Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>1810 HK/AAPL: Xiaomi’s China unit volume grew 17% yoy in 2Q (+/-)</li>
<li>1810 HK: Xiaomi acquires more land to build another EV factory (+)</li>
<li>981 HK/1810 HK: SMIC’s upcoming “5nm” process to feature significant efficiency improvement (+/-)</li>
</ul>


1810 HK/AAPL: Xiaomi’s China unit volume grew 17% yoy in 2Q (+/-)
1810 HK: Xiaomi acquires more land to build another EV factory (+)
981 HK/1810 HK: SMIC’s upcoming “5nm” process to feature significant efficiency improvement (+/-)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:1810 HK/AAPL/981 HK/LKNCY US/BZ US/LI US/1211 HK

China New Economy Equity Analyst, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Robert McKay

China New Economy Equity Analyst

<ul>
<li>US semiconductor restrictions are limiting China's access to advanced AI accelerators, causing a widening gap in AI compute. The US will expand its lead over China to ~7x by 2025.</li>
<li>Although China has domestic alternatives, bottlenecks due to separate US restrictions on semiconductor equipment are hindering yields and capacity expansions, effectively limiting China’s capacity to train state-of-the-art AI models.</li>
<li>To maximize AI compute, Huawei will likely curtail smartphone semiconductors in favor of AI accelerators. We expect manufacturers offering mid-end Android devices like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a> to benefit first.</li>
</ul>


US semiconductor restrictions are limiting China's access to advanced AI accelerators, causing a widening gap in AI compute. The US will expand its lead over China to ~7x by 2025.
Although China has domestic alternatives, bottlenecks due to separate US restrictions on semiconductor equipment are hindering yields and capacity expansions, effectively limiting China’s capacity to train state-of-the-art AI models.
To maximize AI compute, Huawei will likely curtail smartphone semiconductors in favor of AI accelerators. We expect manufacturers offering mid-end Android devices like Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK) to benefit first.


Demand for AI Chips Might Cut Huawei's Smartphone Semiconductor Short

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amer-sports-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21751:1" rel="noopener">Amer Sports (AS US)</a> raised around US$1.3bn in its US IPO in Feb 2024, after pricing its IPO below its initial range.</li>
<li>Amer Sports is a sports and outdoor brands company making clothing and other sporting equipment for use in snow sports, running, climbing, baseball, american football, tennis and other sports.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry and deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Amer Sports (AS US) raised around US$1.3bn in its US IPO in Feb 2024, after pricing its IPO below its initial range.
Amer Sports is a sports and outdoor brands company making clothing and other sporting equipment for use in snow sports, running, climbing, baseball, american football, tennis and other sports.
In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry and deal dynamics.


Amer Sports IPO Lock-Up Expiry - PE Investor Might Look to Trim US$750m Stake

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Xiaomi’s global market increased to 15% in 2Q24 compared with 13% in 2Q23.</li>
<li>GAC Aion began to be produced in Thailand to bypass the new tariff barriers from the US and the European Union.</li>
<li>Cotti Coffee plans to extend its “RMB9.90” sales to three years.</li>
</ul>


Xiaomi’s global market increased to 15% in 2Q24 compared with 13% in 2Q23.
GAC Aion began to be produced in Thailand to bypass the new tariff barriers from the US and the European Union.
Cotti Coffee plans to extend its “RMB9.90” sales to three years.


China Consumption Weekly (2024 Jul 22): Xiaomi, Guangzhou Automobile, NIO, AAPL, Starbucks

<ul>
<li>Xiaomi (XM)’s shipments increased by 29% YoY in 2Q24, which is the most rapid growth among the global top five.</li>
<li>Xiaomi is the only clear gainer of market share among the global top five.</li>
<li>We believe the stock has an upside of 35% and the target price is HK$22.30 for the end of 2024.</li>
</ul>


Xiaomi (XM)’s shipments increased by 29% YoY in 2Q24, which is the most rapid growth among the global top five.
Xiaomi is the only clear gainer of market share among the global top five.
We believe the stock has an upside of 35% and the target price is HK$22.30 for the end of 2024.


Xiaomi (1810 HK): 2Q24 Shipments – High Growth and High Market Share

United States

Apple Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and sells a variety of related accessories. The Company also offers payment, digital content, cloud and advertising services. Apple Inc.'s customers are primarily in consumer, small & mid-sized business, education, enterprise and government markets worldwide.

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Apple (AAPL US)

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1810 HK/AAPL/981 HK/LKNCY US/BZ US/LI US/1211 HK

Xiaomi's China unit sees growth, acquires land for new EV factory, while SMIC's upcoming "5nm" process promises efficiency boost.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Demand for AI Chips Might Cut Huawei's Smartphone Semiconductor Short

US AI accelerator and wafer equipment restrictions are widening the US/China AI compute gap. Expect Huawei to curtail smartphone IC in favor of AI...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Amer Sports IPO Lock-Up Expiry - PE Investor Might Look to Trim US$750m Stake

Amer Sports (AS US) raised around US$1.3bn in its US IPO in Feb 2024, after pricing its IPO below its initial range. Its pre-IPO investors will be...

Sumeet Singh

China Consumption Weekly (2024 Jul 22): Xiaomi, Guangzhou Automobile, NIO, AAPL, Starbucks

Xiaomi’s global market share increased to 15% in 2Q24 from 13% in 2Q23. GAC Aion began to produce in Thailand. Cotti Coffee extended its sales to...

Ming Lu

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1810 HK/AAPL/981 HK/LKNCY US/BZ US/LI US/1211 HK

​Xiaomi's China unit sees growth, acquires land for new EV factory, while SMIC's upcoming "5nm" process promises efficiency boost.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Demand for AI Chips Might Cut Huawei's Smartphone Semiconductor Short

​US AI accelerator and wafer equipment restrictions are widening the US/China AI compute gap. Expect Huawei to curtail smartphone IC in favor of AI...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Amer Sports IPO Lock-Up Expiry - PE Investor Might Look to Trim US$750m Stake

Amer Sports (AS US) raised around US$1.3bn in its US IPO in Feb 2024, after pricing its IPO below its initial range. Its pre-IPO investors will be...

Sumeet Singh

China Consumption Weekly (2024 Jul 22): Xiaomi, Guangzhou Automobile, NIO, AAPL, Starbucks

Xiaomi’s global market share increased to 15% in 2Q24 from 13% in 2Q23. GAC Aion began to produce in Thailand. Cotti Coffee extended its sales to...

Ming Lu

Xiaomi (1810 HK): 2Q24 Shipments – High Growth and High Market Share

Xiaomi (XM)’s shipments increased by 29% YoY in 2Q24. Xiaomi is the only clear gainer of market share. We believe the stock has an upside 35% for...

Ming Lu

Xiaomi's China unit sees growth, acquires land for new EV factory, while SMIC's upcoming "5nm" process promises efficiency boost.

US AI accelerator and wafer equipment restrictions are widening the US/China AI compute gap. Expect Huawei to curtail smartphone IC in favor of AI...