Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Softbank is apparently trying to garner a $50bn valuation for Arm at its IPO and secure $8bn in margin loans on the back of that.</li>
<li>We think that is a stretch though it is certainly not impossible that it would succeed. </li>
<li>However, in terms of real value we suspect Arm could be worth less than $10bn and articulate why below.</li>
</ul>


Softbank is apparently trying to garner a $50bn valuation for Arm at its IPO and secure $8bn in margin loans on the back of that.
We think that is a stretch though it is certainly not impossible that it would succeed. 
However, in terms of real value we suspect Arm could be worth less than $10bn and articulate why below.


Softbank – Why We Think Arm Is Worth Less Than $10bn

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>LINE Gift has doubled its user base to 20 million in a year, and added merchants like Seven Eleven, but isn’t content with this. </li>
<li>It has only just integrated with Zozo and Yahoo Shopping and expects these new partners, as well as new TV ad campaigns, to deliver a major increase in user numbers.</li>
<li>The collaboration with Z Holdings' through Yahoo Shopping and Zozo shows the potential for leveraging the groups' huge user base.</li>
</ul>


LINE Gift has doubled its user base to 20 million in a year, and added merchants like Seven Eleven, but isn’t content with this. 
It has only just integrated with Zozo and Yahoo Shopping and expects these new partners, as well as new TV ad campaigns, to deliver a major increase in user numbers.
The collaboration with Z Holdings' through Yahoo Shopping and Zozo shows the potential for leveraging the groups' huge user base.


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>GoTo aims to raise around US$1.25bn from a local listing, which will mainly be targeted at domestic investors. </li>
<li>GoTo, is an Indonesian holding company, was formed in May 2021 as a result of a merger between Gojek, leading player in ride hailing, and Tokopedia, leading e-commerce player.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the company's past performance.</li>
</ul>


GoTo aims to raise around US$1.25bn from a local listing, which will mainly be targeted at domestic investors. 
GoTo, is an Indonesian holding company, was formed in May 2021 as a result of a merger between Gojek, leading player in ride hailing, and Tokopedia, leading e-commerce player.
In this note, we talk about the company's past performance.


GoTo IPO - Past Performance Hasn't All Been Great

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

<p>Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.</p><ul><li><a href='#lucror-entity-315'>Softbank Group</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-240'>Sunac China Holdings</a></li></ul>

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.Softbank GroupSunac China Holdings

Morning Views Asia: Softbank Group, Sunac China Holdings

<ul>
<li>When Softbank announced its strange buyback in November we wondered aloud whether buyback maximums of ¥1trn and 250m meant Softbank foresaw a ¥4,000 share price in its future. </li>
<li>With the stock price now having jauntily sashayed down to ¥4,265 it is a question why they aren’t more aggressive with their buyback. </li>
<li>A question that may be answered by all the cash raising measures that Softbank is engaged in perhaps?</li>
</ul>


When Softbank announced its strange buyback in November we wondered aloud whether buyback maximums of ¥1trn and 250m meant Softbank foresaw a ¥4,000 share price in its future. 
With the stock price now having jauntily sashayed down to ¥4,265 it is a question why they aren’t more aggressive with their buyback. 
A question that may be answered by all the cash raising measures that Softbank is engaged in perhaps?


Softbank – That ¥4000 Mark Is Getting Close…

Japan

SoftBank Group Corp. provides telecommunication services. The Company also operates ADSL (Asymmetric Digital Subscriber Line) and fiber optic high-speed Internet connection, e-Commerce businesses, and Internet based advertising and auction businesses.

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Softbank Group (9984 JP)

Softbank – Why We Think Arm Is Worth Less Than $10bn

Softbank is apparently trying to garner a $50bn valuation for Arm and secure $8bn in margin loans on the back of that but in terms of real value we...

Mio Kato

LINE Gift: The Next Stage

LINE Gift has doubled its user base to 20 million in a year but has plans to grow much bigger and is a great example of the potential to leverage...

Michael Causton

GoTo IPO - Past Performance Hasn't All Been Great

GoTo aims to raise around US$1.25bn from a local listing, which will mainly be targeted at domestic investors. In this note, we look at the...

Sumeet Singh

Morning Views Asia: Softbank Group, Sunac China Holdings

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

Softbank – That ¥4000 Mark Is Getting Close…

When Softbank announced its buyback in November we wondered aloud whether buyback maximums of ¥1trn and 250m meant Softbank foresaw a ¥4,000 share...

Mio Kato

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