Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Yesterday, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-tractors-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:698:1" rel="noopener">United Tractors (UNTR IJ)</a> announced a large share buyback. It's a big buyback but perhaps not as big as the headlines (which say "up to 20%"). </li>
<li>The buyback is for 5 trillion rupiah which is about 5% of market cap, and will be conducted on-market over the next three months.</li>
<li>Looking at the early market reaction, my opinion is that the market does not seem to understand the consequences.</li>
</ul>


Yesterday, United Tractors (UNTR IJ) announced a large share buyback. It's a big buyback but perhaps not as big as the headlines (which say "up to 20%"). 
The buyback is for 5 trillion rupiah which is about 5% of market cap, and will be conducted on-market over the next three months.
Looking at the early market reaction, my opinion is that the market does not seem to understand the consequences.


United Tractors (UNTR IJ) Buyback - Sure to Be Impactful

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>GoTo aims to raise around US$1.25bn from a local listing, which will mainly be targeted at domestic investors. </li>
<li>GoTo, is an Indonesian holding company, was formed in May 2021 as a result of a merger between Gojek, leading player in ride hailing, and Tokopedia, leading e-commerce player.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the company's valuation.</li>
</ul>


GoTo aims to raise around US$1.25bn from a local listing, which will mainly be targeted at domestic investors. 
GoTo, is an Indonesian holding company, was formed in May 2021 as a result of a merger between Gojek, leading player in ride hailing, and Tokopedia, leading e-commerce player.
In this note, we will talk about the company's valuation.


GoTo IPO - Valuation - Missed the Tide, Boat Won’t Rise

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International (ASII IJ)</a> FY2021 results reflect a rapid recovery in its core auto business plus commodity-related businesses, with +96% YoY net profit growth stripping out <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-permata-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:728:1" rel="noopener">Bank Permata (BNLI IJ)</a>. </li>
<li>The auto and related finance businesses should continue to perform well in 2022, with government luxury tax stimulus measures in place plus commodity prices will support <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-tractors-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:698:1" rel="noopener">United Tractors'</a> performance.  </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International (ASII IJ)</a> remains a top pick for the economic recovery in Indonesia plus the company continues to look for investment opportunities to redeploy funds raised from Permata sales.</li>
</ul>



Astra International (ASII IJ) FY2021 results reflect a rapid recovery in its core auto business plus commodity-related businesses, with +96% YoY net profit growth stripping out Bank Permata (BNLI IJ). 
The auto and related finance businesses should continue to perform well in 2022, with government luxury tax stimulus measures in place plus commodity prices will support United Tractors' performance.  

Astra International (ASII IJ) remains a top pick for the economic recovery in Indonesia plus the company continues to look for investment opportunities to redeploy funds raised from Permata sales.


Astra International (ASII IJ) - Rock Solid

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International's</a> results are a testament to both the company's resilience in the face of declining commodity prices, with autos. motorcycles and finance take up the reins of driving growth.</li>
<li>Astra continues to introduce new EV models with a focus on hybrid variants, which have been selling well. It is increasingly investing in sustainable businesses including geothermal and nickel assets.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International (ASII IJ)</a> remains a well-managed core proxy for Indonesia's key growth drivers, with new investments aligning the company with the country's growth drivers. Valuations are attractive versus history.</li>
</ul>



Astra International's results are a testament to both the company's resilience in the face of declining commodity prices, with autos. motorcycles and finance take up the reins of driving growth.
Astra continues to introduce new EV models with a focus on hybrid variants, which have been selling well. It is increasingly investing in sustainable businesses including geothermal and nickel assets.

Astra International (ASII IJ) remains a well-managed core proxy for Indonesia's key growth drivers, with new investments aligning the company with the country's growth drivers. Valuations are attractive versus history.


Astra International (ASII IJ) - Driving Towards Future Sustainability

Quantitative Equity Analyst, DMA

Charlotte van Tiddens, CFA

Quantitative Equity Analyst

Technology-First Company

DMA is a technology-first company that provides an end-to-end SaaS solution to institutional investors. DMA enables regulated entities like asset managers, wealth managers, investment managers and financial advisors to connect their front and back office, break silos and reduce headcount.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN)</a> is the largest buy (XSOE) - estimated flow $44m. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grupo-financiero-banorte-sab-d" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24780:1" rel="noopener">Grupo Financiero Banorte SAB d (GFNORTEO MF)</a> is the 2nd largest buy - estimated flow $40m.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wistron-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2189:1" rel="noopener">Wistron Corp (3231 TT)</a> is the largest sell - estimated flow $68m. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:208:1" rel="noopener">POSCO Holdings (005490 KS)</a> is the 2nd largest sell - estimated flow $59m.</li>
<li>Our estimate for the total value of new constituent buys is $1.38bn. We expect deletions to the value of $1.41bn to be sold down across the 3 funds.</li>
</ul>



HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) is the largest buy (XSOE) - estimated flow $44m. Grupo Financiero Banorte SAB d (GFNORTEO MF) is the 2nd largest buy - estimated flow $40m.

Wistron Corp (3231 TT) is the largest sell - estimated flow $68m. POSCO Holdings (005490 KS) is the 2nd largest sell - estimated flow $59m.
Our estimate for the total value of new constituent buys is $1.38bn. We expect deletions to the value of $1.41bn to be sold down across the 3 funds.


WisdomTree Oct '23 Rebalance: Estimated Flows for All Adds and Deletes in DEM, XSOE & DGS

Indonesia

PT Multistrada Arah Sarana Tbk manufactures vehicle tires. The Company markets its tires worldwide.

PT Selamat Sempurna Tbk manufactures automotive components such as filters, radiators, condensers, air conditioners, brake pipes, fuel pipes, fuel tanks, mufflers, and machinery spare parts.

PT Astra Otoparts Tbk manufactures and distributes a comprehensive range of automotive and motorcycle parts.  The Company produces a wide range of forged, cast, electrical, rubber and plastic automotive parts, and (OEM) original equipment manufacturing.  Astra Otoparts also produces replacement market automobile and motorcycles parts for local and foreign markets.

PT Gajah Tunggal Tbk manufactures goods made of rubber, primarily tires and tubes for vehicles. Through its subsidiaries, the Company also manufactures nylon cords, polyesters, ethylene glycol, petrochemical, nylon filament yarns, polyester-chips as raw material for nylon cords and tire yarns as well as synthetic rubber and rims. Gajah Tunggal also trades car accessories.

PT Indo Kordsa Tbk manufactures nylon, rayon, and polyester tire cords.  The Company uses technology and licensing from Goodyear Tire and Rubber Company and E.I. Du Pont de Nemours & Company.

PT Indospring Tbk manufactures leaf and coil springs for motor vehicles under license of Mitsubishi Steel Manufacturing, Japan.  The Company also manufactures valve springs with license agreement with Murata Spring Co. Ltd., Japan. Through its subsidiaries, the Company also operates in the rolling mill industry.

PT GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk operates as an e-commerce platform. The Company offers mobility, food delivery, logistics, e-commerce, and financial technology solutions. GoTo Gojek Tokopedia serves customers in Indonesia.

PT Media Nusantara Citra Tbk operates as a media company. The Company owns radio, print media, and talent management company, as well as engages in general trading, development, industry, agriculture, transportation, printing, and multimedia through satellite and other telecommunication equipment. Media Nusantara Citra Tbk serves customers in Indonesia.

PT Elang Mahkota Teknologi Tbk operates television, telecommunications and computer businesses.  The Company operates television channels; constructs and maintains telecommunications infrastructure; retails mobile telephones; provides satellite communications services; and offers Internet access.

PT Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk operates department stores and specialty stores selling a broad range of goods including clothing, toys, food, and other merchandise.

NISSAN MOTOR CO., LTD. manufactures and distributes automobiles and related parts. It also provides financing services. Nissan delivers a comprehensive range of products under various brands. The Company manufactures in Japan, the United States, Mexico, the United Kingdom and many other countries.

Geely Automobile Holdings Limited operates as a passenger vehicles manufacturing company. The Company provides passenger vehicles development, manufacturing, sales, and other services. Geely Automobile Holdings also exports passenger vehicles.

Great Wall Motor Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells pick-up trucks and sport-utility vehicles (SUVs) in China under branded names. The Company also researches and develops, and manufactures principal automotive parts and components for use in the assembly of pick-up trucks and SUVs.

Hero MotoCorp Ltd. designs, manufactures and distributes motorcycles. The Company's products also include motorcycle parts and accessories.

Subaru Corp manufactures passenger cars, buses, motor vehicle parts, and industrial machinery.  The Company also produces aircraft parts and supplies it to defense agency and Boeing Co.  The Company sells its passenger cars under the Subaru brand name.

Yamaha Motor Co., Ltd. manufactures motorcycles.  The Company also produces motor vehicle engines for Toyota Motor Corp. and Ford Motor Co.  Yamaha Motor's specialty products include motor boats, snowmobiles, golf carts, and electric power generators.  Yamaha Motor sells products in Japan, North America, Europe, Asia, and South America.

BAIC BluePark New Energy Technology Co.,Ltd. operates as a passenger car manufacturer. The Company engages in research, development, and marketing of new energy vehicles and power battery system. BAIC BluePark New Energy Technology conducts businesses in China.

BAIC BluePark New Energy Techn (600733 CH)

Guangzhou Automobile Group Company, Ltd. manufactures, sells, and services automobiles. The Company is also involved in automobile parts and components, and auto finance and related services for both overseas and domestic markets.

Isuzu Motors Limited manufactures and markets trucks and automobile parts. The Company's products include pickup trucks, light/heavy duty trucks, medium and large-sized buses, recreational vehicles, and sport utility vehicles.

TVS Motor Company Limited manufactures motorcycles, mopeds, and scooters. The Company provides spark ignition operated outboard motors, combustion spark ignition engines, critical engines, and transmission parts. TVS Motor Company serves customers in India.

PT Astra International Tbk assembles and distributes automobiles, motorcycles, and their related spare parts.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company also operates in the mining, development of plantations, financial and information technology.

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Astra International (ASII IJ)

United Tractors (UNTR IJ) Buyback - Sure to Be Impactful

United Tractors - Indonesia's largest heavy equipment dealer and a subsidiary of Astra International - has announced a large buyback to be...

Travis Lundy

GoTo IPO - Valuation - Missed the Tide, Boat Won’t Rise

GoTo aims to raise around US$1.25bn from a local listing, which will mainly be targeted at domestic investors. In this note, we talk about its...

Sumeet Singh