Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

A-Living Smart City Services C / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The data in this insight is collated from the "shareholding disclosure" link on the HKEx website. </li>
<li>Often there is a corresponding HKEx announcement on the increase - or decrease - in the shareholding by directors. However, such disclosures are by no means an absolute. </li>
<li>These insights may also flag those companies where shares have been pledged, both recently and ongoing. Stocks mentioned include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/a-living-services-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26728:1" rel="noopener">A-Living Services (3319 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-lung-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:50:1" rel="noopener">Hang Lung (10 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


The data in this insight is collated from the "shareholding disclosure" link on the HKEx website. 
Often there is a corresponding HKEx announcement on the increase - or decrease - in the shareholding by directors. However, such disclosures are by no means an absolute. 
These insights may also flag those companies where shares have been pledged, both recently and ongoing. Stocks mentioned include A-Living Services (3319 HK) and Hang Lung (10 HK).


Hong Kong CEO & Director Dealings - 1st September 2022

<ul>
<li>Eight proposals seem a lot for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a>. However, if you are a PE fund on the radar of private equity LP investors, you have to get involved.</li>
<li>The size of the trade is apparently 38 million shares. If you have been in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/woodside-petroleum-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:177:1" rel="noopener">Woodside Petroleum (WPL AU)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/santos-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:711:1" rel="noopener">Santos Ltd (STO AU)</a> trade, take the deal, tactically.</li>
<li>Perhaps a big pharma could make a splashy bid for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genting-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14210:1" rel="noopener">Genting Bhd (GENT MK)</a>'sTauRx, but we're not there yet.</li>
</ul>


Eight proposals seem a lot for Toshiba Corp (6502 JP). However, if you are a PE fund on the radar of private equity LP investors, you have to get involved.
The size of the trade is apparently 38 million shares. If you have been in the Woodside Petroleum (WPL AU) / Santos Ltd (STO AU) trade, take the deal, tactically.
Perhaps a big pharma could make a splashy bid for Genting Bhd (GENT MK)'sTauRx, but we're not there yet.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Toshiba, Woodside, Genting Berhad, SPH REIT, Virtus Health, Xiamen Port

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>With US interest rate trending up, many of the Hong Kong blue chips are exposed to higher interest expenses from their outstanding debt. We look into who are less vulnerable.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/galaxy-entertainment-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:806:1" rel="noopener">Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/budweiser-brewing-co-apac-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28077:1" rel="noopener">Budweiser Brewing Company APAC (1876 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xinyi-solar-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:318:1" rel="noopener">Xinyi Solar (968 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/power-assets-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:788:1" rel="noopener">Power Assets (6 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mtr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13289:1" rel="noopener">MTR Corp (66 HK)</a> are found to be more immunized.</li>
<li>Most have large cash balance, low leverage and more fixed rate debt. GEG, Bud APAC and Xinyi Solar may even benefit from higher interest income given net cash position.  </li>
</ul>


With US interest rate trending up, many of the Hong Kong blue chips are exposed to higher interest expenses from their outstanding debt. We look into who are less vulnerable.

Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK), Budweiser Brewing Company APAC (1876 HK), Xinyi Solar (968 HK), Power Assets (6 HK) and MTR Corp (66 HK) are found to be more immunized.
Most have large cash balance, low leverage and more fixed rate debt. GEG, Bud APAC and Xinyi Solar may even benefit from higher interest income given net cash position.  


Rising US Interest Rate: A Look at Which HK Blue Chips Are Less Vulnerable

<ul>
<li>Shortly after <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12:1" rel="noopener">Keppel (KEP SP)</a> revised their Offer to ~S$2.35 and FINAL, Cuscaden has come over the top. This complicates things because of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-press-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9952:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Press (SPH SP)</a>/Keppel Agreement timing.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd-cl-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10433:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific (19 HK)</a>'s discount to NAV of ~50% is bang in line with its 12-month average, as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cathay-pacific-airways-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:243:1" rel="noopener">Cathay Pacific (293 HK)</a> is close to operating cash breakeven.</li>
<li>Blackstone and affiliates are offering shareholders of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crown-resorts-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:808:1" rel="noopener">Crown Resorts (CWN AU)</a> A$12.50/share in cash, a 26.2% premium to last close.</li>
</ul>


Shortly after Keppel (KEP SP) revised their Offer to ~S$2.35 and FINAL, Cuscaden has come over the top. This complicates things because of the Singapore Press (SPH SP)/Keppel Agreement timing.

Swire Pacific (19 HK)'s discount to NAV of ~50% is bang in line with its 12-month average, as Cathay Pacific (293 HK) is close to operating cash breakeven.
Blackstone and affiliates are offering shareholders of Crown Resorts (CWN AU) A$12.50/share in cash, a 26.2% premium to last close.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Singapore Press, Swire, Crown Resorts, Royal Dutch, Toshiba, Hollysys

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-lung-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:50:1" rel="noopener">Hang Lung (10 HK)</a> is coming up "expensive" on my monitor, yet remains one of the cheapest property plays in Hong Kong on a P/B metric.</li>
<li>Preceding my comments on Hang Lung are the weekly setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation threshold - the $ value of the holding/opco held, over the parent’s market cap - &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>



Hang Lung (10 HK) is coming up "expensive" on my monitor, yet remains one of the cheapest property plays in Hong Kong on a P/B metric.
Preceding my comments on Hang Lung are the weekly setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation threshold - the $ value of the holding/opco held, over the parent’s market cap - &gt;20%.


StubWorld: Scion Adriel Likes Hang Lung Group Shares

Hong Kong

Tsim Sha Tsui Properties Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops, invests in, and sells properties.  The Company also provides management services, operates hotels, trades securities, and provides financing services.

C&D International Investment Group Limited is a green building property development and management company based in Hong Kong.

Kerry Properties Limited, through its subsidiaries, invests in and develops real estate.  The Company also owns and operates logistics, freight and warehouses business.  In addition, Kerry Properties invests in infrastructure-related projects and operates hotels.

Swire Pacific Limited operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, focuses on real estate, aviation, beverage, industrial, marine services, trading, and industrial businesses. Swire Pacific operates worldwide.

Hang Lung Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, invests in and develops properties.  The Company also owns and manages hotels, provides financial services, and operates parking lots.

Hysan Development Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, invests in real estate.  The Company's properties include commercial rental and luxury residential buildings in Hong Kong.  The Company also invests in treasuries.

China Jinmao Holdings Group Limited invests in and develops real estate projects in the Peoples Republic of China.

Great Eagle Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops and invests in properties, operates hotels and restaurants, and trades building materials.  The Company also invests in securities and provides management, maintenance, and insurance agency services.  In addition, Great Eagle operates sports clubs.

Shenzhen Investment Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops and invests in properties, sells commercial and industrial goods, and provides transportation services.

China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Ltd. is a property development and sales company. The Compnay'ss operations include the entire property development process, comprising land acquisition and investment, construction planning, design and execution, sales and marketing, after-sales service as well as property management.

City Developments Limited is a property developer and owner. The Company, through its subsidiaries, are principally engaged in the investment of properties and shares, property management, project management and the provision of consultancy services, hospitality-related information technology, and procurement services. City Developments has a global presence.

UOL Group Limited is a property company. The Company has a diversified portfolio of development and investment properties, hotels, and serviced suites. UOL Group, through its subsidiary owns a portfolio of commercial assets and hotels. UOL Group operates in Asia, Oceania, and North America.

Highwealth Construction Corp. develops and sells residential and commercial buildings which are constructed by independent construction contractors.

Brigade Enterprises Limited operates as a real estate development company. The Company focuses on the development of residential, commercial, and hospitality properties.

Shanghai Zhangjiang Hi-Tech Park Development Co.,Ltd. operates real estate development businesses. The Company provides new industry properties development, housing renovation, real estate sales, real estate rental, and other services. Shanghai Zhangjiang Hi-Tech Park Development also offers construction investment, hospitality operation, and other services.

Tokyu Fudosan Holdings, Corp. is a holding company established through the merger of Tokyu Land Corporation, Tokyu Community Corp, and Tokyu Livable Inc. The Company manages operations for its subsidiaries.

Ruentex Development Co., Ltd. develops, sells, and leases residential and commercial buildings which are constructed by independent contractors.

China World Trade Center Co., Ltd. provides real estate services. The Company operates office building leasing business, shopping mall leasing business, apartment leasing business, hotel management business, and other related businesses. China World Trade Center offers services in China.

Tokyo Tatemono Co., Ltd. develops, sells, and leases commercial buildings, condominiums, and houses.   The Company also develops and manages hotels, vacation houses, leisure facilities, and resort places.

Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co., Ltd. develops and sells real estate properties. The Company also manages and operates hotels.

Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Grp (002244 CH)

Hang Lung Properties Limited, through its subsidiaries, invests in, develops, and manages properties. The Company also manages parking lots. Hang Lung Properties serves customers in Hong Kong.

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Hang Lung Properties (101 HK)

Hong Kong CEO & Director Dealings - 1st September 2022

These insights may also flag those companies where shares have been pledged, both recently and ongoing. Stocks mentioned include A-Living Services...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week in Event SPACE: Toshiba, Woodside, Genting Berhad, SPH REIT, Virtus Health, Xiamen Port

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Rising US Interest Rate: A Look at Which HK Blue Chips Are Less Vulnerable

We look at what companies in the Hang Seng Index are more immunized to the rising US interest rate environment; and found the top five are with...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Last Week in Event SPACE: Singapore Press, Swire, Crown Resorts, Royal Dutch, Toshiba, Hollysys

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

StubWorld: Scion Adriel Likes Hang Lung Group Shares

HLG remains very cheap here on a look-through basis. You're looking at 30-40% upside to HLG here to get back to a simple ratio of 1.45x, the ten...

David Blennerhassett

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