Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dabur-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:242:1" rel="noopener">Dabur India Ltd (DABUR IN)</a> is over-exposed to rural India where the recovery is uncertain and slow. </li>
<li>Channel feedback with regards to relationships with distributors and the company's strategic direction has been poor. </li>
<li>A weak operating environment coupled with a weak on-ground execution suggests underperformance may continue. </li>
</ul>



Dabur India Ltd (DABUR IN) is over-exposed to rural India where the recovery is uncertain and slow. 
Channel feedback with regards to relationships with distributors and the company's strategic direction has been poor. 
A weak operating environment coupled with a weak on-ground execution suggests underperformance may continue. 


Dabur India Ltd (DABUR IN) | Some Things Never Change

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/itc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:327:1" rel="noopener">ITC Ltd (ITC IN)</a> 's core cigarette portfolio is relatively inelastic to the current commodity inflation. With the reopening of offices and social events, volumes are likely to trend higher. </li>
<li>A renewed focus on FMCG is likely to aid volumes for the non-cigarette segment. </li>
<li>Valuations are in favor and we see limited scope for de-rating if not re-rating.</li>
</ul>



ITC Ltd (ITC IN) 's core cigarette portfolio is relatively inelastic to the current commodity inflation. With the reopening of offices and social events, volumes are likely to trend higher. 
A renewed focus on FMCG is likely to aid volumes for the non-cigarette segment. 
Valuations are in favor and we see limited scope for de-rating if not re-rating.


<ul>
<li>Our checks primary done over North of India suggest a stable to improving rural environment </li>
<li>There is a sense of aggression in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/itc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:327:1" rel="noopener">ITC Ltd (ITC IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/britannia-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16495:1" rel="noopener">Britannia Industries (BRIT IN)</a> is well placed to grow volumes &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nestle-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13101:1" rel="noopener">Nestle India (NEST IN)</a> is expected to be a steady performer. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dabur-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:242:1" rel="noopener">Dabur India Ltd (DABUR IN)'</a> s image at the distributor level is quite shocking and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/marico-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16903:1" rel="noopener">Marico Ltd (MRCO IN)</a>'s products are more prone to volatility. </li>
</ul>


Our checks primary done over North of India suggest a stable to improving rural environment 
There is a sense of aggression in ITC Ltd (ITC IN), Britannia Industries (BRIT IN) is well placed to grow volumes &amp; Nestle India (NEST IN) is expected to be a steady performer. 

Dabur India Ltd (DABUR IN)' s image at the distributor level is quite shocking and Marico Ltd (MRCO IN)'s products are more prone to volatility. 


India Channel Insight #35 | ITC, Britannia, Nestle India, Dabur, Marico

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Life Insurance  of India / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Government of India (GoI) raised around US$2.7bn via selling a 3.5% stake in Life Insurance Corporation of India (LIC) in its India IPO.</li>
<li>As of FY21, LIC was the largest life insurer in India with a 64.1% market share in terms of gross written premium (GWP).</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>


Government of India (GoI) raised around US$2.7bn via selling a 3.5% stake in Life Insurance Corporation of India (LIC) in its India IPO.
As of FY21, LIC was the largest life insurer in India with a 64.1% market share in terms of gross written premium (GWP).
In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.


Life Insurance Corporation IPO Trading - Demand Shored up by Policyholders, Trading Won’t Be

Rainbow Children's Medicare / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Rainbow Children’s Hospital (RCH) aims to raise around US$200m via issuing a mix of primary and secondary shares in its India IPO.</li>
<li>RCH is a multi-specialty pediatric and obstetrics and gynecology hospital chain in India, operating 14 hospitals and three clinics in six cities, with a total bed capacity of 1,500 beds.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about our earnings forecast and thoughts on valuation.</li>
</ul>


Rainbow Children’s Hospital (RCH) aims to raise around US$200m via issuing a mix of primary and secondary shares in its India IPO.
RCH is a multi-specialty pediatric and obstetrics and gynecology hospital chain in India, operating 14 hospitals and three clinics in six cities, with a total bed capacity of 1,500 beds.
In this note, we will talk about our earnings forecast and thoughts on valuation.


Rainbow Children’s Hospital IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

India

ITC Limited, a member of BAT Group of UK, is a holding company, which has a diversified presence in Cigarettes, Hotels, Paperboards & Specialty Papers, Packaging, Agri Business, Packaged Foods & Confectionery, Branded Apparel, Greeting Cards and other FMCG products.

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ITC Ltd (ITC IN)

Dabur India Ltd (DABUR IN) | Some Things Never Change

With the COVID tailwind no longer available, a tough operating environment, and strengthening competition, Dabur's lack of strategic focus is...

Pranav Bhavsar

ITC Ltd (ITC IN) | A Good Place to Hide

ITC's inelastic core cigarette portfolio, a renewed focus on FMCG, and limited scope for de-rating make it an interesting place to hide in the...

Pranav Bhavsar

India Channel Insight #35 | ITC, Britannia, Nestle India, Dabur, Marico

This channel insight shares key takeaways from speaking to channels across north India that are associated with ITC, Britannia, Nestle India,...

Pranav Bhavsar

Life Insurance Corporation IPO Trading - Demand Shored up by Policyholders, Trading Won’t Be

Government of India raised around US$2.7bn via selling a 3.5% stake in Life Insurance Corporation of India in its India IPO. In this note, we will...

Sumeet Singh

Rainbow Children’s Hospital IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

Rainbow Children’s Hospital (RCH) aims to raise around US$200m via issuing a mix of primary and secondary shares in its India IPO. In this note, we...

Sumeet Singh

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