Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The share price of Yamaha Motors has sunk to a low of 1x book on concerns that the marine business has peaked </li>
<li>Recent results and commentary from Brunswick suggest that the market remains as buoyant as ever </li>
<li>We would be buying the stock ahead of earnings, expecting a similarly bullish outlook from Yamaha </li>
</ul>


The share price of Yamaha Motors has sunk to a low of 1x book on concerns that the marine business has peaked 
Recent results and commentary from Brunswick suggest that the market remains as buoyant as ever 
We would be buying the stock ahead of earnings, expecting a similarly bullish outlook from Yamaha 


Yamaha Motors (7272 JP) | Staying the Course in Choppy Macro Waters

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On Firday 23 August, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yamaha-motor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7411:1" rel="noopener">Yamaha Motor (7272 JP)</a> announced that three cross-holders would sell about 4.6% of the shares out in a secondary sale. </li>
<li>MS&amp;AD was expected. Toyota was probably expected. Yamaha Corp is a bit of a surprise. But it also frees up Yamaha Motor to sell down cross-holdings (top 2 are Toyota/Yamaha).</li>
<li>Given the price/guidance/dividend yield and limited size, this should be quite easy to place.</li>
</ul>


On Firday 23 August, Yamaha Motor (7272 JP) announced that three cross-holders would sell about 4.6% of the shares out in a secondary sale. 
MS&amp;AD was expected. Toyota was probably expected. Yamaha Corp is a bit of a surprise. But it also frees up Yamaha Motor to sell down cross-holdings (top 2 are Toyota/Yamaha).
Given the price/guidance/dividend yield and limited size, this should be quite easy to place.


Yamaha Motors (7272 JP) - Secondary Offering as Toyota Sells Down - Easy To Digest

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>A group of shareholders aims to raise around US$330m via selling around 3.6% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yamaha-motor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7411:1" rel="noopener">Yamaha Motor (7272 JP).</a>
</li>
<li>This will be another cross-shareholding unwind and hence, won’t be a huge surprise, although the stock hasn’t been doing particularly well lately.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


A group of shareholders aims to raise around US$330m via selling around 3.6% of Yamaha Motor (7272 JP).

This will be another cross-shareholding unwind and hence, won’t be a huge surprise, although the stock hasn’t been doing particularly well lately.
In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Yamaha Motors Placement - A Relatively Small Cross-Shareholding Unwind

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>The global auto industry faces significant tariff exposure. Option implied volatility offers a forward-looking assessment of risk.</li>
<li>Chinese car makers started to increase in implied volatility more than the other markets at the beginning of February. They now show the highest risk.</li>
<li>Recent implied volatility trends, asymmetric pricing (skew), and the term structure all seem to indicate that the Indian auto sector is the least exposed to international trade relations.</li>
</ul>


The global auto industry faces significant tariff exposure. Option implied volatility offers a forward-looking assessment of risk.
Chinese car makers started to increase in implied volatility more than the other markets at the beginning of February. They now show the highest risk.
Recent implied volatility trends, asymmetric pricing (skew), and the term structure all seem to indicate that the Indian auto sector is the least exposed to international trade relations.


EQD | Volatile Roads: Unveiling Risk in the Asian Auto Industry Through the Options Market

<ul>
<li>With <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota (7203 JP)</a> having sold some of its stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/denso-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18703:1" rel="noopener">Denso</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kddi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:639:1" rel="noopener">KDDI</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/harmonic-drive-systems-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10238:1" rel="noopener">Harmonic Drive</a> this year, it has firmly set the ball rolling for unwinding some of its cross-shareholding.</li>
<li>Toyota has a shareholding in around 60 listed companies, with its combined disposable stake worth over US$26bn.</li>
<li>In this note, we take a look at its stakes in various companies to see which ones could possibly be candidates for further selldowns.</li>
</ul>


With Toyota (7203 JP) having sold some of its stake in Denso, KDDI and Harmonic Drive this year, it has firmly set the ball rolling for unwinding some of its cross-shareholding.
Toyota has a shareholding in around 60 listed companies, with its combined disposable stake worth over US$26bn.
In this note, we take a look at its stakes in various companies to see which ones could possibly be candidates for further selldowns.


Toyota Cross-Shareholding - To Say a Whole Lot Is Left Would Be a US$26bn Understatement

Japan

Yamaha Motor Co., Ltd. manufactures motorcycles.  The Company also produces motor vehicle engines for Toyota Motor Corp. and Ford Motor Co.  Yamaha Motor's specialty products include motor boats, snowmobiles, golf carts, and electric power generators.  Yamaha Motor sells products in Japan, North America, Europe, Asia, and South America.

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Yamaha Motor (7272 JP)

Yamaha Motors (7272 JP) | Staying the Course in Choppy Macro Waters

The market has been too pessimistic on Yamaha's marine business. Recent results from Brunswick suggest the market remains strong. Yamaha's stock...

Mark Chadwick

Yamaha Motors (7272 JP) - Secondary Offering as Toyota Sells Down - Easy To Digest

Toyota and Yamaha Corp and MS&AD will sell down 4.6% of Yamaha Motors, which has not bounced as much as peers from the USDJPY and equity selldown....

Travis Lundy

Yamaha Motors Placement - A Relatively Small Cross-Shareholding Unwind

A group of shareholders aims to raise around US$330m via selling around 3.6% of Yamaha Motor (7272 JP). In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

EQD | Volatile Roads: Unveiling Risk in the Asian Auto Industry Through the Options Market

Global auto industry faces tariff risk. The option market assigns the highest risk to Chinese car makers. The Indian auto sector appears least...

Gaudenz Schneider

Toyota Cross-Shareholding - To Say a Whole Lot Is Left Would Be a US$26bn Understatement

Toyota, Toyota Industries and Denso are tag teaming to unwind some of their stake in Aisin, in a deal worth over US$1bn. While the timing of the...

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Yamaha Motors (7272 JP) | Staying the Course in Choppy Macro Waters

The market has been too pessimistic on Yamaha's marine business. Recent results from Brunswick suggest the market remains strong. Yamaha's stock...

Mark Chadwick

Yamaha Motors (7272 JP) - Secondary Offering as Toyota Sells Down - Easy To Digest

Toyota and Yamaha Corp and MS&AD will sell down 4.6% of Yamaha Motors, which has not bounced as much as peers from the USDJPY and equity selldown....

Travis Lundy

Yamaha Motors Placement - A Relatively Small Cross-Shareholding Unwind

A group of shareholders aims to raise around US$330m via selling around 3.6% of Yamaha Motor (7272 JP). In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

EQD | Volatile Roads: Unveiling Risk in the Asian Auto Industry Through the Options Market

​Global auto industry faces tariff risk. The option market assigns the highest risk to Chinese car makers. The Indian auto sector appears least...

Gaudenz Schneider

Toyota Cross-Shareholding - To Say a Whole Lot Is Left Would Be a US$26bn Understatement

Toyota, Toyota Industries and Denso are tag teaming to unwind some of their stake in Aisin, in a deal worth over US$1bn. While the timing of the...

Sumeet Singh

Global auto industry faces tariff risk. The option market assigns the highest risk to Chinese car makers. The Indian auto sector appears least...