Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>EV adoption in the ASEAN is very low compared to developed markets including the US, the Europe and China due to higher ASPs and lack of logistics, maintenance and repair.</li>
<li>However, there has been a rapid growth in EV related investment in the region recently, focusing on developing domestic EV markets to make them more affordable while conserving the environment.</li>
<li>The governments have put forward several incentives such as government funding, tax incentives to buy EVs, while introducing measures to discourage the use of ICE vehicles.</li>
</ul>


EV adoption in the ASEAN is very low compared to developed markets including the US, the Europe and China due to higher ASPs and lack of logistics, maintenance and repair.
However, there has been a rapid growth in EV related investment in the region recently, focusing on developing domestic EV markets to make them more affordable while conserving the environment.
The governments have put forward several incentives such as government funding, tax incentives to buy EVs, while introducing measures to discourage the use of ICE vehicles.


ASEAN EV Ecosystem Series: Committed Towards Building a Regional EV Ecosystem

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. SPX eakes out gains despite weak ISM Manufacutring in light trading ahead of July 4th Independence Day Holiday; TESLA +6.9% on big 2Q delivery numbers </li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs -0.4% vs Cash; JPYUSD 144.7; Strong BOJ Tankan print drives NKY to new highs;  JP land prices continue to rise; Support for JP foundry goals from IBM</li>
<li>NUGGET.  Japan's passing of the GX Promotion Law enables the issuance of ¥20 trillion in bonds and promotes ¥150 trillion of decarbonization investment over the next decade. Investment opportunities abound!</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. SPX eakes out gains despite weak ISM Manufacutring in light trading ahead of July 4th Independence Day Holiday; TESLA +6.9% on big 2Q delivery numbers 
JAPAN. NKY Futs -0.4% vs Cash; JPYUSD 144.7; Strong BOJ Tankan print drives NKY to new highs;  JP land prices continue to rise; Support for JP foundry goals from IBM
NUGGET.  Japan's passing of the GX Promotion Law enables the issuance of ¥20 trillion in bonds and promotes ¥150 trillion of decarbonization investment over the next decade. Investment opportunities abound!


Ohayo Japan| SPX Gains Despite Weak Factory PMI; NUGGET: Japan's GX Promotion Law - Opportunity !

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS.  Strong close to Month, Quarter and Half Year as SPX rose +1.2% on Friday; AI Trade Back as NDX100 hit  $5trn Mkt cap; Apple now &gt;$3 trill !</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs +0.7% vs Cash; USDJPY 144.3; Tokyo Inflation print 3.2% raises questions on national inflation and BOJ's next steps;  Tokyo heats up as Power conservation measures implemented</li>
<li>NUGGET.  We believe Toyota's concerns regarding BEVs are valid. We see them having the technology and manufacturing prowess at scale, strong branding, and global reach to eventually overtake Tesla</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS.  Strong close to Month, Quarter and Half Year as SPX rose +1.2% on Friday; AI Trade Back as NDX100 hit  $5trn Mkt cap; Apple now &gt;$3 trill !
JAPAN. NKY Futs +0.7% vs Cash; USDJPY 144.3; Tokyo Inflation print 3.2% raises questions on national inflation and BOJ's next steps;  Tokyo heats up as Power conservation measures implemented
NUGGET.  We believe Toyota's concerns regarding BEVs are valid. We see them having the technology and manufacturing prowess at scale, strong branding, and global reach to eventually overtake Tesla


Ohayo Japan | Bull Mkt - Nasdaq 100 Stunning +39%YTD ! NUGGET: Toyota(7203) BEV Strategy - A Defense

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Global Active Funds make tentative moves back in to Japanese equities after a 5-year decline.</li>
<li>Buying seen in Daiichi Sankyo, Keyence Corp and Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, with Japan capturing $1.3bn of new fund investment since September 2022.</li>
<li>Ownership levels still near record lows, with clear potential for further ownership growth from here.</li>
</ul>


Global Active Funds make tentative moves back in to Japanese equities after a 5-year decline.
Buying seen in Daiichi Sankyo, Keyence Corp and Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, with Japan capturing $1.3bn of new fund investment since September 2022.
Ownership levels still near record lows, with clear potential for further ownership growth from here.


Japan: Early Signs of a Potential Re-Weight

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. SPX +0.4% AS Banks lead after passing Fed's stress test= PAYOUTS ! 2 Fed hikes more likely says Swaps markets; US 1Q GDP REVISED UP to 2%.</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs +0.3% vs Cash; USDJPY 144.8; End of Month/Quarter; Flat NKY Today = +18.5% QTD..best Quarter in a Decade !  Big Japan AGM Week -Biz leaders get heat.</li>
<li>NUGGET. Kandenko(1942) set to benefit from the massive drive to decarbonize by  key client TEPCO.  Co is still trading below book, is net cash, with earnings set to grow !</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. SPX +0.4% AS Banks lead after passing Fed's stress test= PAYOUTS ! 2 Fed hikes more likely says Swaps markets; US 1Q GDP REVISED UP to 2%.
JAPAN. NKY Futs +0.3% vs Cash; USDJPY 144.8; End of Month/Quarter; Flat NKY Today = +18.5% QTD..best Quarter in a Decade !  Big Japan AGM Week -Biz leaders get heat.
NUGGET. Kandenko(1942) set to benefit from the massive drive to decarbonize by  key client TEPCO.  Co is still trading below book, is net cash, with earnings set to grow !


Ohayo Japan |NUGGET: Tepco ¥9 Trillion on Decarbonization - Boon for KANDENDO

Japan

Toyota Motor Corporation manufactures, sells, leases, and repairs passenger cars, trucks, buses, and their related parts worldwide. The Company also operates financing services through their subsidiaries. Toyota Motor builds homes, produces pleasure boats, and develops intelligent transportation systems including radar cruise control and electronic toll collection systems.

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Toyota Motor (7203 JP)

ASEAN EV Ecosystem Series: Committed Towards Building a Regional EV Ecosystem

EV adoption in the ASEAN is very low compared to developed markets. However, there has been rapid growth in EV related investment recently, aiming...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Ohayo Japan| SPX Gains Despite Weak Factory PMI; NUGGET: Japan's GX Promotion Law - Opportunity !

SPX gains ahead of 4th July holidays; NKY Futs -0.4% vs Cash; JPYUSD 144.7; Strong BOJ Tankan print drives NKY to new highs; JP land prices...

Mark Chadwick

Ohayo Japan | Bull Mkt - Nasdaq 100 Stunning +39%YTD ! NUGGET: Toyota(7203) BEV Strategy - A Defense

Strong US Close despite the spectre of inflation/Fed hikes; NKY Futs +0.7% vs Cash; USDJPY 144.3; Tokyo May Inflation print 3.2% - BOJ's next...

Mark Chadwick

Japan: Early Signs of a Potential Re-Weight

Global Equity Funds make tentative moves back in to Japan after a 5-year decline. Ownership levels remain near record lows, so potential for...

Steven Holden

Ohayo Japan |NUGGET: Tepco ¥9 Trillion on Decarbonization - Boon for KANDENDO

SPX up lead by Banks; NKY Futs +0.3% vs Cash; USDJPY 144.8; End of Month/Quarter; Flat NKY Today = +18.5% QTD..best Quarter in a Decade ! Big...

Mark Chadwick

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