Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

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It was announced that <a href="https://biz.chosun.com/industry/company/2021/10/09/3RSJJ472C5DHPKNURGL4YSJCFE/?utm_source=naver&amp;utm_medium=original&amp;utm_campaign=biz" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Hong Ra-Hee</a> (wife of the late Samsung Chairman Lee Gun-Hee) will sell about 1.43 trillion won worth of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) </a>in order to pay for inheritance taxes. This represents 19.94 million shares at 71,500 won per share of Samsung Electronics.
In addition to Hong Ra-Hee's sale of Samsung Electronics, her daughters Lee Bu-Jin and Lee Seo-Hyun will sell 0.73 trillion won worth of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-sds-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:509:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Sds (018260 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-life-insurance-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:510:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Life Insurance (032830 KS)</a>. Thus, the total amount of Samsung Group related shares (including Samsung Electronics) to be sold in this sale is about 2.2 trillion won ($1.8 billion).
The stake sale of Samsung Electronics could be quickly absorbed by the market while the sale sales of Samsung SDS and Samsung Life Insurance could take more time to digest. In addition, this will be a recurring event every year for the next five years with the Lee family continuing to sell down their stakes in Samsung Electronics and other Samsung affiliates in order to pay off the exorbitant amount of inheritance taxes. We believe that there could be continued concerns about this inheritance tax sale of Samsung SDS, Samsung Life Insurance, and Samsung Electronics which could further pressure these stocks negatively in the near term. 
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It was announced that Hong Ra-Hee (wife of the late Samsung Chairman Lee Gun-Hee) will sell about 1.43 trillion won worth of Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) in order to pay for inheritance taxes. This represents 19.94 million shares at 71,500 won per share of Samsung Electronics.
In addition to Hong Ra-Hee's sale of Samsung Electronics, her daughters Lee Bu-Jin and Lee Seo-Hyun will sell 0.73 trillion won worth of Samsung Sds (018260 KS) and Samsung Life Insurance (032830 KS). Thus, the total amount of Samsung Group related shares (including Samsung Electronics) to be sold in this sale is about 2.2 trillion won ($1.8 billion).
The stake sale of Samsung Electronics could be quickly absorbed by the market while the sale sales of Samsung SDS and Samsung Life Insurance could take more time to digest. In addition, this will be a recurring event every year for the next five years with the Lee family continuing to sell down their stakes in Samsung Electronics and other Samsung affiliates in order to pay off the exorbitant amount of inheritance taxes. We believe that there could be continued concerns about this inheritance tax sale of Samsung SDS, Samsung Life Insurance, and Samsung Electronics which could further pressure these stocks negatively in the near term. 


Lee Family to Sell 2.2 Trillion Won Worth of Samsung Group Affiliates to Pay for Inheritance Tax

It was announced today that Samsung's Lee Jae-Yong will get out of jail as the Korean government will release him on parole this week after he spent 18 months in prison. The total original sentence time was for 30 months so Lee will no longer need to serve the remaining one year of jail time. Lee joins 800+ other convicts who will be released from various prisons in Korea on Friday. In our view, this could accelerate some of Samsung's major investment plans globally and could also have a positive impact on the Samsung Group companies. Lee Jae-Yong joins a long-list of Korean chaebol family members that have served some time in prison. <div class="content-highlight">
Overall, we believe that there could be more investors' interest in Samsung C&amp;T with the release of Lee Jae-Yong from jail. Although he remains a figurehead, the persistent negative press on him will likely be relieved and there could be more pressure to improve various ESG metrics of the Samsung Group companies even further. As such, we believe this will have a positive impact on the Samsung Group companies, especially on Samsung C&amp;T. 
Our base case NAV valuation of Samsung C&amp;T is 202,593 won per share, representing 42.2% higher than current share price. In our base case valuation, we used the current market cap/prices of its ownership in major affiliates including Samsung Electronics, Samsung Biologics, and Samsung Life Insurance. We also used a 40% holdco discount in our valuations. 
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It was announced today that Samsung's Lee Jae-Yong will get out of jail as the Korean government will release him on parole this week after he spent 18 months in prison. The total original sentence time was for 30 months so Lee will no longer need to serve the remaining one year of jail time. Lee joins 800+ other convicts who will be released from various prisons in Korea on Friday. In our view, this could accelerate some of Samsung's major investment plans globally and could also have a positive impact on the Samsung Group companies. Lee Jae-Yong joins a long-list of Korean chaebol family members that have served some time in prison. 
Overall, we believe that there could be more investors' interest in Samsung C&amp;T with the release of Lee Jae-Yong from jail. Although he remains a figurehead, the persistent negative press on him will likely be relieved and there could be more pressure to improve various ESG metrics of the Samsung Group companies even further. As such, we believe this will have a positive impact on the Samsung Group companies, especially on Samsung C&amp;T. 
Our base case NAV valuation of Samsung C&amp;T is 202,593 won per share, representing 42.2% higher than current share price. In our base case valuation, we used the current market cap/prices of its ownership in major affiliates including Samsung Electronics, Samsung Biologics, and Samsung Life Insurance. We also used a 40% holdco discount in our valuations. 


Samsung's Lee Jae-Yong Gets Out of Jail (Again) & NAV Analysis of Samsung C&T

Silver Point

Thomas J. Monaco

Independent Insight Provider

Silver Point is a boutique research firm that focuses on the broader financial services sector, with a particular focus on troubled institutions globally. 

Asia Ex Japan

Equity Bottom-Up

*Capital Hole Develops In USA:The 1Q21 regulatory financial statement for Prudential plc’s (PRU.LN) [Prudential] Jackson National (Jackson) subsidiary shows that statutory equity has declined a surprising USD 1.9 bn (39.6%) to USD 2.9 bn on a linked quarter basis at 1Q21; and *Franchise Of The Future: Nevertheless, we see Prudential's exiting of its US business is a positive (albeit likely more costly now) as it will reduce the group's exposure to US macro and transition the group into a pure Asian play. We believe that PRU’s Asian franchise is impressive with a strong growth outlook.

*Capital Hole Develops In USA:The 1Q21 regulatory financial statement for Prudential plc’s (PRU.LN) [Prudential] Jackson National (Jackson) subsidiary shows that statutory equity has declined a surprising USD 1.9 bn (39.6%) to USD 2.9 bn on a linked quarter basis at 1Q21; and *Franchise Of The Future: Nevertheless, we see Prudential's exiting of its US business is a positive (albeit likely more costly now) as it will reduce the group's exposure to US macro and transition the group into a pure Asian play. We believe that PRU’s Asian franchise is impressive with a strong growth outlook.

Research from Asian Century Stocks, Asian Century Stocks

Michael Fritzell

Research from Asian Century Stocks

Providing financial journalism in the Asia-Pacific

Asian Century Stocks

Asian Century Stocks is a newsletter providing financial journalism for companies and stocks in the Asia-Pacific. 
The Asian Century Stocks logotype “百” stands for “one hundred” or a “century”. The economic centre of gravity is moving towards Asia. Yet most global investors are missing out.

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I just read the book <a href="https://www.amazon.com/Samsung-Rising-Inside-Korean-Conquer-ebook/dp/B07T9WTTZC/ref=sr_1_1?dchild=1&amp;keywords=samsung+rising&amp;qid=1623743594&amp;sr=8-1" target="_blank" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.amazon.com/Samsung-Rising-Inside-Korean-Conquer-ebook/dp/B07T9WTTZC/ref%3Dsr_1_1?dchild%3D1%26keywords%3Dsamsung%2Brising%26qid%3D1623743594%26sr%3D8-1&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1624323969123000&amp;usg=AFQjCNGC2aiiwDMsNjEfaxR0gESTgnBzqg" rel="noopener">Samsung Rising</a> by Geoffrey Cain and found it enlightening.
Samsung is a unique company: one of the best brand names to ever come out of East Asia.
This post will give you a brief history of how Samsung made the journey from a post-war trading company to an international technology giant. I will then describe where Samsung is today and where it could be heading in the future.




I just read the book Samsung Rising by Geoffrey Cain and found it enlightening.
Samsung is a unique company: one of the best brand names to ever come out of East Asia.
This post will give you a brief history of how Samsung made the journey from a post-war trading company to an international technology giant. I will then describe where Samsung is today and where it could be heading in the future.

Fintech & EM-focused Analyst, KT Capital Group

Alec Tseung

Fintech & EM-focused Analyst

Private Capital Markets

Kyobo Life Insurance Co Ltd / Private Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>News and rumors about a potential IPO of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kyobo-life-insurance-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33146:1" rel="noopener">Kyobo Life Insurance Co Ltd (KYLINZ KS)</a> resurfaced given the strong performance of the equity market in Korea.</li>
<li>Korean life insurance's sector outlook remains uncertain given the country's prolonged low interest rate environment and the upcoming regulatory and accounting standard changes.</li>
<li> Kyobo Life's current shareholding structure is dominated by private equity and other institutional investors which are actively looking to exit.</li>
<li>Its implied value per share based on peers' trading multiples is unlikely to generate a decent recent for these institutional investors.</li>
<li>Kyobo Life's IPO plan remains very challenging.</li>
</ul>


News and rumors about a potential IPO of Kyobo Life Insurance Co Ltd (KYLINZ KS) resurfaced given the strong performance of the equity market in Korea.
Korean life insurance's sector outlook remains uncertain given the country's prolonged low interest rate environment and the upcoming regulatory and accounting standard changes.
 Kyobo Life's current shareholding structure is dominated by private equity and other institutional investors which are actively looking to exit.
Its implied value per share based on peers' trading multiples is unlikely to generate a decent recent for these institutional investors.
Kyobo Life's IPO plan remains very challenging.


Kyobo Life: Challenging Sector Outlook with Most Existing Shareholders Hoping to Get Out

South Korea

Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance Co., Ltd. provides insurance services. The Company offers auto, fire, marine, casualty, health, leisure, and retirement products and services. Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance serves customers in South Korea.

Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance (000810 KS)

Dongbu Insurance Co., Ltd. provides a variety of non-life insurance services such as auto, long-term casualty and property, pension and retirement, fire and marine, and leisure insurance products.

Hanwha Life Insurance Co., Ltd. offers life insurance services and reinsurance services.  The Company also does insurance against loss business, beverages business, real estate rental, and securities investment business through its subsidiaries.

Hyundai Marine & Fire Insurance Co., Ltd. (HDMF) is a property and casualty insurer.  The Company's products include auto, fire, marine, general liability, leisure, travel, pension, and medical insurances.

Hyundai Marine & Fire Insurance Co., Ltd (001450 KS)

Korean Reinsurance Company is a reinsurer which underwrites life and non-life insurance.  The Company's products include life, fire, marine, auto, casualty, guarantee, pension, long-term, and foreign reinsurance.

Tongyang Life Insurance offers life insurance services. The Company markets its products through individuals and groups.

Lotte Non-Life Insurance Company Ltd. provides a variety of non-life insurance services, such as auto, fire, marine, long-term casualty and property, pension, and retirement insurance products. The Company also operates a foreign reinsurance business.

Mirae Asset Life Insurance Co., Ltd. provides life insurance and related products.  The Company offers a wide range of services including retirement pension, non-saving products, individual savings, bank assurance, and other financial consulting services.

Mirae Asset Life Insurance Co., (085620 KS)

Hanwha General Insurance Co., Ltd. provides a variety of non-life insurance services, such as fire, marine, auto, long term casualty and property, pension and retirement, leisure, and air products.

HungKuk Fire & Marine Insurance Co., Ltd. provides a variety of non-life insurance services, such as fire, marine, long term casualty and property, auto, pension and retirement, and leisure insurance.

Heungkuk Fire & Marine Insurance (000540 KS)

New China Life Insurance Company Limited provides life insurance in local and foreign currencies, acts as an insurance agent, provides checks, claims and insurance consulting. The Company's main products include life insurance, accident insurance, health insurance products and services.

The People's Insurance Company (Group) of China Limited, through its subsidiaries, offers a range of property and casualty insurance products. The Company also offers asset management services for a variety of customers throughout China.

Insurance Australia Group Limited (IAG) is an Australian-based international general insurance group with operations in Australia, New Zealand, and Asia. The Group provides a range of personal and commercial insurance products, primarily motor vehicle and home insurance.

Unum Group provides group disability and special risk insurance.  The Company provides disability insurance, group life insurance, and payroll-deducted voluntary benefits offered to employees at their worksites.

T&D Holdings, Inc. is a holding company established through the merger of Taiyo Life Insurance, Daido Life Insurance, and T&D Financial Life Insurance. The Company manages life insurance operations for its subsidiaries.

Suncorp Group Ltd. offers retail and business banking, life and general insurance, superannuation and funds management services.  The Company's services include personal banking and loans, personal insurance products, credit cards, pension savings accounts, term deposits, property development finance, commercial lending, investments and lease financing.

CNA Financial Corporation operates as an insurance holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides commercial property and casualty coverages such as risk management, information services, warranty, and claims administration. CNA Financial serves clients throughout the United States.

American Financial Group, Inc. provides multi-line property and casualty insurance.  The Company also sells tax-deferred annuities and certain life and supplemental health insurance products.  American Financial operates in the United States.

Great Eastern Holdings Limited operates in the life insurance business. The Company provides fund management services including retirement plans and endowments as well as life and health insurance, personal accident insurance, and general insurance

RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd. is a global provider of reinsurance and insurance. The Company's business primarily consists of catastrophe reinsurance, specialty reinsurance, and individual risk business.

Samsung Life Insurance Co., Ltd. provides insurance services. The Company offers life and health insurance services. Samsung Life Insurance serves customers in South Korea.

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Samsung Life Insurance (032830 KS)

Lee Family to Sell 2.2 Trillion Won Worth of Samsung Group Affiliates to Pay for Inheritance Tax

It was announced that Hong Ra-Hee and her two daughters plan to sell about 2.2 trillion won worth of Samsung Group related shares to pay for...

Douglas Kim

Samsung's Lee Jae-Yong Gets Out of Jail (Again) & NAV Analysis of Samsung C&T

It was announced today that Samsung's Lee Jae-Yong will get out of jail as the Korean government will release him on parole this week after he...

Douglas Kim

Prudential Plc - Jackson Cracks

PRUDENTIAL: The 1Q21 regulatory financial statement for the Jackson National subsidiary exhibits that statutory equity declined a surprising USD...

Thomas J. Monaco

Samsung Is In A Crucial Transition

Samsung is a unique company: one of the best brand names to ever come out of East Asia, covering Samsung's history, where it is today and its future

Asian Century Stocks

Kyobo Life: Challenging Sector Outlook with Most Existing Shareholders Hoping to Get Out

Kyobo Life's potential IPO remains difficult given the uncertain sector outlook and conflicting shareholders' interests.

Alec Tseung

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