Asia focused research insights & advisory, Asia Advisors

Vinay Patel

Asia focused research insights & advisory

Asia Advisors

Asia Advisors is an independent financial advisory and research firm working closely with corporates and institutions to provide consulting solutions & research insights. We provide advisory services including capital solutions, business strategy and investment insights.
Firm is headed by Vinay Patel who has close to two decades of experience in research and business development at large, international investment banks such as HSBC and ICICI Securities. Led research efforts in areas of Macroeconomics, Asset Allocation & Investment Strategy for close to a decade in global & domestic research teams. As a business head in Singapore, advised top global investment management firms & Portfolio managers in Asia for India related investments.
Vinay was recently joined by Swapnil Manish, an investment banker and ex-ecommerce entrepreneur with more than 12 years of experience. Swapnil was the TMT banker at BNP Paribas and was part of several large M&A and ECM transactions (Bharti-Zain, Bharti Infratel IPO, Schneider-Zicom among several others). He's also had a stint as an ecommerce entrepreneur having launched & led Mumbai's first online grocery player.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Primary issuances are expected to remain strong in 2017 following a five-year high in funds raised in 2016 (Rs 220bn) even as Fed rate expectations weigh on the broader secondary market outlook for India. Data shows that primary issuances in previous years have bucked the trend of weak capital inflows and in our view companies evaluate sector appetite &amp; valuations levels before deciding on a public issue. For e.g. in the recent past, CY2015 hardly recorded any significant FII inflows however the…

Primary issuances are expected to remain strong in 2017 following a five-year high in funds raised in 2016 (Rs 220bn) even as Fed rate expectations weigh on the broader secondary market outlook for India. Data shows that primary issuances in previous years have bucked the trend of weak capital inflows and in our view companies evaluate sector appetite &amp; valuations levels before deciding on a public issue. For e.g. in the recent past, CY2015 hardly recorded any significant FII inflows however the…

IPO Pipeline to Remain Strong as PE Funds, Quasi-Govt Promoters Aim for Portfolio Exits

Founder and Strategist, Entext Economics & Strategy

Sean Maher

Founder and Strategist

Entext Economics & Strategy

Entext provides institutional investors with distinctive, actionable asset allocation and thematic research, which typically challenges the market consensus. Our clients range from credit, equity and multi-asset hedge and pension funds to family offices and sovereign funds. 
 
We focus on identifying key inflection points in macro data and relative asset performance amid the 'groupthink'  and confirmation bias that characterizes most investment bank analysis.

Macro Driven Investment Insight

<ul>
<li>The value vs. momentum factor divergence was 17 percentage points in EM last year - India as a highly-rated, defensive market was always likely to lag given that backdrop.</li>
<li>However, it has delivered a mediocre longer term return relative to the investor hype generated - the Sensex has seen only a 4.9% annualized return over the past five years and 2.7% over the past decade in USD.</li>
<li>That partly reflects the INR falling by a third since late 2011, underperforming even the commodity exposed IDR and MYR…</li>
</ul>


The value vs. momentum factor divergence was 17 percentage points in EM last year - India as a highly-rated, defensive market was always likely to lag given that backdrop.
However, it has delivered a mediocre longer term return relative to the investor hype generated - the Sensex has seen only a 4.9% annualized return over the past five years and 2.7% over the past decade in USD.
That partly reflects the INR falling by a third since late 2011, underperforming even the commodity exposed IDR and MYR…


Still Too Many Stale Bulls on India, as Structural Risks Deepen - 11th Jan 2017

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Dena Bank is a small PSU bank, at a similar size to better-known YES Bank. Dena Bank received a central bank capital injection a few months ago. And yet, it is coming to the market again for more capital. For anybody thinking that the NPL cycle has run its course in India, it's not the case. Of course, it isn’t only Dena Bank or PSU banks that are of concern; recent NPL formation at several private banks is also worrisome. India’s banks remain well entrenched in a nasty NPL cycle. Where some may…

Dena Bank is a small PSU bank, at a similar size to better-known YES Bank. Dena Bank received a central bank capital injection a few months ago. And yet, it is coming to the market again for more capital. For anybody thinking that the NPL cycle has run its course in India, it's not the case. Of course, it isn’t only Dena Bank or PSU banks that are of concern; recent NPL formation at several private banks is also worrisome. India’s banks remain well entrenched in a nasty NPL cycle. Where some may…

Co-founder & Managing Director, Marketnomix 

Rajan Govil

Co-founder & Managing Director

Marketnomix 

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Growth outlook remains tilted to the downside.</li><li> Fiscal and Monetary Policy have become confusing amidst a lack of meaningful structural reforms.</li><li>Room for further rate cuts on easing inflation and as demonetization hurts growth; downside risk to overvalued rupee with slow growth and rise in US yields.</li></ul>

Growth outlook remains tilted to the downside. Fiscal and Monetary Policy have become confusing amidst a lack of meaningful structural reforms.Room for further rate cuts on easing inflation and as demonetization hurts growth; downside risk to overvalued rupee with slow growth and rise in US yields.

Specialist in Indian Banking and Economic Research

Hemindra Hazari

Customers of HDFC Bank, India’s most valuable and one of the most expensive banks in the world have been hard hit in the ongoing demonetisation saga in India. Depositors of HDFC Bank have been complaining about their inability to withdraw the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) stipulated cash withdrawal from their accounts. In the last week this writer, an HDFC Bank account holder has been unable to withdraw any cash from the branch. What is strange is that in other banks in the vicinity where this writer has accounts there is no such impediment and one can comfortably withdraw the stipulated amount. While the general customers of HDFC Bank have been undergoing severe hardships, select high-net worth customers and corporate salary account holders apparently have no such deprivation and therein lies a possible tale of the bank’s ruthlessly efficient business model at a time of national distress.

Customers of HDFC Bank, India’s most valuable and one of the most expensive banks in the world have been hard hit in the ongoing demonetisation saga in India. Depositors of HDFC Bank have been complaining about their inability to withdraw the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) stipulated cash withdrawal from their accounts. In the last week this writer, an HDFC Bank account holder has been unable to withdraw any cash from the branch. What is strange is that in other banks in the vicinity where this writer has accounts there is no such impediment and one can comfortably withdraw the stipulated amount. While the general customers of HDFC Bank have been undergoing severe hardships, select high-net worth customers and corporate salary account holders apparently have no such deprivation and therein lies a possible tale of the bank’s ruthlessly efficient business model at a time of national distress.

India

IFCI Limited provides medium and long-term credits to industrial concerns in India.

Piramal Enterprises Limited provides diversified commercial services. The Company offers pharmaceutical production and distribution, real estate, healthcare insights and analysis, and financial services. Piramal Enterprises serves customers globally.

Aavas Financiers Limited provides consumer finance services. The Company offers home, land purchase, construction, home improvement, balance transfer, and business loans. Aavas Financiers serves customers in India.

Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited specializes in tourism related business. The Group works in association with the Government of India, in order to create and develop projects to help with accommodations and hospitality services, car rental services, ferries for water transport, highway facilities and training institutes for hotel personnel.

Crest Ventures Limited is an investment company.  The Company invests in financial assets and real estate.

Vardhman Holdings Ltd sells a variety of fabrics.  The Company sells yarn, threads, fibers, garments, and steels.

Microsec Financial Services, Ltd. is a financial services company. The Company provides investment banking, retail brokerage, wealth management, insurance broking, and financing services to corporates, institutional, and individual clients.

A.K Capital Services Ltd. provides financial services such as private placements of debt, initial public offering management, debt trading, project finance, investment advisory, and loan syndication. The Company has offices located throughout India.

Muthoot Capital Services Limited is a financial services company. The Company offers capital market solutions that include leasing and hire purchase, vehicle loans and bonds and deposits.

Golden Goenka Fincorp Limited operates as non-bank financial institution. The Company provides short to medium term loans, and offers a variety of financial services including acquisition funding, lending against land, promoter funding, and illiquid collaterals. Golden Goenka was established in 1993, and is based out of Kolkata, India.

First Pacific Company Limited is an investment holding company with operations located in Asia-Pacific. The Company principally invests in consumer food products, infrastructure, natural resources, and telecommunications.

AMP Limited provides life insurance, superannuation, asset management products, pensions, retirement planning and other diversified financial services throughout Australia and New Zealand.  The Company services individual customers, small businesses, corporations and associated superannuation funds.

Fuyo General Lease Co Ltd leases machinery and equipment.  The Company also provides other financial services such as installment sale and lending.

Paymentus Holdings, Inc. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, develops cloud-based bill payment technology and solutions. Paymentus Holdings serves customers worldwide.

Mizuho Leasing Company, Limited operates as a leasing company. The Company provides finance leasing, operating leasing, automobile leasing, real estate leasing, and other services.  Mizuho Leasing also offers payment outsourcing, installment sales, and other services.

Bohai Leasing Company Ltd. offers lease financing services.  The Company finances the leasing of aircraft, ships and other transportation equipment.

Plus500 Ltd. operates a trading platform for investors. The Company allows users to trade financial instruments, such as shares, forex, commodities, indices, and ETFs through its contracts for difference (CFD) service

China Development Bank Financial Leasing Co. Ltd. provides financial leasing services. The Company offers aircraft leasing, ship leasing, commercial vehicle leasing, construction machinery leasing, highway leasing, rail transit leasing, new energy leasing, enterprise equipment leasing, urban infrastructure leasing, house leasing, and other services. 

China Development Bank Financial Leasing (1606 HK)

Far East Horizon Ltd is a financial services provider. The Company specializes in providing financing solutions through equipment-based financial leasing. Far East currently targets industries that include healthcare, education, infrastructure construction, shipping, printing and machinery industries.

Metro Pacific Investments Corporation is an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides water, sanitation and sewerage services, and also operates in real estate, infrastructure projects, toll roads, electricity distribution, hospital operations and light rail.

IDFC Limited offers infrastructure project financing services.  The Company primarily finances energy, telecommunications, and transportation projects.

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IDFC Ltd (IDFC IN)

IPO Pipeline to Remain Strong as PE Funds, Quasi-Govt Promoters Aim for Portfolio Exits

Primary issuances are expected to remain strong in 2017 following a five-year high in funds raised in 2016 (Rs 220bn) even as Fed rate expectations...

Asia Advisors

Still Too Many Stale Bulls on India, as Structural Risks Deepen - 11th Jan 2017

The value vs. momentum factor divergence was 17 percentage points in EM last year - India as a highly-rated, defensive market was always likely to...

Sean Maher

India's Dramatic NPL Acceleration

Dena Bank is a small PSU bank, at a similar size to better-known YES Bank. Dena Bank received a central bank capital injection a few months ago....

Daniel Tabbush

Marketnomix Insights : India Outlook

Growth outlook remains tilted to the downside. Fiscal and Monetary Policy have become confusing amidst a lack of meaningful structural...

Rajan Govil

HDFC Bank - Where Is the Cash?

Customers of HDFC Bank, India’s most valuable and one of the most expensive banks in the world have been hard hit in the ongoing demonetisation...

Hemindra Hazari

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