Asia focused research insights & advisory, Asia Advisors

Vinay Patel

Asia focused research insights & advisory

Asia Advisors

Asia Advisors is an independent financial advisory and research firm working closely with corporates and institutions to provide consulting solutions & research insights. We provide advisory services including capital solutions, business strategy and investment insights.
Firm is headed by Vinay Patel who has close to two decades of experience in research and business development at large, international investment banks such as HSBC and ICICI Securities. Led research efforts in areas of Macroeconomics, Asset Allocation & Investment Strategy for close to a decade in global & domestic research teams. As a business head in Singapore, advised top global investment management firms & Portfolio managers in Asia for India related investments.
Vinay was recently joined by Swapnil Manish, an investment banker and ex-ecommerce entrepreneur with more than 12 years of experience. Swapnil was the TMT banker at BNP Paribas and was part of several large M&A and ECM transactions (Bharti-Zain, Bharti Infratel IPO, Schneider-Zicom among several others). He's also had a stint as an ecommerce entrepreneur having launched & led Mumbai's first online grocery player.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

The Indian Government has taken a significant step in curbing the parallel economy by removing Rs500 and Rs1000 notes from circulation and plans to replace it with new notes. People having high-value notes will need to deposit it in a bank and exchange it for new notes until end December'16 ( and in the process, any large volume of cash deposits if undertaken will attract the tax authorities). High-value currency notes have always served as convenient storage points of undeclared and/or illegal…

The Indian Government has taken a significant step in curbing the parallel economy by removing Rs500 and Rs1000 notes from circulation and plans to replace it with new notes. People having high-value notes will need to deposit it in a bank and exchange it for new notes until end December'16 ( and in the process, any large volume of cash deposits if undertaken will attract the tax authorities). High-value currency notes have always served as convenient storage points of undeclared and/or illegal…

Demonetisation in India: High-Value Currency De-Notified; Con.Discretionary to Slow; Rate Cut Likely

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

Galaxy Entertainment Group / Technical Analysis

Galaxy Entertainment shows come clear risk and target chart points but offset by the failure for daily indicators to confirm recent upside action/new highs.Basing from early 2015 essentially saw a truncated wave 5 terminal point that failed to register a fresh low in January 2016. This bias carried through into a break above trendline resistance on February 18, 2016, followed by a successful support re-test and subsequent rise to test and clear MT pivot resistance outlined at the 30 level. The…

Galaxy Entertainment shows come clear risk and target chart points but offset by the failure for daily indicators to confirm recent upside action/new highs.Basing from early 2015 essentially saw a truncated wave 5 terminal point that failed to register a fresh low in January 2016. This bias carried through into a break above trendline resistance on February 18, 2016, followed by a successful support re-test and subsequent rise to test and clear MT pivot resistance outlined at the 30 level. The…

Galaxy Buy off of Base Pivot with a Tight Risk Point

APAC Investment Strategy, Animal Spirits Report, Quiddity Advisors

Paul M. Kitney, PhD

APAC Investment Strategy, Animal Spirits Report

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Equity Bottom-Up

Galaxy Entertainment Group / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Galaxy Q3 results have beaten estimates and will soon announce plans for Cotai Strip development</li>
<li>Macau tourism and gaming is a core theme led by: <ul>
<li>Recovery in inbound tourist numbers</li>
<li>Rebounding property prices boosting consumer discretionary spending</li>
<li>Overdone pessimism on capacity digestion</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/015/360/original/animal_spirits3.png?1477459523" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="15360"></figure><ul><li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/806" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:806:1">Galaxy Entertainment Group Limited (27 HK)</a> is our top pick for Greater China, outlined in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/animal-spirits-report-greater-china-view-china-goldilocks-hk-revival-taiwan-bond-proxy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:6041">ANIMAL SPIRITS™ REPORT: Greater China View - China “Goldilocks”, HK “Revival” &amp; Taiwan “Bond-Proxy”</a>, based on our theme…</li></ul>


Galaxy Q3 results have beaten estimates and will soon announce plans for Cotai Strip development
Macau tourism and gaming is a core theme led by: 
Recovery in inbound tourist numbers
Rebounding property prices boosting consumer discretionary spending
Overdone pessimism on capacity digestion



Galaxy Entertainment Group Limited (27 HK) is our top pick for Greater China, outlined in ANIMAL SPIRITS™ REPORT: Greater China View - China “Goldilocks”, HK “Revival” &amp; Taiwan “Bond-Proxy”, based on our theme…

ANIMAL SPIRITS™ UPDATE: Galaxy Entertainment (27 HK) - Q3 Surprises - Our Core Macau Theme Play

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

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§  The Consumer Staples Sector is made up of businesses less sensitive to economic cycles. In comparison, the performance of businesses in the Consumer Discretionary Sector tend to be more impacted by these cycles.
 
§  Globally, the MSCI World Consumer Staples Index has generated a 2.7% dividend inclusive YTD return while regionally, the MSCI AC Asia Pacific Consumer Staples Index generated a 5.7% dividend inclusive YTD return. This compared to a 1.3% decline and 0.8% gain for the…
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§  The Consumer Staples Sector is made up of businesses less sensitive to economic cycles. In comparison, the performance of businesses in the Consumer Discretionary Sector tend to be more impacted by these cycles.
 
§  Globally, the MSCI World Consumer Staples Index has generated a 2.7% dividend inclusive YTD return while regionally, the MSCI AC Asia Pacific Consumer Staples Index generated a 5.7% dividend inclusive YTD return. This compared to a 1.3% decline and 0.8% gain for the…




Consumer Staples Offered Investor Returns Amid Lower Growth Outlooks

Leading Independent Investment Research, Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar

Leading Independent Investment Research

Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. We offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors. 

Morningstar provides data on more than 500,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 16 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries, with more than $180 billion in assets under advisement or management as of June 30, 2015. We have operations in 27 countries.

Download the Morningstar Fact Sheet : http://corporate.morningstar.com/US/documents/MarketingFactSheets/AboutMorningstarFactsheet.pdf

Eighteen sales and marketing executives at Crown Resorts were reported as being detained in China, likely due to illegally soliciting Chinese to gamble in overseas casinos. Our contacts in the industry have already seen immediate termination of marketing efforts in mainland China by Macau casinos, which imply lower near-term gaming revenue in our view. A loss of higher-margin direct VIP business could also mean lower overall VIP margin for the Macau casinos, as junket VIP margins are one to two percentage points lower compared with direct VIP margins. Near-term sentiment will be unfavorable for the Macau gaming stocks. However, we gauge that marketing activities in mainland China will resurface as the dust settles, though casinos will take a lower-profile approach.To reflect the short-term impact, if we reduced 2016 full-year VIP, mass and slot revenue by 7.5% for our Macau gaming coverage, there would still be no impact on fair value estimates. Therefore, we maintain our long-term forecast and long-term-based, DCF-generated fair value estimates. Our narrow moat ratings also remain unchanged.Analyst: Chelsey Tam

Eighteen sales and marketing executives at Crown Resorts were reported as being detained in China, likely due to illegally soliciting Chinese to gamble in overseas casinos. Our contacts in the industry have already seen immediate termination of marketing efforts in mainland China by Macau casinos, which imply lower near-term gaming revenue in our view. A loss of higher-margin direct VIP business could also mean lower overall VIP margin for the Macau casinos, as junket VIP margins are one to two percentage points lower compared with direct VIP margins. Near-term sentiment will be unfavorable for the Macau gaming stocks. However, we gauge that marketing activities in mainland China will resurface as the dust settles, though casinos will take a lower-profile approach.To reflect the short-term impact, if we reduced 2016 full-year VIP, mass and slot revenue by 7.5% for our Macau gaming coverage, there would still be no impact on fair value estimates. Therefore, we maintain our long-term forecast and long-term-based, DCF-generated fair value estimates. Our narrow moat ratings also remain unchanged.Analyst: Chelsey Tam

Negative Near-Term Read-Throughs from the Detainment of Crown Resorts' Marketing Executives in China

Hong Kong

Sands China Ltd. develops, owns, and operates integrated resorts, retail malls, and casinos. The Company also manages convention and exhibition halls in Macau.

MGM China Holdings Ltd. owns a luxury resort, hotel, and casino located in Macau. The Company is also exploring other casino gaming development opportunities in Macau.

Wynn Macau, Limited owns and operates Wynn Macau, a destination casino resort currently featuring hotel rooms and suites, a casino, casual and fine dining restaurants, retail space and leisure amenities.

SJM Holdings Limited offers amusement and recreation services.  The Company operates casinos, hotels, and other tourism-related facilities in Macau.

Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited develops, owns, and operates casinos. The Company offers casino gaming, restaurants, bars, and resorts facilities. Melco Resorts & Entertainment serves customers in Asia.

Shangri-La Asia Limited, through its subsidiaries, owns and operates hotels, and provides management and related services.  The Company also leases offices, commercial, residential and exhibition hall space.

The Hongkong and Shanghai Hotels, Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates and manages hotels, food, beverage outlets, and clubs. The Company also invests in properties.

Melco International Development Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates investment banking, financial services, technology, fine-dining, leisure and tourism, property investment, and investment businesses. The Company carries on financial service businesses under the VC CFN and VC CEF brand names.  Melco also customizes and sells trading and back office systems under the iAsia name.

China Travel International Investment Hong Kong Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates tourist attractions, golf clubs, hotels, and other travel related activities.  The Company also provides passenger transportation as well as freight forwarding and cargo services.

China Travel International Investment Hong Kong (308 HK)

China Travel International Investment Hong Kong

Miramar Hotel and Investment Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, invests in, develops, and sells properties. The Company also owns and manages hotels, operates food and beverage business, and provides travel services.

Genting Singapore Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops resort properties as well as operates casinos. The Company has casinos and integrated resorts in different parts of the world, including Australia, the Americas, Malaysia, the Philippines and the United Kingdom.

Wynn Resorts, Limited owns and operates luxury hotels and destination casino resorts in Las Vegas, Nevada, Macau, and China. The Company offers amenities such as guest rooms and suites, restaurants, golf course, and an on-site luxury automotive dealership.

Las Vegas Sands Corp. owns and operates casino resorts and convention centers. The Company operates in the United States, Macau and Singapore. Las Vegas Sand Corp's casinos offer a wide range of gaming activities and entertainment as well as overnight accommodations, while its expo centers host a wide range of entertainment shows, expositions, and other activities.

Hyatt Hotels Corp. is a global hospitality company. The Company manages, franchises, owns, and develops branded hotels, resorts and residential and vacation ownership properties around the world.

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. operates a fleet of passenger cruise ships. The Company offers an array of cruise itineraries as well as theme cruises, while markets its services through various distribution channels including retail and travel agents, consumer direct, international sales, as well as incentive sales. Norwegian Cruise extends its services worldwide.

Wingstop Inc. owns and operates restaurants. The Company specializes in cooked-to-order, hand-sauced, and tossed chicken wings. Wingstop serves customers worldwide.

Indian Hotels Company Limited operates The Taj Group of hotels.  The Company owns or maintains long term leases/licenses for hotels in India, in addition to International hotels.  The Group's hotels are divided into three groups: Luxury, Business, and, Leisure.

Domino's Pizza, Inc. operates a network of Company-owned and franchise Domino's Pizza stores, located throughout the United States and in other countries.  The Company also operates regional dough manufacturing and distribution centers in the contiguous United States and outside the United States.

Carnival Corporation owns and operates cruise ships offering cruises to all major vacation destinations including North America, the United Kingdom, Germany, Southern  Europe, South America and Asia/Pacific. The Company, through a subsidiary also owns and operates hotels and lodges.  Dually-listed company with CCL LN.

Scientific Games Corporation provides services, systems, and products to both the pari-mutuel gaming and instant ticket lottery industries.  The Company operates an instant ticket and online lottery products, systems, and services business.  Scientific also operates wagering and communications, venue management, and telecommunications products businesses.

Galaxy Entertainment Group Limited, through its subsidiary, operates casino, hotel and other entertainment facilities in Macau. The company also manufactures sells and distributes construction materials.

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Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK)

Demonetisation in India: High-Value Currency De-Notified; Con.Discretionary to Slow; Rate Cut Likely

The Indian Government has taken a significant step in curbing the parallel economy by removing Rs500 and Rs1000 notes from circulation and plans to...

Asia Advisors

Galaxy Buy off of Base Pivot with a Tight Risk Point

Galaxy Entertainment shows come clear risk and target chart points but offset by the failure for daily indicators to confirm recent upside...

Thomas Schroeder

ANIMAL SPIRITS™ UPDATE: Galaxy Entertainment (27 HK) - Q3 Surprises - Our Core Macau Theme Play

Galaxy Q3 results have beaten estimates and will soon announce plans for Cotai Strip development Macau tourism and gaming is a core theme led by:...

Paul M. Kitney, PhD

Consumer Staples Offered Investor Returns Amid Lower Growth Outlooks

§ The Consumer Staples Sector is made up of businesses less sensitive to economic cycles. In comparison, the performance of businesses...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Negative Near-Term Read-Throughs from the Detainment of Crown Resorts' Marketing Executives in China

Eighteen sales and marketing executives at Crown Resorts were reported as being detained in China, likely due to illegally soliciting Chinese to...

Morningstar, Inc.

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