Transport Sector, China and Asia-focused Research

Charles De Trenck

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

I was working on a bigger piece on HK vs Singapore which I will put out later, and reviewing political classifications of economies, when I saw a good comment from Ray Dalio on Trump and his invocation of Ayn Rand. I was also in the middle of reading the history of Athens and re-reading Aristotle’s Constitution of Athens, which added perspective to Dalio. There is a lot to apply to today which I think is worth noting.Quick conclusions before delving deeper:<ul><li>Ray Dalio is right to invoke Ayn Rand and flag the positives Trump could bring about;</li><li>But Let’s also keep in mind how deep the recent hole banks, Bernanke and Obama dug;</li><li>Looking at Aristotle as well, we might say that Trump’s partial democratic election has been to install an Aristocracy…this will certainly be interesting;</li><li>There are some really good free reads to turn to for a quick study of Ayn Rand;</li><li>When we listen back to Ayn Rand, we see that she disliked MNCs/Corporations because of their manipulation of government…Let’s see where Trump takes this.</li></ul>

I was working on a bigger piece on HK vs Singapore which I will put out later, and reviewing political classifications of economies, when I saw a good comment from Ray Dalio on Trump and his invocation of Ayn Rand. I was also in the middle of reading the history of Athens and re-reading Aristotle’s Constitution of Athens, which added perspective to Dalio. There is a lot to apply to today which I think is worth noting.Quick conclusions before delving deeper:Ray Dalio is right to invoke Ayn Rand and flag the positives Trump could bring about;But Let’s also keep in mind how deep the recent hole banks, Bernanke and Obama dug;Looking at Aristotle as well, we might say that Trump’s partial democratic election has been to install an Aristocracy…this will certainly be interesting;There are some really good free reads to turn to for a quick study of Ayn Rand;When we listen back to Ayn Rand, we see that she disliked MNCs/Corporations because of their manipulation of government…Let’s see where Trump takes this.

Trump Not Likely to Halt Decline of US. But Ray Dalio Makes Good Case in Bringing Back Ayn Rand

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

With Korea warped by the Choi Soon Shil scandal, investors are already looking ahead. Although it is yet unclear how the Choi Soon Shil scandal will play out, there is a high probability that the Korean people, with the approval of the National Assembly, may decide to select a new Korean President sometime in 1H17. There are three major candidates that could become the next Korean President, including Moon Jae-In, Ban Ki-Moon, and Lee Jae-Myung. <div class="content-highlight">Currently, we believe that at this point, Moon Jae…</div>

With Korea warped by the Choi Soon Shil scandal, investors are already looking ahead. Although it is yet unclear how the Choi Soon Shil scandal will play out, there is a high probability that the Korean people, with the approval of the National Assembly, may decide to select a new Korean President sometime in 1H17. There are three major candidates that could become the next Korean President, including Moon Jae-In, Ban Ki-Moon, and Lee Jae-Myung. Currently, we believe that at this point, Moon Jae…

Moon Jae In, Ban Ki Moon, Lee Jae Myung - Who Will Become the Next Korean President?

Founder and Strategist, Entext Economics & Strategy

Sean Maher

Founder and Strategist

Entext Economics & Strategy

Entext provides institutional investors with distinctive, actionable asset allocation and thematic research, which typically challenges the market consensus. Our clients range from credit, equity and multi-asset hedge and pension funds to family offices and sovereign funds. 
 
We focus on identifying key inflection points in macro data and relative asset performance amid the 'groupthink'  and confirmation bias that characterizes most investment bank analysis.

Macro Driven Investment Insight

<ul>
<li>The overwhelming investor consensus a year ago was for further EM/commodity downside amid deflation fears - this year it is a USD secular bull and global reflation; positioning has shifted accordingly.</li>
<li><div>The value over momentum positioning advocated all year has paid off dramatically - globally, value has outperformed by about 20 ppts since July, the second-best run versus quality in almost 40 years.</div></li>
<li><div>Calling the oil market right in 2016 was critical to everything else in asset allocation including…</div></li>
</ul>


The overwhelming investor consensus a year ago was for further EM/commodity downside amid deflation fears - this year it is a USD secular bull and global reflation; positioning has shifted accordingly.
The value over momentum positioning advocated all year has paid off dramatically - globally, value has outperformed by about 20 ppts since July, the second-best run versus quality in almost 40 years.
Calling the oil market right in 2016 was critical to everything else in asset allocation including…


2017 Asset Allocation Outlook – Part 2: Trump Reflation Euphoria to Fade?

Making sense of the Global Market, Euromonitor International Ltd.

Yu Mitsuhashi

Making sense of the Global Market

Euromonitor International Ltd.

We are a global market research company focused on industries, countries, economies and consumers worldwide. Our cross-country comparable research helps your organisation identify opportunities and develop growth strategies in countries and regions across the globe. With offices around the world, 1,200 analysts in 100 countries and market research on every key trend and driver, we give you powerful access to the real story behind consumer change.

Foodservice delivery is a hot industry, but nowhere is delivery booming more than in South Korea, a market in which hyper-connectivity, an advanced payment infrastructure, and favourable population demographics have created a perfect storm for exceptional delivery services, as well as the highest demand from consumers of any market globally. By the numbers, the South Korean market is a best-case environment for modern delivery services, and these market drivers are critical in supporting demand.Delivery in South Korea, however, is also a truly unique experience, and the small details that make it so attractive should serve as inspiration for delivery companies and influencers that want to make an impact in markets where there is untapped potential, or for those players in established delivery markets competing for share. From the thoughtful, functional packaging to the easy-to-use delivery apps, the seamless nature of the delivery experience in South Korea offers insight into what global delivery will, or at least should, look like in the near future.

Foodservice delivery is a hot industry, but nowhere is delivery booming more than in South Korea, a market in which hyper-connectivity, an advanced payment infrastructure, and favourable population demographics have created a perfect storm for exceptional delivery services, as well as the highest demand from consumers of any market globally. By the numbers, the South Korean market is a best-case environment for modern delivery services, and these market drivers are critical in supporting demand.Delivery in South Korea, however, is also a truly unique experience, and the small details that make it so attractive should serve as inspiration for delivery companies and influencers that want to make an impact in markets where there is untapped potential, or for those players in established delivery markets competing for share. From the thoughtful, functional packaging to the easy-to-use delivery apps, the seamless nature of the delivery experience in South Korea offers insight into what global delivery will, or at least should, look like in the near future.

The Foodservice Delivery Gold Standard: Market Drivers and Insights from South Korea

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector, Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Ankush Kathuria CFA, FRM

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector

Maritime Sector, Equity & Credit Research

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

With no ties to other players in the shipping, finance or banking world, we provide a uniquely impartial view of the markets and companies we cover. Our parent organization, Drewry is a leading independent provider of research services to the maritime and shipping industry, employing over 100 professionals across an international network of offices in London, Delhi, Singapore and Shanghai. Combining our market-leading resources with seasoned sector expertise DFRS offers a highly differentiated and comprehensive range of investment and financial research services to lenders and prospective investors in publicly listed maritime and shipping companies. The full service of reports, supporting resources and sector orientated webinars provides our clients with the most complete picture of the organisations under coverage as is possible. We have been charting and analysing the world’s maritime markets for more than 40 years. This unrivalled intelligence and understanding provides the foundation of our research service. Our analysts have access to one of the most up-to-date, comprehensive and reliable sources of market insight and research data available today. We look at globally listed companies within the following sectors: Port Operators, Container Shipping, Container Manufacturing & Leasing, LNG Shipping, Dry Bulk Shipping and Tanker Shipping. Combine in-depth sector expertise with financial analysis focusing on over 50 stocks globally.

🎺🎺🎺 The Maritime Honours List 2016 🎺🎺🎺 As we near the end of the year, global markets are on a high despite China, Korea, Brexit, Trump, Italy and Fed rate concerns, among others. US 10yr yield is at levels they were not supposed to reach until the end of 2017, reflation trade is in play and OPEC has finally agreed to production cuts.Not many would have seen that coming. For shipping it was another tough year. As 2016 (the most tumultuous and dreadful year for the global maritime industry in…

🎺🎺🎺 The Maritime Honours List 2016 🎺🎺🎺 As we near the end of the year, global markets are on a high despite China, Korea, Brexit, Trump, Italy and Fed rate concerns, among others. US 10yr yield is at levels they were not supposed to reach until the end of 2017, reflation trade is in play and OPEC has finally agreed to production cuts.Not many would have seen that coming. For shipping it was another tough year. As 2016 (the most tumultuous and dreadful year for the global maritime industry in…

Japan

Japan Post Holdings Co. Ltd. operates post stations, banks, and insurance business. The Company offers letters and goods transportation services, stamp sales, deposits, loans, and insurance products.

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Japan Post Holdings (6178 JP)

Trump Not Likely to Halt Decline of US. But Ray Dalio Makes Good Case in Bringing Back Ayn Rand

I was working on a bigger piece on HK vs Singapore which I will put out later, and reviewing political classifications of economies, when I saw a...

Charles De Trenck

Moon Jae In, Ban Ki Moon, Lee Jae Myung - Who Will Become the Next Korean President?

With Korea warped by the Choi Soon Shil scandal, investors are already looking ahead. Although it is yet unclear how the Choi Soon Shil scandal...

Douglas Kim

2017 Asset Allocation Outlook – Part 2: Trump Reflation Euphoria to Fade?

The overwhelming investor consensus a year ago was for further EM/commodity downside amid deflation fears - this year it is a USD secular bull and...

Sean Maher

The Foodservice Delivery Gold Standard: Market Drivers and Insights from South Korea

Foodservice delivery is a hot industry, but nowhere is delivery booming more than in South Korea, a market in which hyper-connectivity, an advanced...

Euromonitor International Ltd.

🎺The Maritime Honours List 2016🎺

🎺🎺🎺 The Maritime Honours List 2016 🎺🎺🎺As we near the end of the year, global markets are on a high despite China, Korea, Brexit, Trump, Italy and...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

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