  
Trading at 9.2x FY24 PE, net cash, &gt;20% ROE, and a 5% dividend yield based on a 50% payout is a structural play on the premiumization of alcohol consumption. 


Keepers Holdings (KEEPR PM) Q3 2024 Concall: Exciting Acquisition and Q4 Season Up Ahead

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Allied Blenders & Distillers / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/allied-blenders-distillers" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36090:1" rel="noopener">Allied Blenders &amp; Distillers (9844250Z IN)</a> is looking to raise about US$180m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>ABD is the largest Indian-owned Indian-made foreign liquor (IMFL) company and the third largest IMFL company in India, in terms of annual sales volumes between FY14 and FY22.</li>
<li>In our previous notes, we talked about various aspects of the company. In this note, we talk about its RHP updates and our thoughts on valuation.</li>
</ul>



Allied Blenders &amp; Distillers (9844250Z IN) is looking to raise about US$180m in its upcoming India IPO.
ABD is the largest Indian-owned Indian-made foreign liquor (IMFL) company and the third largest IMFL company in India, in terms of annual sales volumes between FY14 and FY22.
In our previous notes, we talked about various aspects of the company. In this note, we talk about its RHP updates and our thoughts on valuation.


Allied Blenders and Distillers - RHP Updates & Thoughts on Valuation

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/allied-blenders-distillers" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36090:1" rel="noopener">Allied Blenders &amp; Distillers (9844250Z IN)</a> is looking to raise about US$180m in its upcoming India IPO.  </li>
<li>ABD is the largest Indian-owned Indian-made foreign liquor (IMFL) company and the third largest IMFL company in India, in terms of annual sales volumes between FY14 and FY22.</li>
<li>In this note, we provide a summary of its refiling updates, undertake a quick peer comparison and share our initial thoughts on valuation.</li>
</ul>



Allied Blenders &amp; Distillers (9844250Z IN) is looking to raise about US$180m in its upcoming India IPO.  
ABD is the largest Indian-owned Indian-made foreign liquor (IMFL) company and the third largest IMFL company in India, in terms of annual sales volumes between FY14 and FY22.
In this note, we provide a summary of its refiling updates, undertake a quick peer comparison and share our initial thoughts on valuation.


Allied Blenders and Distillers Pre-IPO - Refiling Updates and Initial Thoughts on Valuation

United States

Anheuser-Busch InBev NV brews beer.  The Company manufactures ale, lager, stout, and bitter beer.  Anheuser-Busch InBev owns brands that are both nationally and internationally prominent.  The Company has production plants in Europe, the Americas, and Asia.

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Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD US)

Cheers! Raise a Glass to China Resources Beer (0291.HK)

A quality Chinese red chip company at a reasonable valuation, growing sales and margins due to its premium strategy. A play on recovering Chinese...

Rikki Malik

Bud APAC (1876 HK): Nursing a Hangover; Now Comes a Passive Overhang

Bud APAC is up since the Insight was published and is near the upper end of the downward sloping channel. With Hong Kong closed Monday and Tuesday...

Brian Freitas

Keepers Holdings (KEEPR PM) Q3 2024 Concall: Exciting Acquisition and Q4 Season Up Ahead

We summarize Keepers Holdings (KEEPR PM) Q3 2024 results and the mgmt conference call. The stock is exciting at 9.2x PE, net cash, >20% ROE, 5%...

Sameer Taneja

Allied Blenders and Distillers - RHP Updates & Thoughts on Valuation

Allied Blenders & Distillers (9844250Z IN) is looking to raise about US$180m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about its RHP updates...

Ethan Aw

Allied Blenders and Distillers Pre-IPO - Refiling Updates and Initial Thoughts on Valuation

Allied Blenders & Distillers (9844250Z IN) is looking to raise about US$180m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we share our initial thoughts...

Ethan Aw

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