Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 22nd.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$47.4 million, led by consumer discretionary, information technology, financials sectors, and offset by materials, health care.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for BYD, CATL, Zijin Mining and Mindray.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 22nd.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$47.4 million, led by consumer discretionary, information technology, financials sectors, and offset by materials, health care.
We highlight flows for BYD, CATL, Zijin Mining and Mindray.


Northbound Flows (Sep 22nd): BYD, CATL, Zijin Mining, Mindray

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 1st.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$2,251.0 million, led by financials, consumer staples, and offset by consumer discretionary, information technology, health care.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for BYD, CATL, Wuliangye, Citic Securities, Ping An Bank, Moutai, East Money Information, Haitian Flavouring.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 1st.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$2,251.0 million, led by financials, consumer staples, and offset by consumer discretionary, information technology, health care.
We highlight flows for BYD, CATL, Wuliangye, Citic Securities, Ping An Bank, Moutai, East Money Information, Haitian Flavouring.


Northbound Flows (Sep 1st): BYD, CATL, Wuliangye, Citic Securities, Ping An Bank, Moutai

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Hang Seng has announced the conclusions of the market consultation. Primary-listed foreign stocks will be eligible for inclusion in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI INDEX</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH INDEX</a> from the December rebalance.</li>
<li>The coming week has the rebalances for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next 50 Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Bank Index</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">SENSEX Index</a> as a result of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/housing-development-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:252:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Limited</a>/ <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank</a> merger.</li>
<li>There were inflows to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK)</a> and outflows from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng H Share Index ETF (2828 HK)</a> during the week.</li>
</ul>


Hang Seng has announced the conclusions of the market consultation. Primary-listed foreign stocks will be eligible for inclusion in the HSI INDEX and HSTECH INDEX from the December rebalance.
The coming week has the rebalances for the NIFTY Index, Nifty Next 50 Index, Nifty Bank Index and SENSEX Index as a result of the HDFC Limited/ HDFC Bank merger.
There were inflows to Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK) and outflows from Hang Seng H Share Index ETF (2828 HK) during the week.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCI, HSCEI, HSI, CSI300, CSI500, SSE50, HDFC Bank, Sensex

Foxconn Industrial Internet / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Two thirds of the way through the review period, we see 10 potential adds/8 potential deletes in December. However, there can be a maximum of 5 changes at a review.</li>
<li>We estimate a one-way turnover of 5.8% at the December rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 4.67bn. Index arb balances could increase the impact on the stocks.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last six months and there has been renewed outperformance over the last month.</li>
</ul>


Two thirds of the way through the review period, we see 10 potential adds/8 potential deletes in December. However, there can be a maximum of 5 changes at a review.
We estimate a one-way turnover of 5.8% at the December rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 4.67bn. Index arb balances could increase the impact on the stocks.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last six months and there has been renewed outperformance over the last month.


SSE50 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Powering Higher

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 2nd.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$899.7 million, led by information technology, materials, health care sectors, and offset by financials, consumer staples.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Nantong Fujitsu Microelectronics, Xinjiang Daqo New Energy, Zhejiang Dahua Technology, Moutai, Wuliangye, China Tourism, Ping An Insurance, Sany Heavy Industry, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Haitian Flavouring.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 2nd.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$899.7 million, led by information technology, materials, health care sectors, and offset by financials, consumer staples.
We highlight flows for Nantong Fujitsu Microelectronics, Xinjiang Daqo New Energy, Zhejiang Dahua Technology, Moutai, Wuliangye, China Tourism, Ping An Insurance, Sany Heavy Industry, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Haitian Flavouring.


Northbound Flows (Jun 2nd): Moutai, Wuliangye, China Tourism, Ping An Insurance, Sany Heavy

China

360 Security Technology Inc. offers technology services. The Company mainly researches and develops internet security technology and products. 360 Security Technology provides services in China.

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360 Security Technology Inc. (601360 CH)

Northbound Flows (Sep 22nd): BYD, CATL, Zijin Mining, Mindray

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for BYD, CATL, Zijin Mining, Mindray.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Sep 1st): BYD, CATL, Wuliangye, Citic Securities, Ping An Bank, Moutai

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for BYD, CATL, Wuliangye, Citic Securities, Ping An Bank,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCI, HSCEI, HSI, CSI300, CSI500, SSE50, HDFC Bank, Sensex

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

SSE50 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Powering Higher

Two thirds of the way through the review period, we see 10 potential adds/8 potential deletes in December. Turnover is over 5% and the potential...

Brian Freitas

Northbound Flows (Jun 2nd): Moutai, Wuliangye, China Tourism, Ping An Insurance, Sany Heavy

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Moutai, Wuliangye, China Tourism, Ping An...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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