Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND a net buyer <em>every day</em> since the end of Chinese New Year. NORTHBOUND a huge net buyer this week, now net buyers in size (RMB +93bn) over 7 weeks.</li>
<li>For the first time in a while, AH premia among liquid stocks fell convincingly. Narrow AH premia pairs saw Hs outperform more than wide AH premia Hs (vs As).</li>
</ul>


The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
SOUTHBOUND a net buyer every day since the end of Chinese New Year. NORTHBOUND a huge net buyer this week, now net buyers in size (RMB +93bn) over 7 weeks.
For the first time in a while, AH premia among liquid stocks fell convincingly. Narrow AH premia pairs saw Hs outperform more than wide AH premia Hs (vs As).


A/H Premium Tracker (To 15 Mar 2024):  Liquid AH Premia Starting to Narrow

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.</li>
<li>Last week saw NORTHBOUND net BUY RMB 23.5bn of A-shares on strong average activity after RMB +49bn the previous four trading weeks. More efforts by authorities to eliminate selling.</li>
<li>No finance names of any kind in the top ten this week after 5/10 the week before. Slight tendencies to trade on reversion.</li>
</ul>


The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.
Last week saw NORTHBOUND net BUY RMB 23.5bn of A-shares on strong average activity after RMB +49bn the previous four trading weeks. More efforts by authorities to eliminate selling.
No finance names of any kind in the top ten this week after 5/10 the week before. Slight tendencies to trade on reversion.


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 1 Mar 2024): Foreigners Buy a New Set of Names

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 124.5% as of Mar 1st.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 1.8ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, health care, information technology and offset by utilities, materials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for ZTE, China Southern, SMIC, Ganfeng Lithium, Flat Glass Group.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 124.5% as of Mar 1st.
The average A-H premium changed by 1.8ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, health care, information technology and offset by utilities, materials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for ZTE, China Southern, SMIC, Ganfeng Lithium, Flat Glass Group.


A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 1st): ZTE, China Southern, SMIC, Ganfeng Lithium, Flat Glass Group

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 124.1% as of Feb 2nd.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -5.6ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, information technology, industrials and offset by utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Haier Smart, Wuxi Apptec, BOC, CGN Power, SMIC, Huaneng Power, China Longyuan.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 124.1% as of Feb 2nd.
The average A-H premium changed by -5.6ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, information technology, industrials and offset by utilities.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Haier Smart, Wuxi Apptec, BOC, CGN Power, SMIC, Huaneng Power, China Longyuan.


A-H Premium Weekly (Feb 2nd): Haier Smart, Wuxi Apptec, BOC, CGN Power, SMIC, Huaneng Power

<ul>
<li>The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc. </li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND flows were small positive and NORTHBOUND flows a decent buy. AH premia stopped rising. Chinese shares bounced. SOEs being bought. Tech being sold. Tencent seeing SB outflows, still. </li>
<li>New article in China Securities Journal hints at new measures on SOEs. Watch this space. Wouldn't be short SOEs vs Privates on H/A basis. </li>
</ul>


The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc. 
SOUTHBOUND flows were small positive and NORTHBOUND flows a decent buy. AH premia stopped rising. Chinese shares bounced. SOEs being bought. Tech being sold. Tencent seeing SB outflows, still. 
New article in China Securities Journal hints at new measures on SOEs. Watch this space. Wouldn't be short SOEs vs Privates on H/A basis. 


A/H Premium Tracker (To 26 Jan 2024):  AH Premia Still Near Multi-Yr Wides, SOEs May See New Action

China

ZTE Corporation develops and markets switches, access servers, videoconferencing systems, mobile communication systems, data communication devices, and optical communication devices.  The Company also offers networking solutions for setup, refurbishment and optimization of networks.

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ZTE Corp H (763 HK)

A/H Premium Tracker (To 15 Mar 2024): Liquid AH Premia Starting to Narrow

AH Premia narrowed more on liquid narrow premia than on less liquid and wide premia. This is a new development. Energy and Utilities saw Hs rebound...

Travis Lundy

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 1 Mar 2024): Foreigners Buy a New Set of Names

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND net flows were again heavily to the buy side. This is the fifth week of trading in a row of net buying. Almost every...

Travis Lundy

A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 1st): ZTE, China Southern, SMIC, Ganfeng Lithium, Flat Glass Group

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for ZTE, China Southern, SMIC, Ganfeng Lithium, Flat Glass Group.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Feb 2nd): Haier Smart, Wuxi Apptec, BOC, CGN Power, SMIC, Huaneng Power

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Haier Smart, Wuxi Apptec, BOC, CGN Power, SMIC, Huaneng...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A/H Premium Tracker (To 26 Jan 2024): AH Premia Still Near Multi-Yr Wides, SOEs May See New Action

AH Premia down slightly from multi-year wides a week ago. Chinese shares bounced in HK and mainland. SOEs still seeing SB inflow. Banks & SOEs NB...

Travis Lundy

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