External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>CTRA booked resilient 2Q24 pre-sales, supporting 1H24 to form 55/53% of mgmt/our FY24F, with above-expected sales from Serpong Elaia.</li><li>VAT-exempted products rose to 43% of marketing sales, which we estimate to translate into ~Rp800bn net profit (35% to our FY24F).</li><li>We reiterate our Buy rating (TP Rp1,700); CTRA is poised to benefit from higher landed-residential demand and falling interest rate sentiment.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CTRA booked resilient 2Q24 pre-sales, supporting 1H24 to form 55/53% of mgmt/our FY24F, with above-expected sales from Serpong Elaia.VAT-exempted products rose to 43% of marketing sales, which we estimate to translate into ~Rp800bn net profit (35% to our FY24F).We reiterate our Buy rating (TP Rp1,700); CTRA is poised to benefit from higher landed-residential demand and falling interest rate sentiment.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Ciputra Development - Expect Landed-Residential to Remain a Key Pillar for 2H24 Marketing Sales

<ul><li>We believe CTRA will be able to maintain its strong pre-sales trend in 2H24 (1H24 est. +3% yoy), driven by its vast landed-residential projects.</li><li>Our channel check on Elaia Serpong shows a potential Rp270-300bn pre-sales in 2Q24. We raise our overall FY24F est. by 17% to Rp11.5tr.</li><li>We resume coverage with a Buy rating and RNAV-based TP of Rp1,700 (assuming slightly higher disc. to RNAV of 52%); CTRA is our sector pick.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We believe CTRA will be able to maintain its strong pre-sales trend in 2H24 (1H24 est. +3% yoy), driven by its vast landed-residential projects.Our channel check on Elaia Serpong shows a potential Rp270-300bn pre-sales in 2Q24. We raise our overall FY24F est. by 17% to Rp11.5tr.We resume coverage with a Buy rating and RNAV-based TP of Rp1,700 (assuming slightly higher disc. to RNAV of 52%); CTRA is our sector pick.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Ciputra Development - Expect Strong Marketing Sales Trend to Continue in 2H24

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), MNC Sekuritas

MNC Sekuritas

MNC Sekuritas, the first wholly-owned subsidiary established by the Group back in 1989, provides a complete range of services, from equity, fixed income, investment banking to providing research to optimize clients’ investments. Thus far, the company has more than 140 points of sales with over 100,000 clients. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Residential sales grew by +31.2% YoY in 1Q24, meanwhile the ASP was relatively stable with +1.9% YoY growth.</li><li>Developers recorded an average increase in marketing sales of 13.1% YoY in 1Q24, with approximately ~46-47% marketing sales resulting from the VAT incentive, in line with the 100% VAT allowance in 1H24 and 50% in 2H24.</li><li>According to the survey from Rumah123, Tangerang became the most popular location reaching 15.6%, followed by South Jakarta (11.4%) and West Jakarta (10.8%), with a price range of IDR1-3billion/unit. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Residential sales grew by +31.2% YoY in 1Q24, meanwhile the ASP was relatively stable with +1.9% YoY growth.Developers recorded an average increase in marketing sales of 13.1% YoY in 1Q24, with approximately ~46-47% marketing sales resulting from the VAT incentive, in line with the 100% VAT allowance in 1H24 and 50% in 2H24.According to the survey from Rumah123, Tangerang became the most popular location reaching 15.6%, followed by South Jakarta (11.4%) and West Jakarta (10.8%), with a price range of IDR1-3billion/unit. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Property Sector - The Dawn of a Promising Upsurge

<ul><li>Majority of property developers’ marketing sales showed stable growth of 0-2% yoy in 4Q23, with CTRA showing the strongest at 45% yoy.</li><li>We expect a brighter sales outlook for FY24 (at +8-12% yoy), supported by a continuation in VAT and LTV stimulus.</li><li>We currently have an OW rating on the sector; possible downside risks might come from postponement of commercial property purchases.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Majority of property developers’ marketing sales showed stable growth of 0-2% yoy in 4Q23, with CTRA showing the strongest at 45% yoy.We expect a brighter sales outlook for FY24 (at +8-12% yoy), supported by a continuation in VAT and LTV stimulus.We currently have an OW rating on the sector; possible downside risks might come from postponement of commercial property purchases.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Property: Stable 4Q23 Marketing Sales Growth (OVERWEIGHT)

<ul><li>The development of the new capital city Nusantara (IKN) will create new markets for listed developers to tap.</li><li>The Public Private Partnership (PPP) scheme appears a less risky option for developers, while pure investment through Land Allocation (LA) offers attractive return potential if the right market segments can be targeted.</li><li>We remain OW on the sector given its attractive valuation (72% D2NAV), with PWON and CTRA as our top picks.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The development of the new capital city Nusantara (IKN) will create new markets for listed developers to tap.The Public Private Partnership (PPP) scheme appears a less risky option for developers, while pure investment through Land Allocation (LA) offers attractive return potential if the right market segments can be targeted.We remain OW on the sector given its attractive valuation (72% D2NAV), with PWON and CTRA as our top picks.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Property - Attractive new markets from IKN development

Indonesia

PT Ciputra Development Tbk develops and sells real estate including office spaces, shopping centers, and related facilities as well as industrial estates. The Company also designs, develops, and maintains housing facilities including golf courses, clubs, restaurants, recreational places, and related facilities.

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Ciputra Development (CTRA IJ)

Ciputra Development - Expect Landed-Residential to Remain a Key Pillar for 2H24 Marketing Sales

CTRA booked resilient 2Q24 pre-sales, supporting 1H24 to form 55/53% of mgmt/our FY24F, with above-expected sales from Serpong Elaia.

BRI Danareksa Research

Ciputra Development - Expect Strong Marketing Sales Trend to Continue in 2H24

We believe CTRA will be able to maintain its strong pre-sales trend in 2H24 (1H24 est. +3% yoy), driven by its vast landed-residential projects.

BRI Danareksa Research

Property Sector - The Dawn of a Promising Upsurge

Meanwhile, the strength of the property market in Bali was primarily supported by the tourism sector and several policies and incentives that allow...

MNC Sekuritas

Property: Stable 4Q23 Marketing Sales Growth (OVERWEIGHT)

Majority of property developers’ marketing sales showed stable growth of 0-2% yoy in 4Q23, with CTRA showing the strongest at 45% yoy.

BRI Danareksa Research

Property - Attractive new markets from IKN development

The Public Private Partnership (PPP) scheme appears a less risky option for developers, while pure investment through Land Allocation (LA) offers...

BRI Danareksa Research

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