Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>China bans Micron chips for critical information infrastructure -- Taiwanese firms could benefit by straddling both sides of the trade tensions.</li>
<li>TSMC rallies as U.S. and Japan advance incentives for TSMC and Taiwanese firms.</li>
<li>Nvida earnings this week -- We'll see if the AI leader can keep the market excited about AI's brave new world.</li>
</ul>


China bans Micron chips for critical information infrastructure -- Taiwanese firms could benefit by straddling both sides of the trade tensions.
TSMC rallies as U.S. and Japan advance incentives for TSMC and Taiwanese firms.
Nvida earnings this week -- We'll see if the AI leader can keep the market excited about AI's brave new world.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: China Micron Restrictions; Taiwan Benefit From 'Chip Tensions'; Nvidia Earnings

Hon Hai Precision Industry / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>This week is relatively in terms of earnings. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/applied-materials-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:283:1" rel="noopener">Applied Materials (AMAT US)</a> will however be reporting on the 18th U.S. time.</li>
<li>Hon Hai sees the PC market bottoming; Separately, we've closed our Long Acer vs. Short Asus and reversed it to Long Asus vs. Short Acer again.</li>
<li>Quant shares have surged post results, dramatically outperforming Apple and other key Apple suppliers.</li>
</ul>


This week is relatively in terms of earnings. Applied Materials (AMAT US) will however be reporting on the 18th U.S. time.
Hon Hai sees the PC market bottoming; Separately, we've closed our Long Acer vs. Short Asus and reversed it to Long Asus vs. Short Acer again.
Quant shares have surged post results, dramatically outperforming Apple and other key Apple suppliers.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: PC Market Bottoming, AMAT, Quanta Outperforms Peers, Samsung Tesla Meeting

<ul>
<li>Since we released our piece suggesting closing our original Long Asustek vs. Short Acer, and reversing to Long ACER vs. Short Asustek, this new trade has earned a 6.9% spread.</li>
<li>Given the latest performance between the two shares and the latest results from Asustek, we believe one can now close out Long Acer/Short Asustek... and reverse the trade again.</li>
<li>Hence we now like Long Asustek vs. Short Acer based on relative share performance and latest guidance from Asustek.</li>
</ul>


Since we released our piece suggesting closing our original Long Asustek vs. Short Acer, and reversing to Long ACER vs. Short Asustek, this new trade has earned a 6.9% spread.
Given the latest performance between the two shares and the latest results from Asustek, we believe one can now close out Long Acer/Short Asustek... and reverse the trade again.
Hence we now like Long Asustek vs. Short Acer based on relative share performance and latest guidance from Asustek.


Long Acer Vs. Short Asustek: 6.9% Performance in One Week, Can REVERSE the Trade Again

<ul>
<li>In our view, Hon Hai 3Q23 results showcased stability for 2023E ahead of expected growth in 2024E-2025E.</li>
<li>The company has maintained its 2025E 10% gross margin target and highlighted how its EV business expansion is continuing.</li>
<li>While Consumer Electronics revenue is expected to fall this year, PC Products is expected to grow given the company believes the PC market has bottomed. Stay Long Hon Hai.</li>
</ul>


In our view, Hon Hai 3Q23 results showcased stability for 2023E ahead of expected growth in 2024E-2025E.
The company has maintained its 2025E 10% gross margin target and highlighted how its EV business expansion is continuing.
While Consumer Electronics revenue is expected to fall this year, PC Products is expected to grow given the company believes the PC market has bottomed. Stay Long Hon Hai.


Hon Hai Sees Computing Products Rebound, PC Market Bottomed; EV Expanding

Novatek Microelectronics Corp / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Novatek reported earnings ahead of expectations where margins rose thanks to recovery in pricing for its products in inventory. Inventory metrics improved as well.</li>
<li>Key industry readthrough -- Novatek seeing strongest demand for DDICs (display driver chips) coming from the small/medium form factor and highlighted mass production of VR as a cause.</li>
<li>Apple could be quietly preparing for mass production of AR/VR headset ahead of announcement at June's WWDC. Combined with Novatek's comments, could AR/VR will be going mass market this year?</li>
</ul>


Novatek reported earnings ahead of expectations where margins rose thanks to recovery in pricing for its products in inventory. Inventory metrics improved as well.
Key industry readthrough -- Novatek seeing strongest demand for DDICs (display driver chips) coming from the small/medium form factor and highlighted mass production of VR as a cause.
Apple could be quietly preparing for mass production of AR/VR headset ahead of announcement at June's WWDC. Combined with Novatek's comments, could AR/VR will be going mass market this year?


Novatek: Volume Production of VR Driving Strongest Segment; AR/VR Finally Going Mass Market in 2023?

Taiwan

Hon Hai Precision Industry Co., Ltd. provides electronic manufacturing services for computers, communications, and consumer electronic products.  The Company's business operations include desktop and notebook PC assembly, connector production, cable assembly, PCB assembly, handset manufacturing, networking equipment, and other consumer electronic devices manufacturing.

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Hon Hai Precision Industry (2317 TT)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: China Micron Restrictions; Taiwan Benefit From 'Chip Tensions'; Nvidia Earnings

Nvida earnings this week -- We'll see if the AI leader can keep the market excited about AI's brave new world. Mediatek a potential future winnner...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: PC Market Bottoming, AMAT, Quanta Outperforms Peers, Samsung Tesla Meeting

Quant shares have surged post results, dramatically outperforming Apple and other key Apple suppliers. WiWynn shares crashed post results despite...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Long Acer Vs. Short Asustek: 6.9% Performance in One Week, Can REVERSE the Trade Again

We are closing out the previous trade and now like Long Asustek vs. Short Acer based on relative share performance and latest guidance from Asustek.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Hon Hai Sees Computing Products Rebound, PC Market Bottomed; EV Expanding

Hon Hai 3Q23 results showcased stability for 2023E... ahead of expected strong profit growth in 2024E-2025E. Computing Products will show relative...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Novatek: Volume Production of VR Driving Strongest Segment; AR/VR Finally Going Mass Market in 2023?

Apple could be quietly preparing for mass production of AR/VR headset ahead of announcement at June's WWDC. Combined with Novatek's comments, could...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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