Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Today <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd-cl-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10433:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK)</a> (and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23726:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific Ltd-Cl B (87 HK)</a>) announced earnings, and they announced a large (HK$4bn) buyback.  </li>
<li>Details are somewhat thin, but there are a bunch of possibilities, and all of them should have non-negligible impact on Swire and Swire vs Peers. </li>
<li>The immediate market response was to send them up 10% on the day. That puts both at somewhere near one-year highs, but the discount to NAV is still big.</li>
</ul>


Today Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK) (and Swire Pacific Ltd-Cl B (87 HK)) announced earnings, and they announced a large (HK$4bn) buyback.  
Details are somewhat thin, but there are a bunch of possibilities, and all of them should have non-negligible impact on Swire and Swire vs Peers. 
The immediate market response was to send them up 10% on the day. That puts both at somewhere near one-year highs, but the discount to NAV is still big.


Swire A/B (19 HK / 87 HK) Buyback Programme - It's REALLY BIG

David Blennerhassett

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd-cl-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10433:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK)</a> expands its beverages ops, its best-performing unlisted segment, via the acquisition of Coke bottling operations in Vietnam and Cambodia. </li>
<li>Preceding my comments on Swire - and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5775:1" rel="noopener">Swire Properties (1972 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cathay-pacific-airways-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:243:1" rel="noopener">Cathay Pacific Airways (293 HK)</a> - are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos. </li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>



Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK) expands its beverages ops, its best-performing unlisted segment, via the acquisition of Coke bottling operations in Vietnam and Cambodia. 
Preceding my comments on Swire - and Swire Properties (1972 HK) and Cathay Pacific Airways (293 HK) - are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos. 
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld: Swire Acquires Coke's Ops in Vietnam & Cambodia

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cathay-pacific-airways-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:243:1" rel="noopener">Cathay Pacific Airways (293 HK)</a> dangles bonuses for pilots and first officers amid Hong Kong's stringent crew quarantine requirements. </li>
<li>Preceding my comments on Cathay - and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd-cl-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10433:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK)</a>- are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos. </li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>



Cathay Pacific Airways (293 HK) dangles bonuses for pilots and first officers amid Hong Kong's stringent crew quarantine requirements. 
Preceding my comments on Cathay - and Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK)- are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos. 
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld: Cathay Pacific - Still Grounded

<ul>
<li>In its latest traffic figure <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2021/1117/2021111700289.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">release</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cathay-pacific-airways-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:243:1" rel="noopener">Cathay Pacific (293 HK)</a> said it's been able to achieve close to operating cash breakeven for the four-month period from July to October 2021.</li>
<li>Cathay carried a total of 76,430 passengers in October, an increase of 98.3% compared to October 2020, but a 97.2% decrease compared to the pre-pandemic level in October 2019.</li>
<li>Separately, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd-cl-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10433:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK)</a>'s discount to NAV of ~50% is bang in line with its 12-month average.</li>
</ul>


In its latest traffic figure release, Cathay Pacific (293 HK) said it's been able to achieve close to operating cash breakeven for the four-month period from July to October 2021.
Cathay carried a total of 76,430 passengers in October, an increase of 98.3% compared to October 2020, but a 97.2% decrease compared to the pre-pandemic level in October 2019.
Separately, Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK)'s discount to NAV of ~50% is bang in line with its 12-month average.


Swire Pac (19 HK): Cathay's Operating Cash (Almost) Breaking Even

Last Week in Event SPACE:  Swire, Hitachi Metal, Jardine, Softbank, Bingo, Japan Asia, Mainstream

Hong Kong

Swire Properties Limited develops and manages commercial, retail, and residential properties. The Company's investment portfolio includes office and retail premises, and serviced apartments and other residential accommodation.

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Swire Properties (1972 HK)

Swire A/B (19 HK / 87 HK) Buyback Programme - It's REALLY BIG

Swire announced a large buyback today. Shares in both A|B lines jumped 10+%. It is "only" HK$4bn but it is a large portion of Real World Float and...

Travis Lundy

StubWorld: Swire Acquires Coke's Ops in Vietnam & Cambodia

I tilt bullish on Swire Pac. A 50%+ discount is wide given it has historically traded in the low-to-mid twenties. Plus it's inexpensive at 0.26x P...

David Blennerhassett

StubWorld: Cathay Pacific - Still Grounded

I can't get excited with Cathay. I tilt bullish on Swire Pac. Around a 50% discount is wide given its tendency to historically trade in the low-to...

David Blennerhassett

Swire Pac (19 HK): Cathay's Operating Cash (Almost) Breaking Even

I tilt bullish on Swire Pac. Around a 50% discount is wide given its tendency to historically trade in the low-to-mid twenties. I'm still not...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week in Event SPACE: Swire, Hitachi Metal, Jardine, Softbank, Bingo, Japan Asia, Mainstream

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

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