Macro & Asian equity Technical Strategies, BBSP Asia

Federico D'Inca

Macro & Asian equity Technical Strategies

BBSP Asia

Technical Analysis

Sony Financial Holdings / Technical Analysis

Mid Term Country Allocation (Tactical view) in terms of Relative Value vs MXAP • HSCEI/MXAP ratio is moving in a range pattern. Therefore downgrade HSCEI from increase exposure to hold. While HSI/MXAP ratio remains above a trend line support (preference for a tactical HSI outperformance over HSCEI). • Keep “overweight” position on HSI, Nikkei, ASX and TWSE. • Maintain “Hold for KOSPI and Nifty vs MXAPShould you have any questions and wish to speak with one of our analysts, please don’t hesitate to…

Mid Term Country Allocation (Tactical view) in terms of Relative Value vs MXAP • HSCEI/MXAP ratio is moving in a range pattern. Therefore downgrade HSCEI from increase exposure to hold. While HSI/MXAP ratio remains above a trend line support (preference for a tactical HSI outperformance over HSCEI). • Keep “overweight” position on HSI, Nikkei, ASX and TWSE. • Maintain “Hold for KOSPI and Nifty vs MXAPShould you have any questions and wish to speak with one of our analysts, please don’t hesitate to…

BBSP Equity Asia Weekly Research 10th January 2018

Founder and Strategist, Entext Economics & Strategy

Sean Maher

Founder and Strategist

Entext Economics & Strategy

Entext provides institutional investors with distinctive, actionable asset allocation and thematic research, which typically challenges the market consensus. Our clients range from credit, equity and multi-asset hedge and pension funds to family offices and sovereign funds. 
 
We focus on identifying key inflection points in macro data and relative asset performance amid the 'groupthink'  and confirmation bias that characterizes most investment bank analysis.

Macro Driven Investment Insight

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The global pharma and biotech sector has underperformed by about four points this year, and five over three years – the divergence with other R&amp;D intensive, knowledge based sectors is stark.</li>
<li>I went short US biotech in mid-2015, when the global sector saw a burst of euphoric optimism – ex Japan pharma, most sub-indices haven’t regained those levels since.</li>
<li>Despite the assumed demographic tailwind, a declining R&amp;D productivity trend has been an issue since the late 1990s - a major new drug launch…</li>
</ul>


The global pharma and biotech sector has underperformed by about four points this year, and five over three years – the divergence with other R&amp;D intensive, knowledge based sectors is stark.
I went short US biotech in mid-2015, when the global sector saw a burst of euphoric optimism – ex Japan pharma, most sub-indices haven’t regained those levels since.
Despite the assumed demographic tailwind, a declining R&amp;D productivity trend has been an issue since the late 1990s - a major new drug launch…


Drugs Evolving Into 'Biological Software' to Boost Moribund Pharma Sector?

Japan TMT Analyst

Pelham Smithers

Market Intel on Asian Tech with a Japan focus

Pelham Smithers Associates

Founded in 2009, Pelham Smithers Associates (PSA) provides market intelligence on Asian technology, focusing in particular on Japan. The industries covered by our team of specialists are: consumer electronics, telecomms, pharmaceuticals, internet, electronic parts and materials, automotive technology, retail and capital goods. 

Research is provided by the following:
Pelham Smithers: Macro, consumer electronics, telecoms & pharma
Joel Scheiman: Electronics materials / components
Julie Boote: Autos
Will Nestuk: Capital goods, machinery & transportation equipment parts
Thao Nguyen: eCommerce, internet content, marketing & advertising

Equity Bottom-Up

Last week, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/3014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3014:1">Daiichi Sankyo (4568 JP)</a> announced that its highly promising anti-cancer drug, DS-8201, has a second pivotal trial, this time moving to Phase II for gastric cancer (GC). Earlier in the year, DS-8201 moved to Phase II for its key indication for metastatic breast cancer (mBC). Since publication of the disappointing clinical trial data for mirogabalin, DS-8201 has taken on massive importance for DSK. This is not just because it is now the drug with the most upside potential in DSK’s…

Last week, Daiichi Sankyo (4568 JP) announced that its highly promising anti-cancer drug, DS-8201, has a second pivotal trial, this time moving to Phase II for gastric cancer (GC). Earlier in the year, DS-8201 moved to Phase II for its key indication for metastatic breast cancer (mBC). Since publication of the disappointing clinical trial data for mirogabalin, DS-8201 has taken on massive importance for DSK. This is not just because it is now the drug with the most upside potential in DSK’s…

Daiichi Sankyo (4568) - DS-8201 Moves to Phase 2 for Gastric Cancer

Making sense of the Global Market, Euromonitor International Ltd.

Yu Mitsuhashi

Making sense of the Global Market

Euromonitor International Ltd.

We are a global market research company focused on industries, countries, economies and consumers worldwide. Our cross-country comparable research helps your organisation identify opportunities and develop growth strategies in countries and regions across the globe. With offices around the world, 1,200 analysts in 100 countries and market research on every key trend and driver, we give you powerful access to the real story behind consumer change.

<ul><li>Industry’s growth facilitated by healthcare spending as Japan’s society ages<ul><li>The revenue of Japanese pharmaceutical producers continued to grow in 2016, primarily due to rising sales to domestic healthcare service providers.</li></ul></li><li>Positive outlook clouded by government policies aimed at containing health costs<ul><li>The industry’s value growth potential will be clouded by rising pricing pressures both from government policies, and rising consumption share of generic drugs.</li></ul></li></ul>

Industry’s growth facilitated by healthcare spending as Japan’s society agesThe revenue of Japanese pharmaceutical producers continued to grow in 2016, primarily due to rising sales to domestic healthcare service providers.Positive outlook clouded by government policies aimed at containing health costsThe industry’s value growth potential will be clouded by rising pricing pressures both from government policies, and rising consumption share of generic drugs.

Industrial Capsule: Pharmaceuticals in Japan

Analyst

Alasdair Moody

Exposing Creative Accounting

Bucephalus Research Partnership

Bucephalus Research Partnership Limited. Exposing Creative Accounting.

At the Bucephalus Research Partnership (BRP) we analyse financial statements using our accountant's practical experience and our own quantitative algorithms for corporate governance, accounting risk and peer performance.

Our thematic research refines our unique algorithms while our single stock research focuses on examples where we discover a significant gap between published accounts and business reality.

​Bucephalus Research Partnership:
- Is an independent fee-based research service
- Does not take proprietary positions, long or short
- Does not solicit business or fees from the corporates we review

We examined ten years of accounting and valuation data for the pharmaceutical companies around the world with sales of US$100m+ and created statistics for each region based on aggregate data and for a typical company. In this trend report, we summarise the data and highlight the outliers. Assuming clients will have their own macro industry views, we used valuations and our Governance, Accounting risk and Peer performance (GAP) scores, (which help quantify the risk of creative accounting) to…

We examined ten years of accounting and valuation data for the pharmaceutical companies around the world with sales of US$100m+ and created statistics for each region based on aggregate data and for a typical company. In this trend report, we summarise the data and highlight the outliers. Assuming clients will have their own macro industry views, we used valuations and our Governance, Accounting risk and Peer performance (GAP) scores, (which help quantify the risk of creative accounting) to…

Global Pharmaceuticals: Valuations, Assets and Leverage Up - Margins Down

Japan

Daiichi Sankyo Co, Ltd is a holding company established through merger of Sankyo and Daiichi pharmaceutical. The Group manufactures pharmaceuticals for human/veterinary use and medical tools and equipment. It also researches and promotes products through related companies throughout the world. The Group also produces food, food additives, livestock feeds, and agrochemicals.

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Daiichi Sankyo (4568 JP)

BBSP Equity Asia Weekly Research 10th January 2018

Mid Term Country Allocation (Tactical view) in terms of Relative Value vs MXAP• HSCEI/MXAP ratio is moving in a range pattern. Therefore downgrade...

BBSP Asia

Drugs Evolving Into 'Biological Software' to Boost Moribund Pharma Sector?

The global pharma and biotech sector has underperformed by about four points this year, and five over three years – the divergence with other...

Sean Maher

Daiichi Sankyo (4568) - DS-8201 Moves to Phase 2 for Gastric Cancer

Last week, Daiichi Sankyo (4568 JP) announced that its highly promising anti-cancer drug, DS-8201, has a second pivotal trial, this time moving to...

Pelham Smithers Associates

Industrial Capsule: Pharmaceuticals in Japan

Industry’s growth facilitated by healthcare spending as Japan’s society agesThe revenue of Japanese pharmaceutical producers continued to grow in...

Euromonitor International Ltd.

Global Pharmaceuticals: Valuations, Assets and Leverage Up - Margins Down

We examined ten years of accounting and valuation data for the pharmaceutical companies around the world with sales of US$100m+ and created...

Bucephalus Research Partnership

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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