Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Caixin reported on Wednesday that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> has shut down community-group service (Meituan Select) in Beijing following news that the company plans to shut down operations in loss-making cities.</li>
<li>Community-Group buying (CGB) became popular in China in 2020 and Meituan entered the market in 3Q2020 and continues to spend heavily on the biz.</li>
<li>The market became heavily competitive in the form of price war, which attracted regulatory scrutiny and led to large players like Alibaba and JD.com opting out of the market. </li>
</ul>


Caixin reported on Wednesday that Meituan (3690 HK) has shut down community-group service (Meituan Select) in Beijing following news that the company plans to shut down operations in loss-making cities.
Community-Group buying (CGB) became popular in China in 2020 and Meituan entered the market in 3Q2020 and continues to spend heavily on the biz.
The market became heavily competitive in the form of price war, which attracted regulatory scrutiny and led to large players like Alibaba and JD.com opting out of the market. 


Meituan Shuts Community Group Buying in Beijing – A Late Realisation That Profits Are Not Easy

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Hang Seng China Enterprises Index / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Last evening <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cnooc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:175:1" rel="noopener">CNOOC Ltd (883 HK)</a> announced a special div of HK$1.18/share - that is higher than market expectations. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a> could announce a special div next week.</li>
<li>Fair value for the HSCEI 2022 dividend futures moves higher to 250 DIPS off the back of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cnooc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:175:1" rel="noopener">CNOOC Ltd</a>'s special div and the estimated <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a> special div.</li>
<li>The HSCEI 2022/23 steepener had dropped to -29 yesterday and should drop even lower today where we could see some covering.</li>
</ul>


Last evening CNOOC Ltd (883 HK) announced a special div of HK$1.18/share - that is higher than market expectations. JD.com Inc. (9618 HK) could announce a special div next week.
Fair value for the HSCEI 2022 dividend futures moves higher to 250 DIPS off the back of CNOOC Ltd's special div and the estimated JD.com Inc. (9618 HK) special div.
The HSCEI 2022/23 steepener had dropped to -29 yesterday and should drop even lower today where we could see some covering.


HSCEI Dividend Futures: CNOOC Special Drives 2022 Fair Value Higher, 22/23 Steepener Lower

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Apr 14th.  The release of report is delayed due to Hong Kong trading holiday.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short increases in Galaxy Entertainment, JD as well as short covers in Alibaba, Baidu.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Apr 14th.  The release of report is delayed due to Hong Kong trading holiday.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short increases in Galaxy Entertainment, JD as well as short covers in Alibaba, Baidu.


HK Short Interest: Galaxy Entertainment, JD.com, Alibaba, Baidu

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore and the US (Chinese ADRs only).</li>
<li>This week, the highest gross spreads are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/21-vianet-group-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8489:1" rel="noopener">21Vianet Group (VNET US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yashili-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3397:1" rel="noopener">Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-dongzheng-automotive-finance-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27984:1" rel="noopener">Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sezzle-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30969:1" rel="noopener">Sezzle Inc (SZL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration Holdings (LNK AU)</a>. </li>
<li>The lowest gross spreads are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/virtus-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14776:1" rel="noopener">Virtus Health (VRT AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uniti-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29042:1" rel="noopener">Uniti Group Ltd (UWL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/51-job-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:532:1" rel="noopener">51 Job Inc Adr (JOBS US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-logistics-property-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22799:1" rel="noopener">China Logistics Property Holdings (1589 HK)</a>, Jin Jiang Capital.</li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore and the US (Chinese ADRs only).
This week, the highest gross spreads are 21Vianet Group (VNET US), Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK), Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK), Sezzle Inc (SZL AU), Link Administration Holdings (LNK AU). 
The lowest gross spreads are Virtus Health (VRT AU), Uniti Group Ltd (UWL AU), 51 Job Inc Adr (JOBS US), China Logistics Property Holdings (1589 HK), Jin Jiang Capital.


Merger Arb Mondays (25 Apr) - VNET, Yashili, Dongzheng AFC, Sezzle, Link, Razer, Ramsay Health

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>SK Shieldus (SKS) aims to raise around US$800m via issuing a mix of primary and secondary shares in its Korea IPO.</li>
<li>SKS is the security subsidiary of SK Square. It provides security services across four main categories: information security/Cybersecurity, convergence security, physical security, and Safety &amp; Care.</li>
<li>In this note, we will look at the refiling updates.</li>
</ul>


SK Shieldus (SKS) aims to raise around US$800m via issuing a mix of primary and secondary shares in its Korea IPO.
SKS is the security subsidiary of SK Square. It provides security services across four main categories: information security/Cybersecurity, convergence security, physical security, and Safety &amp; Care.
In this note, we will look at the refiling updates.


SK Shieldus IPO - Refiling Disclosures Should Make Multiples Move, LOWER.

China

JD.com Inc is an online direct sales company in China.  The Company offers a wide selection of products through its website and mobile applications.  JD.com sells appliances, computers, digital products, communication products, garments, books, and household items to consumers and vendors.

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JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US)

Meituan Shuts Community Group Buying in Beijing – A Late Realisation That Profits Are Not Easy

Meituan has shut down community-group service in Beijing as the market has become heavily competitive, which also attracted regulatory scrutiny....

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

HSCEI Dividend Futures: CNOOC Special Drives 2022 Fair Value Higher, 22/23 Steepener Lower

The CNOOC special div and the potential JD.com special div pushes the fair value for the 2022 div futures higher. With no change to the fair value...

Brian Freitas

HK Short Interest: Galaxy Entertainment, JD.com, Alibaba, Baidu

We highlight week on week short increases in Galaxy Entertainment, JD as well as short covers in Alibaba, Baidu based on the latest HK SFC short...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Merger Arb Mondays (25 Apr) - VNET, Yashili, Dongzheng AFC, Sezzle, Link, Razer, Ramsay Health

This week, the highest gross spreads are VNET (45.5%), Yashili (44.6%), Dongzheng AFC (39.1%), Sezzle (12.3%), Link (9.3%), Razer (7.6%), Ramsay...

Arun George

SK Shieldus IPO - Refiling Disclosures Should Make Multiples Move, LOWER.

SK Shieldus (SKS) aims to raise around US$800m via issuing a mix of primary and secondary shares in its Korea IPO. In this note we will look at the...

Sumeet Singh

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