Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Nature Home Holding Company / Event-Driven

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<p>Back on the 27 July, wood flooring manufacturer <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nature-home-holding-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20543:1" rel="noopener">Nature Home Holding Company (2083 HK)</a> <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2021/0727/2021072701813.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> an Offer from its founding shareholders, by way of a Scheme, at HK$1.70/share. The Offer Price will not be increased. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dehua-tb-new-decoration-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4444:1" rel="noopener">Dehua Tb New Decoration A (002043 CH)</a> has given an irrevocable rollover undertaking for its 19.6% stake. </p>
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<p>The Scheme Document was <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2021/0913/2021091301428.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">despatched</a> on the 14 September with the Court Meeting scheduled for the 6 October. Provided all resolutions pass, cheques are expected to be despatched on or before the 26 October.</p>
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<p>The Offer looked done and the gross/annualised spread tightened into 2%/26.5% on the 19 September.</p>
<p>Then the wheels fell off, with the gross spread widening out to 38% as I type, and trading well below the undisturbed price.</p>
<p>Nature Homes had previously flagged concerns with outstanding trade receivables with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-evergrande-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:479:1" rel="noopener">Evergrande Real Estate Group (3333 HK)</a>, and potentially the ubiquitous negative news surrounding China's second-largest developer is having a knock-on-affect. Plus there are a number of other factors at work that <em>could</em> be bucketed under buyer's remorse.</p>
<p>But the Offeror &amp; concert parties cannot simply walk away from this deal. Not without breaching the Takeover's Code. And which shareholder will <em>not</em> vote this through given where it is trading? </p>
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<p>More below the fold.</p>
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Back on the 27 July, wood flooring manufacturer Nature Home Holding Company (2083 HK) announced an Offer from its founding shareholders, by way of a Scheme, at HK$1.70/share. The Offer Price will not be increased. Dehua Tb New Decoration A (002043 CH) has given an irrevocable rollover undertaking for its 19.6% stake. 


The Scheme Document was despatched on the 14 September with the Court Meeting scheduled for the 6 October. Provided all resolutions pass, cheques are expected to be despatched on or before the 26 October.


The Offer looked done and the gross/annualised spread tightened into 2%/26.5% on the 19 September.
Then the wheels fell off, with the gross spread widening out to 38% as I type, and trading well below the undisturbed price.
Nature Homes had previously flagged concerns with outstanding trade receivables with Evergrande Real Estate Group (3333 HK), and potentially the ubiquitous negative news surrounding China's second-largest developer is having a knock-on-affect. Plus there are a number of other factors at work that could be bucketed under buyer's remorse.
But the Offeror &amp; concert parties cannot simply walk away from this deal. Not without breaching the Takeover's Code. And which shareholder will not vote this through given where it is trading? 


More below the fold.


Nature Home (2083 HK): Risk Aversity Sees Spread Blow Out

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<p>This insight provides a quick summary of gross/annualised (where possible) spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and how those spreads have changed over the last week; plus the next hard events over the coming weeks.</p>
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<p>I number 38, mostly firm, deals around the region.</p>
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<p>More below the fold.</p>
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This insight provides a quick summary of gross/annualised (where possible) spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and how those spreads have changed over the last week; plus the next hard events over the coming weeks.


I number 38, mostly firm, deals around the region.


More below the fold.


Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: AusNet Services, Sembcorp Marine, Roxy Pacific

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<p>This insight provides a quick summary of gross/annualised (where possible) spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and how those spreads have changed over the last week; plus the next hard events over the coming weeks.</p>
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<p>I number 36, mostly firm, deals around the region.</p>
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<p>More below the fold.</p>
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This insight provides a quick summary of gross/annualised (where possible) spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and how those spreads have changed over the last week; plus the next hard events over the coming weeks.


I number 36, mostly firm, deals around the region.


More below the fold.


Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: Sydney Airport, Aussie Pharma, Milton, Shinsei Bank

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<p>This insight provides a quick summary of gross/annualised (where possible) spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and how those spreads have changed over the last week; plus the next hard events over the coming weeks.</p>
</div>
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<p>I number 37, mostly firm, deals around the region.</p>
</div>
<div>
<p>More below the fold.</p>
</div>


This insight provides a quick summary of gross/annualised (where possible) spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and how those spreads have changed over the last week; plus the next hard events over the coming weeks.


I number 37, mostly firm, deals around the region.


More below the fold.


Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: Shinsei Bank, Soho China, Nippo Corp, Rhipe, Oil Search/Santos

Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: China Logistics, Kerry Logistics, China Youzan

China

Suchuang Gas Corporation Limited sells and transmits piped natural gas to users operating in the Taicang, Jiangsu Province area of the People's Republic of China.

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52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Suchuang Gas Corp (1430 HK)

Nature Home (2083 HK): Risk Aversity Sees Spread Blow Out

Given HK events have been a bloodbath this year, I thought this may trade wide. But not this wide. If you have the risk appetite, then get involved...

David Blennerhassett

Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: AusNet Services, Sembcorp Marine, Roxy Pacific

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: Sydney Airport, Aussie Pharma, Milton, Shinsei Bank

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: Shinsei Bank, Soho China, Nippo Corp, Rhipe, Oil Search/Santos

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: China Logistics, Kerry Logistics, China Youzan

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)