AI and Global Deep Tech, Mint Finance

Uttkarsh Kohli

AI and Global Deep Tech

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor Co. / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC's July 2024 revenue reached NT$256.95 billion, up 23.6% MoM and 44.7% YoY. Year-to-date revenue grew by 30.5% to NT$1.52 trillion, driven by strong orders from Apple, Intel, and Nvidia. </li>
<li>TSMC forecasts Q3 revenue of $22.4-23.2 billion, anticipating over 25% full-year growth. July revenue already at 35% of Q3 estimates. Analysts advise against assuming these results for the entire quarter.</li>
<li>TSMC is capitalizing on AI and mobile demand, with analysts maintaining an "Outperform" rating with average upside of 14%, noting potential growth from 5G, HPC, and automotive sectors.</li>
</ul>


TSMC's July 2024 revenue reached NT$256.95 billion, up 23.6% MoM and 44.7% YoY. Year-to-date revenue grew by 30.5% to NT$1.52 trillion, driven by strong orders from Apple, Intel, and Nvidia. 
TSMC forecasts Q3 revenue of $22.4-23.2 billion, anticipating over 25% full-year growth. July revenue already at 35% of Q3 estimates. Analysts advise against assuming these results for the entire quarter.
TSMC is capitalizing on AI and mobile demand, with analysts maintaining an "Outperform" rating with average upside of 14%, noting potential growth from 5G, HPC, and automotive sectors.


TSMC's July Revenue Hits Record NT$256.95 Billion, Boosted by AI Servers and IPhone 16 Demand

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>S&amp;P DJI have started a market consultation to change the index weighting methodology for the Select Sector Indices to reduce concentration and avoid reverse turnover.</li>
<li>There is US$281bn tracking the Select Sector Indices from the SPDR ETFs. The market consultation will have a larger impact on indices where there is a high degree of concentration.</li>
<li>The largest inflows are expected in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1" rel="noopener">Apple</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/conocophillips" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18090:1" rel="noopener">Conocophillips</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amazon-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:409:1" rel="noopener">Amazon.com</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/netflix-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20451:1" rel="noopener">Netflix</a> while the largest outflows will be from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/microsoft-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15273:1" rel="noopener">Microsoft</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chevron-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11091:1" rel="noopener">Chevron</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/procter-gamble-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:978:1" rel="noopener">Procter &amp; Gamble</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/exxon-mobil-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:811:1" rel="noopener">Exxon Mobil</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/costco-wholesale-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18404:1" rel="noopener">Costco Wholesale</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meta-platforms-inc-class-a-facebook" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:665:1" rel="noopener">Meta Platforms</a>.</li>
</ul>


S&amp;P DJI have started a market consultation to change the index weighting methodology for the Select Sector Indices to reduce concentration and avoid reverse turnover.
There is US$281bn tracking the Select Sector Indices from the SPDR ETFs. The market consultation will have a larger impact on indices where there is a high degree of concentration.
The largest inflows are expected in Apple, Conocophillips, Amazon.com and Netflix while the largest outflows will be from Microsoft, NVIDIA, Chevron, Procter &amp; Gamble, Exxon Mobil, Costco Wholesale and Meta Platforms.


Select Sector Indices - HUGE Impact of Proposed Constituent Weighting Changes

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>A Reuters <a href="https://www.reuters.com/markets/deals/cybersecurity-firm-trend-micro-explores-sale-sources-say-2024-08-08/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">article</a> overnight says Trend Micro might be up for sale. This caused the ADRs to jump 10% overnight. The remaining co-founders are 65 and 70 this year. </li>
<li>The stock has effectively gone sideways the last few years as Value Act has been activisting. Now one has to exercise one's imagination to think about a possible sale price. </li>
<li>On a DCF basis, a PE fund couldn't reasonably do this. Multiples are too high. That means a strategic buyer would be more likely. But Who? Why? And How much?</li>
</ul>


A Reuters article overnight says Trend Micro might be up for sale. This caused the ADRs to jump 10% overnight. The remaining co-founders are 65 and 70 this year. 
The stock has effectively gone sideways the last few years as Value Act has been activisting. Now one has to exercise one's imagination to think about a possible sale price. 
On a DCF basis, a PE fund couldn't reasonably do this. Multiples are too high. That means a strategic buyer would be more likely. But Who? Why? And How much?


Trend Micro (4704) Up For Sale? Would Be a HUGE Buyout But How Huge? And Who?

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

<ul>
<li>Amid recent market turmoil, we believe that SK Telecom could be a solid blue-chip, defensive Korean stock that could outperform the market in the next 6-12 months.</li>
<li>SK Telecom reported better than expected profits in 2Q 2024. The company's sales were 0.5% higher than the consensus and its operating profit was 3.9% higher than the consensus estimates.</li>
<li>SK Telecom's shareholder return policy is to return at least 50% of adjusted profit for the year on a consolidated basis.</li>
</ul>


Amid recent market turmoil, we believe that SK Telecom could be a solid blue-chip, defensive Korean stock that could outperform the market in the next 6-12 months.
SK Telecom reported better than expected profits in 2Q 2024. The company's sales were 0.5% higher than the consensus and its operating profit was 3.9% higher than the consensus estimates.
SK Telecom's shareholder return policy is to return at least 50% of adjusted profit for the year on a consolidated basis.


SK Telecom: A Blue-Chip Defensive Stock That Could Outperform KOSPI Amid Market Turmoil

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>1211 HK: BYD and Uber reach agreement to launch 100,000 vehicles globally (/)</li>
<li>AAPL US: Huawei double-hinge folding device has begun production (-)</li>
<li>Macro News Update: The State Council Releases the "Opinions on Promoting High-Quality Development of Service Consumption," Primarily Focusing on Supply-Side Improvement.(+)</li>
</ul>


1211 HK: BYD and Uber reach agreement to launch 100,000 vehicles globally (/)
AAPL US: Huawei double-hinge folding device has begun production (-)
Macro News Update: The State Council Releases the "Opinions on Promoting High-Quality Development of Service Consumption," Primarily Focusing on Supply-Side Improvement.(+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/AAPL US/2150 HK/Macro News Update/Consumer Industry Update

United States

Apple Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and sells a variety of related accessories. The Company also offers payment, digital content, cloud and advertising services. Apple Inc.'s customers are primarily in consumer, small & mid-sized business, education, enterprise and government markets worldwide.

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Apple (AAPL US)

TSMC's July Revenue Hits Record NT$256.95 Billion, Boosted by AI Servers and IPhone 16 Demand

In July 2024, TSMC saw a 23.6% MoM revenue rise, reaching NT$256.95 billion driven by strong demand for 5nm/3nm tech from major clients like Apple...

Mint Finance

Select Sector Indices - HUGE Impact of Proposed Constituent Weighting Changes

The market consultation to change the index weighting methodology will set off a US$28bn trade in Sep. Inflows to Apple, Conocophillips, Amazon.com...

Brian Freitas

Trend Micro (4704) Up For Sale? Would Be a HUGE Buyout But How Huge? And Who?

Trend Micro - target of Value Act which has gone sideways for 2 years - is apparently considering a sale. Founders are 65-70. They need new...

Travis Lundy

SK Telecom: A Blue-Chip Defensive Stock That Could Outperform KOSPI Amid Market Turmoil

Amid recent market turmoil, SK Telecom could be a solid blue-chip, defensive Korean stock that could outperform the market. SK Telecom reported...

Douglas Kim

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/AAPL US/2150 HK/Macro News Update/Consumer Industry Update

BYD and Uber partner to deploy 100,000 vehicles worldwide, Huawei starts production on double-hinge folding device, China's State Council...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

TSMC's July Revenue Hits Record NT$256.95 Billion, Boosted by AI Servers and IPhone 16 Demand

In July 2024, TSMC saw a 23.6% MoM revenue rise, reaching NT$256.95 billion driven by strong demand for 5nm/3nm tech from major clients like Apple...

Mint Finance

Select Sector Indices - HUGE Impact of Proposed Constituent Weighting Changes

The market consultation to change the index weighting methodology will set off a US$28bn trade in Sep. Inflows to Apple, Conocophillips, Amazon.com...

Brian Freitas

Trend Micro (4704) Up For Sale? Would Be a HUGE Buyout But How Huge? And Who?

Trend Micro - target of Value Act which has gone sideways for 2 years - is apparently considering a sale. Founders are 65-70. They need new...

Travis Lundy

SK Telecom: A Blue-Chip Defensive Stock That Could Outperform KOSPI Amid Market Turmoil

Amid recent market turmoil, SK Telecom could be a solid blue-chip, defensive Korean stock that could outperform the market. SK Telecom reported...

Douglas Kim

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/AAPL US/2150 HK/Macro News Update/Consumer Industry Update

​BYD and Uber partner to deploy 100,000 vehicles worldwide, Huawei starts production on double-hinge folding device, China's State Council...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

BYD and Uber partner to deploy 100,000 vehicles worldwide, Huawei starts production on double-hinge folding device, China's State Council...