Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The Nikkei rose 4.5% over the week as the yen weakened slightly to 145 yen versus the dollar</li>
<li>The buoyant mood may not last after U.S. stocks closed sharply lower on Friday after a strong jobs report</li>
<li>The US commerce department announced restrictions to bar US companies from exporting critical SPE tools to China</li>
</ul>


The Nikkei rose 4.5% over the week as the yen weakened slightly to 145 yen versus the dollar
The buoyant mood may not last after U.S. stocks closed sharply lower on Friday after a strong jobs report
The US commerce department announced restrictions to bar US companies from exporting critical SPE tools to China


Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:<ol><li><a href='/entities/times-china-holdings-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Times China</a></li><li><a href='/entities/china-jinmao-holdings-group' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>China Jinmao Holdings</a></li><li><a href='/entities/guangzhou-r-f-properties-h' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Guangzhou R&F Properties</a></li><li><a href='/entities/sunac-china-holdings-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Sunac China Holdings</a></li><li><a href='/entities/china-evergrande-group' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Evergrande</a></li></ol>and more...

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:Times ChinaChina Jinmao HoldingsGuangzhou R&F PropertiesSunac China HoldingsEvergrandeand more...

Telco/Internet specialist

Kirk Boodry

Redex Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The PayPay conversion is complete and management is focused on managing costs, which is reassuring for ZHD financial targets and for an eventual IPO</li>
<li>There was less said about the latter, however, whilst detail on the valuation gain that parent Softbank Corp needs to hit its own operating income target has not been confirmed</li>
<li>Our valuation of ¥500bn for PayPay looks more reasonable as 50-73% YTD declines in public comps have brought trading multiples in line (PayPay at 5x FY22e revenue versus 5-8x)</li>
</ul>


The PayPay conversion is complete and management is focused on managing costs, which is reassuring for ZHD financial targets and for an eventual IPO
There was less said about the latter, however, whilst detail on the valuation gain that parent Softbank Corp needs to hit its own operating income target has not been confirmed
Our valuation of ¥500bn for PayPay looks more reasonable as 50-73% YTD declines in public comps have brought trading multiples in line (PayPay at 5x FY22e revenue versus 5-8x)


Z Holdings / PayPay - A Focus on Margin Improvement as ZHD Moves to Consolidate

The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market.

  The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market. 

Asia HY Monthly - September 2022 - Lucror Analytics

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In early Jun 2022, Alipay raised around US$386m via selling 3.3% of outstanding shares of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakao-pay-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29675:1" rel="noopener">Kakao Pay (377300 KS)</a>. That was the first selldown by Alipay  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">(Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)</a>).  </li>
<li>Despite pricing the shares at an enticing 11.8% discount to last close, the stock failed to hold the deal price and hasn’t looked back since.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the previous deal and the upcoming lockup expiry.</li>
</ul>


In early Jun 2022, Alipay raised around US$386m via selling 3.3% of outstanding shares of Kakao Pay (377300 KS). That was the first selldown by Alipay  (Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)).  
Despite pricing the shares at an enticing 11.8% discount to last close, the stock failed to hold the deal price and hasn’t looked back since.
In this note, we will talk about the previous deal and the upcoming lockup expiry.


Kakao Pay Placement Lockup Expiry - Alipay Is Soon Going to Be Free to Shed Its US$1.6bn Stake

Japan

SoftBank Group Corp. provides telecommunication services. The Company also operates ADSL (Asymmetric Digital Subscriber Line) and fiber optic high-speed Internet connection, e-Commerce businesses, and Internet based advertising and auction businesses.

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Softbank Group (9984 JP)

Japan Weekly | Mercari, Softbank

Japanese stocks were in buoyant mood last week. Risk-on. That will probably not last after the US jobs report sparked turmoil on Friday. Sports Day...

Mark Chadwick

Weekly Wrap - 07 Oct 2022

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and...

Lucror Analytics

Z Holdings / PayPay - A Focus on Margin Improvement as ZHD Moves to Consolidate

Z Holdings confirmed it is PayPay’s majority stake. An update on the business includes a stronger message improving the cost structure. Our PayPay...

Kirk Boodry

Asia HY Monthly - September 2022 - Lucror Analytics

The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top...

Lucror Analytics

Kakao Pay Placement Lockup Expiry - Alipay Is Soon Going to Be Free to Shed Its US$1.6bn Stake

In early Jun 2022, Alipay raised around US$386m via selling 3.3% of outstanding shares of Kakao Pay (377300 KS). That was the first selldown by...

Sumeet Singh

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