Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) / Equity Bottom-Up

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC)

<ul>
<li>In the past couple of weeks, there have been tremendous sanctions by the US government on China's semiconductor sector. </li>
<li>In this insight, we compare this move to the US government putting a trade embargo on oil against Japan nearly 81 years ago.</li>
<li>If there are severe disruptions to the semiconductor market in China, this will likely to have negative impact on the two Korean semi giants Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix.  </li>
</ul>


In the past couple of weeks, there have been tremendous sanctions by the US government on China's semiconductor sector. 
In this insight, we compare this move to the US government putting a trade embargo on oil against Japan nearly 81 years ago.
If there are severe disruptions to the semiconductor market in China, this will likely to have negative impact on the two Korean semi giants Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix.  


FDR's Trade Embargo on Oil (Japan) & Biden's Sanctions on China's Semi Sector - Prelude to Disaster?

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Chips / In Depth: The sudden reversal of the global chip shortage</li><li>Hong Kong / Hong Kong unveils new visa, property tax policies to stanch talent exodus</li><li>Central bank / China’s central bank gets new deputy governor</li></ul>

Chips / In Depth: The sudden reversal of the global chip shortageHong Kong / Hong Kong unveils new visa, property tax policies to stanch talent exodusCentral bank / China’s central bank gets new deputy governor

CX Daily: The Sudden Reversal of the Global Chip Shortage

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Mobileye Global (MBLY US) is getting ready to complete its IPO next week. The IPO price range is between $18 and $20 per share.</li>
<li>Our base case valuation of Mobileye is implied market cap of $15.2 billion or $19 per share, which is within the IPO price range. </li>
<li>Given the low upside in our target price relative to the IPO price range, we have a Negative view of this IPO.</li>
</ul>


Mobileye Global (MBLY US) is getting ready to complete its IPO next week. The IPO price range is between $18 and $20 per share.
Our base case valuation of Mobileye is implied market cap of $15.2 billion or $19 per share, which is within the IPO price range. 
Given the low upside in our target price relative to the IPO price range, we have a Negative view of this IPO.


Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>AMD and Samsung preliminary numbers disappoint, PC demand weakness cited.</li>
<li>U.S. issues broad new rules restricting technology sales to China, essentially removing China as a long-term demand driver for advanced products.</li>
<li>TSMC results coming out this week, expecting all-time high revenue.</li>
</ul>


AMD and Samsung preliminary numbers disappoint, PC demand weakness cited.
U.S. issues broad new rules restricting technology sales to China, essentially removing China as a long-term demand driver for advanced products.
TSMC results coming out this week, expecting all-time high revenue.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Our Summary of Sweeping New China Restrictions, TSMC Results This Week

Telco/Internet specialist

Kirk Boodry

Redex Research

<ul>
<li>Valuation losses in the Vision Fund public portfolio are now approaching $5bn as the end of the quarter looms versus break-even as recently as 13 September</li>
<li>That may have influenced the level of VF staff reductions which press reports ut at 30% versus expectations of 20% last month</li>
<li>The discount remains elevated on tech weakness and that is unlikely to change</li>
</ul>


Valuation losses in the Vision Fund public portfolio are now approaching $5bn as the end of the quarter looms versus break-even as recently as 13 September
That may have influenced the level of VF staff reductions which press reports ut at 30% versus expectations of 20% last month
The discount remains elevated on tech weakness and that is unlikely to change


Softbank Group - Vision Fund Losses Accelerate into Quarter End

United States

NVIDIA Corporation designs, develops, and markets three dimensional (3D) graphics processors and related software.  The Company's products provide interactive 3D graphics to the mainstream personal computer market.

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NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)

FDR's Trade Embargo on Oil (Japan) & Biden's Sanctions on China's Semi Sector - Prelude to Disaster?

There have been major sanctions by the US on China's semiconductor sector recently. We compare this move to the US government putting a trade...

Douglas Kim

CX Daily: The Sudden Reversal of the Global Chip Shortage

In Depth: The sudden reversal of the global chip shortage. Hong Kong unveils new visa, property tax policies to stanch talent exodus

Caixin Global

Mobileye Global IPO Valuation Analysis

Our base case valuation of Mobileye is implied market cap of $15.2 billion or $19 per share, which is within the IPO price range. We have a...

Douglas Kim

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Our Summary of Sweeping New China Restrictions, TSMC Results This Week

U.S. issues broad new rules restricting technology sales to China, essentially removing China as a long-term demand driver for advanced products.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Softbank Group - Vision Fund Losses Accelerate into Quarter End

Softbank shares are down 8% since it announced the early settlement of Alibaba derivative contracts but a strong dollar has helped as declines in...

Kirk Boodry

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