Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Our NAV analysis of LG Corp suggests an implied market cap of 16.3 trillion won or 103,781 won per share which is 16% higher than current share price.</li>
<li>For holdco discount, we used a 50% holdco discount. If investors perceive improvement in value (such as through corporate governance improvements), the holdco discount on LG Corp would decline.</li>
<li>LG Corp's shares are up 5.9% in the past six months, outperforming all the major LG Group related companies including LG Chem, LG H&amp;H, LG Electronics, and LG Energy Solution. </li>
</ul>


Our NAV analysis of LG Corp suggests an implied market cap of 16.3 trillion won or 103,781 won per share which is 16% higher than current share price.
For holdco discount, we used a 50% holdco discount. If investors perceive improvement in value (such as through corporate governance improvements), the holdco discount on LG Corp would decline.
LG Corp's shares are up 5.9% in the past six months, outperforming all the major LG Group related companies including LG Chem, LG H&amp;H, LG Electronics, and LG Energy Solution. 


LG Corp: Updated NAV Analysis Amid Ongoing Corporate Value Up Program in Korea

<ul>
<li>Our NAV analysis of LG Corp suggests an implied market cap of 16.9 trillion won or 107,217 won per share which is 28.4% higher than current share price. </li>
<li>We believe that LG Corp could announce another share buybacks representing 2-3% of outstanding shares in the next 6-12 months. </li>
<li>Another reason that could result in LG Corp's shares outperforming other major LG related shares is due to the value investors increasing capital allocation to higher dividend paying LG Corp.</li>
</ul>


Our NAV analysis of LG Corp suggests an implied market cap of 16.9 trillion won or 107,217 won per share which is 28.4% higher than current share price. 
We believe that LG Corp could announce another share buybacks representing 2-3% of outstanding shares in the next 6-12 months. 
Another reason that could result in LG Corp's shares outperforming other major LG related shares is due to the value investors increasing capital allocation to higher dividend paying LG Corp.


LG Corp: Updated NAV Analysis & Outperformance Likely Driven by Value Investors

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A high-ranking official from the local financial regulatory authority has confirmed to several local media outlets that the tax benefits for the value-up program will be unveiled this month.</li>
<li>Corporate tax cuts and separate taxation on dividend income will be included. The short-term impact at the time of the announcement will likely be more significant for corporate tax cuts.</li>
<li>Local market is focused on screening large companies within the KOSPI 200 that have substantial pre-tax profits in anticipation of the corporate tax cut momentum to be announced this month.</li>
</ul>


A high-ranking official from the local financial regulatory authority has confirmed to several local media outlets that the tax benefits for the value-up program will be unveiled this month.
Corporate tax cuts and separate taxation on dividend income will be included. The short-term impact at the time of the announcement will likely be more significant for corporate tax cuts.
Local market is focused on screening large companies within the KOSPI 200 that have substantial pre-tax profits in anticipation of the corporate tax cut momentum to be announced this month.


Value-Up Tax Support Revealed by End of June: Local Market Eyes Corporate Tax Cut Beneficiaries

<ul>
<li>It was reported in numerous local media in Korea that FSS is investigating Kakao Mobility for a potential accounting fraud. </li>
<li>There are suspicions that Kakao Mobility may have artificially inflated its sales from 2020 to 2023 to enhance the value of the company prior to its IPO listing. </li>
<li>Given that the regulators are unlikely to make a final decision on this matter until next year, this is likely to be negative on both Kakao Mobility and Kakao Corp. </li>
</ul>


It was reported in numerous local media in Korea that FSS is investigating Kakao Mobility for a potential accounting fraud. 
There are suspicions that Kakao Mobility may have artificially inflated its sales from 2020 to 2023 to enhance the value of the company prior to its IPO listing. 
Given that the regulators are unlikely to make a final decision on this matter until next year, this is likely to be negative on both Kakao Mobility and Kakao Corp. 


Concerns About A Major Accounting Fraud at Kakao Mobility

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we lay out the thesis that LG H&amp;H is likely to be one of the biggest beneficiaries of the return of Chinese group tours to Korea. </li>
<li>LG H&amp;H consistently generated more than 1 trillion won in operating profit from 2018 to 2021.</li>
<li>We expect LG H&amp;H to generate 1 trillion won or more in operating profit in 2024 and 2025, which would be 20-25%+ higher than current consensus estimates in this period. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we lay out the thesis that LG H&amp;H is likely to be one of the biggest beneficiaries of the return of Chinese group tours to Korea. 
LG H&amp;H consistently generated more than 1 trillion won in operating profit from 2018 to 2021.
We expect LG H&amp;H to generate 1 trillion won or more in operating profit in 2024 and 2025, which would be 20-25%+ higher than current consensus estimates in this period. 


LG H&H - A Key Beneficiary of the Return of Chinese Group Tours to Korea

South Korea

Doosan Co., Ltd operates as a diversified manufacturing and service company. The Company conducts electronic components production, logistics equipment manufacturing, information technology consulting, and other businesses. Doosan provides services worldwide.

CJ Corp. is an investment holding company.  The Company, through its subsidiaries, manufactures processed food products.  The subsidiaries' products include refined sugar, monosodium glutamate (MSG), condiment, wheat powder, flour, cooking oil, processed meats, and animal feed.

Samsung C&T Corporation conducts diversified business support services and resort operation activities. The Company offers a range of services in areas including clothing retail, construction, energy, real estate, food service, and resort accommodations. Samsung C&T also operates a resort with amusement rides, a zoo, water park, golf clubs, and restaurants.

ALUKO Co., Ltd. manufactures window frames, balconies, and ventilators made of aluminum.  The Company provides various colors and types of aluminum window frames and sashes.  ALUKO also produces steel furniture.

Samsung Heavy Industries Co., Ltd. manufactures crude oil tankers, container vessels, bulk carriers, cruisers, and passenger ferries.  The Company also produces steel and bridge structures, and material handling equipment.  In addition, Samsung Heavy Industries provides civil engineering, architectural, and plant construction services.

Hanwha Aerospace Co., Ltd. operates as an aircraft parts manufacturing company. The Company produces and sells aircraft gas turbine engine products, aircraft compressors, low pressure turbines, and other products. Hanwha Aerospace markets its products worldwide.

Posco International Corporation is a general trading company.  The Company exports and imports steel, cement, crude oil, heavy machinery, automobile parts, and textiles.  Daewoo also manufactures synthetic fabrics for footwear, garments, and car seats, and operates a department store in Masan.

Posco International Corporation (047050 KS)

HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering Co., Ltd. operates as a shipbuilding and offshore company. The Company provides industrial plant engineering, special and naval shipbuilding, marine engine and machinery, industrial machinery and energy services. HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering markets its products worldwide.

HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering (009540 KS)

HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering

Hanwha Ocean Co., Ltd. operates as a shipbuilding and offshore company. The Company provides floating structure construction, steel wire drying, commercial vessels, specialty vessels, gas carrier, tanker, containership, ro ro, bulk carrier, submarine, warship, auxiliaries, cruise ships, and ferries manufacturing services. Hanwha Ocean also offers onshore plants services.

Hyundai Electric & Energy Systems (HE&E), which makes various electric equipment including transformers, switchgear, motors, low & medium voltage circuit breakers, power electronics, and power electronics & control systems.

Keppel Corporation Limited's core businesses are offshore and marine, infrastructure, property investment and development, telecommunications and transportation, energy, and engineering.

Sembcorp Industries Ltd provides utilities and integrated services for industrial sites such as power, gas, steam, water, wastewater treatment and other on-site services. The Company's businesses also include marine & offshore engineering and urban development comprising industrial parks and business, commercial and residential spaces.

Jardine Matheson Holdings Limited is a multinational enterprise with a portfolio of businesses focused on the Asia-Pacific region. The Group's activities include financial services, supermarkets, consumer marketing, engineering and construction, automobile trading, insurance broking, property investment, and hotels.

DCC PLC is a sales, marketing, distribution and business support services Group. The Group operates in the following sectors; energy, IT & entertainment products, healthcare, environmental services and food & beverage. DCC's strategy is to grow a sustainable, diversified business.

Smiths Group plc is a global technology company.  The company delivers products and services for the threat & contraband detection, medical devices, energy and communications market worldwide.

Enka Insaat ve Sanayi AS provides construction and construction related services worldwide. The Company builds infrastructure, commercial projects and factories. The manufacturing subsidiaries produce construction materials, steel pipes, windows and hand tools. The Group also imports and distributes industrial machinery in Turkey.

Jardine Matheson Holdings Limited operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, focuses on motor vehicles, property investment and development, food retailing, health and beauty, home furnishings, engineering and construction, transport services, restaurants, luxury hotels, financial services, heavy equipment, mining, energy, and agribusiness.

Icahn Enterprises L.P., a master limited partnership, is a diversified holding company engaged in nine primary business segments: Automotive, Investment, Energy, Gaming, Railcar, Food Packaging, Metals, Real Estate and Home Fashion.

Seibu Holdings Inc. offers diversified operation. The Company through its subsidiary companies operates transportation, construction, hotel, leisure facilities, and real estate business. Seibu Holdings provides group enterprises strategy planning, operation management, asset management and supply, and business promotions.

Toshiba Corporation manufactures and markets electrical and electronic products. The Company's products include digital products such as PCs and televisions, NAND flash memories, and system LSIs (large-scale integrated), as well as social infrastructures such as power generators, medical equipment, and home appliances.

LG Corp. is a holding company, which operates subsidiaries including LG Electronics, LG Household & Health Care, LG Chem Ltd., and Dacom Corp. The Company's main business areas are electronics, chemicals, and household products manufacturing and telecommunications services.

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LG Corp (003550 KS)

LG Corp: Updated NAV Analysis Amid Ongoing Corporate Value Up Program in Korea

Our NAV analysis of LG Corp suggests an implied market cap of 16.3 trillion won or 103,781 won per share which is 16% higher than current share price.

Douglas Kim

LG Corp: Updated NAV Analysis & Outperformance Likely Driven by Value Investors

Our NAV analysis of LG Corp suggests an implied market cap of 16.9 trillion won or 107,217 won per share which is 28.4% higher than current share...

Douglas Kim

Value-Up Tax Support Revealed by End of June: Local Market Eyes Corporate Tax Cut Beneficiaries

A high-ranking official confirmed that tax cut incentives for the value-up program will be unveiled by the end of this month. This post...

Sanghyun Park

Concerns About A Major Accounting Fraud at Kakao Mobility

FSS is investigating Kakao Mobility for a potential, major accounting fraud. There are suspicions that Kakao Mobility may have artificially...

Douglas Kim

LG H&H - A Key Beneficiary of the Return of Chinese Group Tours to Korea

We expect LG H&H to generate 1 trillion won or more in operating profit in 2024 and 2025, which would be 20-25%+ higher than current consensus...

Douglas Kim

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