Indian Accounting Research Analyst, Trudence Capital Advisors

Nitin Mangal

Indian Accounting Research Analyst

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

<ul>
<li>The legal tussle between promoters of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dish-tv-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7710:1" rel="noopener">Dish TV India (DITV IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yes-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:767:1" rel="noopener">Yes Bank (YES IN)</a> has again entered into the limelight.</li>
<li>The promoters of Dish TV, after repeatedly attempting to block Yes Bank from voting, have been left in the dark by the Bombay High Court's verdict. </li>
<li>However, Mr. Goel still continues to sit on the board which irked several investors. This indicates that the story is not over and there are still some grey areas.</li>
</ul>


The legal tussle between promoters of Dish TV India (DITV IN) and Yes Bank (YES IN) has again entered into the limelight.
The promoters of Dish TV, after repeatedly attempting to block Yes Bank from voting, have been left in the dark by the Bombay High Court's verdict. 
However, Mr. Goel still continues to sit on the board which irked several investors. This indicates that the story is not over and there are still some grey areas.


Dish TV: Promoters Left in the Dark, or Is There Something Else?

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Nirmal Bang

Nirmal Bang

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

A Relationship Beyond Broking

Nirmal Bang, one of the leading stock broking companies in India, caters to retail and institutional clients by offering them a range of financial products and services, including equities, derivatives, commodities, currency derivatives, mutual funds, IPOs, insurance, depository services and PMS.

Nirmal Bang is drawn from a diversity of professional backgrounds, and blend of experience, skill and dedication is shared with its clients. Nirmal Bang emphasizes adequate, thorough research local and world-wide developments, balancing these with the astute discovery of intrinsic values, synergies and growth. The aim is simply to help the investors to maximize their returns.

Equity Bottom-Up

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>Continues to de-emphasize on corporate loans: Loan growth was 8.4% YoY and 2.6% QoQ, lower than what we anticipated earlier in the year. </li></ul><div><div><div><div><ul><li>NII growth led by NIM recovery: NII increased by 84.4% YoY and 3.1% QoQ.</li></ul><div><div><div><div><ul><li>Slippages down but asset quality remains uncomfortable: Slippages declined by 18% QoQ to Rs8.01bn (corporate: Rs3.73bn, retail: Rs3.33bn).</li></ul></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Continues to de-emphasize on corporate loans: Loan growth was 8.4% YoY and 2.6% QoQ, lower than what we anticipated earlier in the year. NII growth led by NIM recovery: NII increased by 84.4% YoY and 3.1% QoQ.Slippages down but asset quality remains uncomfortable: Slippages declined by 18% QoQ to Rs8.01bn (corporate: Rs3.73bn, retail: Rs3.33bn).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Credit growth picking up; lower provisions to drive earnings We expect strong earnings performance from banks in 4QFY22, driven by: (1) improving credit growth (systemic growth 8.5% YoY) (2) stable margins and (3) lower credit costs.</li>
<li>Data suggests upturn in credit growth across segments (Retail and Corporate).</li>
<li>Within the Retail segment, Housing has continued to show sustained traction while unsecured credit has been improving sequentially.</li>
<li>Large private banks are expected to grow at a highe...(continued).</li>
</ul>
<p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>


Credit growth picking up; lower provisions to drive earnings We expect strong earnings performance from banks in 4QFY22, driven by: (1) improving credit growth (systemic growth 8.5% YoY) (2) stable margins and (3) lower credit costs.
Data suggests upturn in credit growth across segments (Retail and Corporate).
Within the Retail segment, Housing has continued to show sustained traction while unsecured credit has been improving sequentially.
Large private banks are expected to grow at a highe...(continued).

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Banking & Financials Sector: Credit Growth Picking Up; Lower Provisions to Drive Earnings

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Apollo Hospitals Enterprise / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX)</a> and NIFTY NEXT50 Indices were announced on 24 February and will be implemented at the close today.</li>
<li>There is a fair amount to trade on the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX)</a> stocks given the sizeable passive assets that track the indices.</li>
<li>There is pre-positioning on some of the names and there could be opportunities to build positions to play for a reversal.</li>
</ul>


The changes to the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX), Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX) and NIFTY NEXT50 Indices were announced on 24 February and will be implemented at the close today.
There is a fair amount to trade on the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) and Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX) stocks given the sizeable passive assets that track the indices.
There is pre-positioning on some of the names and there could be opportunities to build positions to play for a reversal.


NIFTY Index Rebalance: Flows at the Close Today

FSN E-Commerce Ventures (Nykaa) / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Inclusions are FSN E-Commerce Ventures (NYKAA), Mindtree Ltd (MTCL), Paytm (PAYTM), SRF Ltd (SRF) and Zomato (ZOMATO), while Indian Oil Corp (IOCL IN) moves lower from the NIFTY Index.</li>
<li>Deletions are Aurobindo Pharma (ARBP), Hindustan Petroleum (HPCL), Indraprastha Gas (IGL), Jindal Steel &amp; Power (JSP) and Yes Bank (YES), while Apollo Hospitals (APHS) moves up to the NIFTY Index.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover on the NIFTY NEXT50 Index is 10.24%, the one-way trade is INR 8,486bn and there is over 1 day of ADV to trade on a few stocks.</li>
</ul>


Inclusions are FSN E-Commerce Ventures (NYKAA), Mindtree Ltd (MTCL), Paytm (PAYTM), SRF Ltd (SRF) and Zomato (ZOMATO), while Indian Oil Corp (IOCL IN) moves lower from the NIFTY Index.
Deletions are Aurobindo Pharma (ARBP), Hindustan Petroleum (HPCL), Indraprastha Gas (IGL), Jindal Steel &amp; Power (JSP) and Yes Bank (YES), while Apollo Hospitals (APHS) moves up to the NIFTY Index.
Estimated one-way turnover on the NIFTY NEXT50 Index is 10.24%, the one-way trade is INR 8,486bn and there is over 1 day of ADV to trade on a few stocks.


NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance: Zomato, PayTM, Nykaa Among the Adds

India

YES BANK Limited provides banking services. The Bank offers deposits, personal loans, e-banking, trade finance, corporate, and business banking services. YES BANK serves the food and agribusiness, life sciences, healthcare, biotechnology, telecommunications, media, information technology, and infrastructure development industries in India.

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Yes Bank (YES IN)

Dish TV: Promoters Left in the Dark, or Is There Something Else?

Yes Bank's voting in EGM has helped rest of the shareholders to dethrone Mr. Goel from the MD post. However, there are still some grey areas to be...

Nitin Mangal

Yes Bank - Improving, yet Unappealing

Yes Bank reported a net profit of Rs3.7bn versus our expectation of a loss, driven by 84% YoY growth in NII and 95% YoY drop in provisioning.

Nirmal Bang

Banking & Financials Sector: Credit Growth Picking Up; Lower Provisions to Drive Earnings

Credit growth picking up; lower provisions to drive earnings We expect strong earnings performance from banks in 4QFY22, driven by: (1) improving...

Nirmal Bang

NIFTY Index Rebalance: Flows at the Close Today

The March rebalance for the NIFTY family of indices will be implemented at the close of trading today. There is a fair amount to trade on the adds,...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance: Zomato, PayTM, Nykaa Among the Adds

There are 6 changes for the NIFTY NEXT50 Index to be implemented on 30 March. A change in the methodology will see PayTM and Nykaa added to the...

Brian Freitas

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