Telco/Internet specialist

Kirk Boodry

Redex Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Softbank sale of Fortress removes an asset that is surplus to requirements at a price that is not as bad as headlines suggest</li>
<li>A sale to Mubadala at ~$1bn seems low versus the $3.3bn it paid in 2017 but dividend payments and a strong yen mean a c. 70% loss is actually ~10%</li>
<li>The discount has modestly narrowed recently but VF valuations likely to remain volatile whilst worries on China tech regulation persist</li>
</ul>


Softbank sale of Fortress removes an asset that is surplus to requirements at a price that is not as bad as headlines suggest
A sale to Mubadala at ~$1bn seems low versus the $3.3bn it paid in 2017 but dividend payments and a strong yen mean a c. 70% loss is actually ~10%
The discount has modestly narrowed recently but VF valuations likely to remain volatile whilst worries on China tech regulation persist


Softbank Group - Fortress Sale Looks Better when Returns and Exchange Rate Considered

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

Topsports International Holdings / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Topsports International Holdings (TIH) is now trading close to its all time lows, after the shares corrected by 50% over the past year.</li>
<li>The company is one of the largest retailers for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nike-inc-cl-b" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6658:1" rel="noopener">Nike (NKE US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adidas-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21578:1" rel="noopener">Adidas AG (ADS GR)</a> in China.</li>
<li>Given then on/off lockdowns the near term outlook isn't great, but the stock appears cheap for those willing to take a longer view.</li>
</ul>


Topsports International Holdings (TIH) is now trading close to its all time lows, after the shares corrected by 50% over the past year.
The company is one of the largest retailers for Nike (NKE US) and Adidas AG (ADS GR) in China.
Given then on/off lockdowns the near term outlook isn't great, but the stock appears cheap for those willing to take a longer view.


Topsports International Holdings - Is Cheap Enough to Counter Some of the Risks

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Tianqi Lithium (TL) raised around US$2bn via its H-shares listing. It undertakes mining of lithium ore and manufacturing of lithium concentrate, lithium compounds and derivatives.</li>
<li>TL was the largest producer of mined lithium globally in terms of output in 2020 and ranked third in terms of revenue generated from lithium in 2020.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the updates since our last note, along with the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>


Tianqi Lithium (TL) raised around US$2bn via its H-shares listing. It undertakes mining of lithium ore and manufacturing of lithium concentrate, lithium compounds and derivatives.
TL was the largest producer of mined lithium globally in terms of output in 2020 and ranked third in terms of revenue generated from lithium in 2020.
In this note, we talk about the updates since our last note, along with the trading dynamics.


Tianqi Lithium A/H Trading - A-Shares Have Done Relatively Well, H-Shares Should Follow

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mercari-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27149:1" rel="noopener">Mercari Inc (4385 JP)</a> will be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-stock-exchange-tokyo-price-index-topix" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22910:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Stock Exchange Tokyo Price Index Topix (TPX INDEX)</a> at the close on 28 July.</li>
<li>There are a lot of FFW changes, mainly reductions. This leads to large funding inflows on the large index stocks.</li>
<li>We estimate the inclusion of Mercari and the FFW changes will lead to a one-way turnover of 0.56% leading to a one-way trade of JPY 442.23bn (US$3.25bn).</li>
</ul>



Mercari Inc (4385 JP) will be added to the Tokyo Stock Exchange Tokyo Price Index Topix (TPX INDEX) at the close on 28 July.
There are a lot of FFW changes, mainly reductions. This leads to large funding inflows on the large index stocks.
We estimate the inclusion of Mercari and the FFW changes will lead to a one-way turnover of 0.56% leading to a one-way trade of JPY 442.23bn (US$3.25bn).


TOPIX July Rebalance: Mercari Inclusion, FFW Changes, US$6.5bn To Trade

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>Tianqi managed to pull off the largest HK IPO so far this year, a good listing could see a pickup in other large deals.</li>
<li>For placements, SK IE couldn't hold on to its deal price, while Ming Yang kicked off what might be a busy GDR season.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
Tianqi managed to pull off the largest HK IPO so far this year, a good listing could see a pickup in other large deals.
For placements, SK IE couldn't hold on to its deal price, while Ming Yang kicked off what might be a busy GDR season.


ECM Weekly (10th Jul 2022) -Tianqi, Thai Life, TPG, SK IE, Weilong, Emperador, Soosan, SoCar, Deewin

Japan

SoftBank Group Corp. provides telecommunication services. The Company also operates ADSL (Asymmetric Digital Subscriber Line) and fiber optic high-speed Internet connection, e-Commerce businesses, and Internet based advertising and auction businesses.

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Softbank Group (9984 JP)

Softbank Group - Fortress Sale Looks Better when Returns and Exchange Rate Considered

Softbank's potential sale of Fortress makes sense as that asset was always surplus to requirements whilst the headline prices being discussed look...

Kirk Boodry

Topsports International Holdings - Is Cheap Enough to Counter Some of the Risks

Topsports International Holdings (TIH) is now trading close to its all time lows, after the shares corrected by 50% over the past year.

Sumeet Singh

Tianqi Lithium A/H Trading - A-Shares Have Done Relatively Well, H-Shares Should Follow

Tianqi Lithium (TL) raised around US$2bn via its H-shares listing. In this note, we talk about the updates since our last notes, along with the...

Sumeet Singh

TOPIX July Rebalance: Mercari Inclusion, FFW Changes, US$6.5bn To Trade

Mercari will be added to the TPX at the close on 28 July. There are a lot of FFW changes that will result in one-way turnover of 0.56% leading to a...

Brian Freitas

ECM Weekly (10th Jul 2022) -Tianqi, Thai Life, TPG, SK IE, Weilong, Emperador, Soosan, SoCar, Deewin

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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