Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aihuishou" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33426:1" rel="noopener">Aihuishou (RERE US)</a> (AHS), China’s largest pre-owned consumer electronics transactions and services platform, raised around US$230m via a US listing. It is backed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:446:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US)</a>, Morningside and Tiger Global.</p></div><div><p>We covered some aspects of the deal in our earlier notes:</p></div><div><ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/aihuishou-pre-ipo-mostly-positive-pre-owned-but-well-loved" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AiHuiShou Pre-IPO - Mostly Positive - Pre-Owned but Well Loved</a>. </li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/aihuishou-pre-ipo-first-stab-at-valuation" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AiHuiShou Pre-IPO - First Stab at Valuation</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/aihuishou-pre-ipo-pricing-my-mobile-handset-at-physical-stores" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Aihuishou (爱回收) Pre-IPO: Pricing My Mobile Handset at Physical Stores</a></li>
</ul></div><div>
<ul><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/aihuishou-ipo-priced-to-go-but-won-t-do-a-kanzhun" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AiHuiShou IPO - Priced to Go but Won’t Do a Kanzhun</a></li></ul>
<p>In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.</p>
</div>

Aihuishou (RERE US) (AHS), China’s largest pre-owned consumer electronics transactions and services platform, raised around US$230m via a US listing. It is backed by JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US), Morningside and Tiger Global.We covered some aspects of the deal in our earlier notes:

AiHuiShou Pre-IPO - Mostly Positive - Pre-Owned but Well Loved. 
AiHuiShou Pre-IPO - First Stab at Valuation
Aihuishou (爱回收) Pre-IPO: Pricing My Mobile Handset at Physical Stores

AiHuiShou IPO - Priced to Go but Won’t Do a Kanzhun
In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.


AiHuiShou IPO Trading - Probably Close to Fair Value but Has a Long Runway

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

China Logistics Property Holdings / Event-Driven

<div>
<p>On the 9 June, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-logistics-property-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22799:1" rel="noopener">China Logistics Property Holdings (1589 HK)</a> (CLPH) <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2021/0609/2021060900007.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> a placement of 220mn new shares at a placing price of $3.54/share, an 18.24% discount to last close. </p>
</div>
<div>
<p>Given the market anticipated a possible change of control after CLPH <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2020/1229/2020122901322.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> on the 29 December 2020 Li Shifa (chairman, holding ~28.2%) and RRJ Capital (~23.35%), were "<em>conducting a preliminary strategic review of their stakes</em>", the market response was swift. Shares closed down ~20% at HK$3.45.</p>
<p>That seemed like an overly harsh knee-jerk reaction given a post-money book value of ~HK$3.90. </p>
<p>Yesterday CLPH announced it had completed the <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2021/0617/2021061701380.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">placement</a>. What <em>is </em>interesting is that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a> bumped its stake to 10.11%, on a fully diluted basis, from 9.87% (pre-placement), the result of which sees CLPH in breach of Hong Kong's public float.</p>
<p>Evidently, JD.com is still keen to increase its stake. And perhaps take a dig at the company for the placement.</p>
<p>Separately, Li and RRJ didn't participate in the placement. But I think they remain sellers.</p>
<p>CLPH remains attractive here. </p>
</div>
<div>
<p>More below the fold.</p>
</div>


On the 9 June, China Logistics Property Holdings (1589 HK) (CLPH) announced a placement of 220mn new shares at a placing price of $3.54/share, an 18.24% discount to last close. 


Given the market anticipated a possible change of control after CLPH announced on the 29 December 2020 Li Shifa (chairman, holding ~28.2%) and RRJ Capital (~23.35%), were "conducting a preliminary strategic review of their stakes", the market response was swift. Shares closed down ~20% at HK$3.45.
That seemed like an overly harsh knee-jerk reaction given a post-money book value of ~HK$3.90. 
Yesterday CLPH announced it had completed the placement. What is interesting is that JD.com Inc. (9618 HK) bumped its stake to 10.11%, on a fully diluted basis, from 9.87% (pre-placement), the result of which sees CLPH in breach of Hong Kong's public float.
Evidently, JD.com is still keen to increase its stake. And perhaps take a dig at the company for the placement.
Separately, Li and RRJ didn't participate in the placement. But I think they remain sellers.
CLPH remains attractive here. 


More below the fold.


CLPH (1589 HK): Free Float Breached As JD.com Bumps Stake

Telco/Internet specialist

Kirk Boodry

Redex Research

<p>Didi Chuxing is the dominant ride-hailing platform in one of the world’s most compelling markets for shared mobility. It is a global leader in some respects (number of active users, drivers, and transactions) and its IPO could represent the second-largest China IPO in the US trailing only eCommerce giant Alibaba Group. We value Didi Chuxing at $63/share (the ADR exchange has not yet been announced) which implies a pre-IPO equity value for the entire company of $70bn. </p><p>This report includes full financial forecasts, valuation, a summary of investment highlights and a list of questions we would ask on the roadshow.</p>

Didi Chuxing is the dominant ride-hailing platform in one of the world’s most compelling markets for shared mobility. It is a global leader in some respects (number of active users, drivers, and transactions) and its IPO could represent the second-largest China IPO in the US trailing only eCommerce giant Alibaba Group. We value Didi Chuxing at $63/share (the ADR exchange has not yet been announced) which implies a pre-IPO equity value for the entire company of $70bn. This report includes full financial forecasts, valuation, a summary of investment highlights and a list of questions we would ask on the roadshow.

Didi Chuxing and Softbank - Long Awaited IPO of China’s Mobility Giant Worth $70bn

Full Truck Alliance   / Equity Capital Markets

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/full-truck-alliance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33429:1" rel="noopener">Full Truck Alliance (YMM US)</a> (FTA),  China’s largest digital freight platform by gross transaction value, aims to raise up to US$1.6bn via a US listing. It is backed by Softbank and Sequoia.</p></div><div><p>In our earlier notes, we spoke about the positive and negatives aspects of the deal, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/full-truck-alliance-pre-ipo-the-positives-category-leader" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Full Truck Alliance Pre-IPO - The Positives - Category Leader</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/full-truck-alliance-pre-ipo-the-negatives-still-a-mixed-bag" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Full Truck Alliance Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Still a Mixed Bag,</a> as well as valuations in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/full-truck-alliance-pre-ipo-valuation-even-the-previous-round-might-have-been-a-stretch" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Full Truck Alliance Pre-IPO - Valuation, Even the Previous Round Might Have Been a Stretch</a>.</p></div><div><p>In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework. </p></div>

Full Truck Alliance (YMM US) (FTA),  China’s largest digital freight platform by gross transaction value, aims to raise up to US$1.6bn via a US listing. It is backed by Softbank and Sequoia.In our earlier notes, we spoke about the positive and negatives aspects of the deal, Full Truck Alliance Pre-IPO - The Positives - Category Leader and Full Truck Alliance Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Still a Mixed Bag, as well as valuations in Full Truck Alliance Pre-IPO - Valuation, Even the Previous Round Might Have Been a Stretch.In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework. 

Full Truck Alliance IPO - Decent Investor Line-Up, at Best a Punt at These Valuations

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cloud-village-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33412:1" rel="noopener">Cloud Village (CLV HK)</a> (CVI), also known as NetEase Music, plans to raise around US$1bn in its Hong Kong IPO. The company has also obtained investments from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baidu-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:179:1" rel="noopener">Baidu (BIDU US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (BABA US)</a>, along with other investors.</p><p>As of Dec 20, it had 181m online music MAUs, 16m online music services monthly paying users, 327,000 social entertainment services monthly paying users. It had over 60m music tracks, of which more than 1m were created by registered independent artists. Its daily active users on average spent 76mins daily listening to music. </p><p>CVI’s revenue has grown 4.3x over FY18-20, to RMB4.9bn. There have been no signs of slowdown as its revenue increased by 102% in FY19 and was up another 111% in FY20. Both online music services and social entertainment services revenue have shown strong growth. Online music services revenue grew by 73% in 2019 and another 47.6% in 2020. Social entertainment services revenue was the largest driver of growth, as it grew by 344% in 2019 and was up another 320% in 2020.</p><p>However, it remains a distant second player in the market and has yet to make a profit.</p>

Cloud Village (CLV HK) (CVI), also known as NetEase Music, plans to raise around US$1bn in its Hong Kong IPO. The company has also obtained investments from Baidu (BIDU US) and Alibaba Group (BABA US), along with other investors.As of Dec 20, it had 181m online music MAUs, 16m online music services monthly paying users, 327,000 social entertainment services monthly paying users. It had over 60m music tracks, of which more than 1m were created by registered independent artists. Its daily active users on average spent 76mins daily listening to music. CVI’s revenue has grown 4.3x over FY18-20, to RMB4.9bn. There have been no signs of slowdown as its revenue increased by 102% in FY19 and was up another 111% in FY20. Both online music services and social entertainment services revenue have shown strong growth. Online music services revenue grew by 73% in 2019 and another 47.6% in 2020. Social entertainment services revenue was the largest driver of growth, as it grew by 344% in 2019 and was up another 320% in 2020.However, it remains a distant second player in the market and has yet to make a profit.

Cloud Village (NetEase Music) Pre-IPO - Was in the Slow Stream, Playing Catch-Up

China

JD.com Inc is an online direct sales company in China.  The Company offers a wide selection of products through its website and mobile applications.  JD.com sells appliances, computers, digital products, communication products, garments, books, and household items to consumers and vendors.

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JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US)

AiHuiShou IPO Trading - Probably Close to Fair Value but Has a Long Runway

Aihuishou (RERE US), China’s largest pre-owned consumer electronics transactions and services platform, raised up to US$243m via a US listing. It...

Sumeet Singh

CLPH (1589 HK): Free Float Breached As JD.com Bumps Stake

Shares have over-corrected: trading around the placement price; 9% below the level where CLPH was trading ahead of the news of Li/RRJ exploring an...

David Blennerhassett

Didi Chuxing and Softbank - Long Awaited IPO of China’s Mobility Giant Worth $70bn

This report includes full financial forecasts/valuation, the investment case top down and bottom-up,, Uber comps and a list of questions we would...

Kirk Boodry

Full Truck Alliance IPO - Decent Investor Line-Up, at Best a Punt at These Valuations

Full Truck Alliance (YMM US), China’s largest digital freight platform by gross transaction value, aims to raise up to US$1.6bn via a US listing....

Sumeet Singh

Cloud Village (NetEase Music) Pre-IPO - Was in the Slow Stream, Playing Catch-Up

Cloud Village (CLV HK), also known as NetEase Music, plans to raise US$1bn in its Hong Kong IPO. The company has also obtained investments from...

Sumeet Singh

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