Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trial-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36821:1" rel="noopener">Trial Holdings (5882 JP)</a>'s is looking to raise around US$375m in its Japan IPO.</li>
<li>TH operates a network of retail stores that offer one-stop shopping under its everyday low price model, across a variety of daily necessities, food items and other products.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Trial Holdings (5882 JP)'s is looking to raise around US$375m in its Japan IPO.
TH operates a network of retail stores that offer one-stop shopping under its everyday low price model, across a variety of daily necessities, food items and other products.
In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Trial Holdings Pre-IPO - The Positives - Steady past Performance with an Expanding Footprint

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>After stellar growth in 2020, the e-commerce market grew much slower in 2021 but still outpaced all other channels and set the second highest increase in four years.</li>
<li>At this rate, by 2025 e-commerce should become the largest retail channel, overtaking chain stores.</li>
<li>Japan’s easy access to retail stores means shops aren’t about to disappear anytime soon and Japan will become a model for omnichannel retailing with stores still playing a key role.</li>
</ul>


After stellar growth in 2020, the e-commerce market grew much slower in 2021 but still outpaced all other channels and set the second highest increase in four years.
At this rate, by 2025 e-commerce should become the largest retail channel, overtaking chain stores.
Japan’s easy access to retail stores means shops aren’t about to disappear anytime soon and Japan will become a model for omnichannel retailing with stores still playing a key role.


Japanese E-Commerce Big Review: Still Taking Market Share as Omnichannel Becomes the Norm

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Aeon’s main GMS arm, Aeon Retail, is on track to post a net profit in FY2023 after a 4-fold increase in OP in 1H2022.</li>
<li>This is largely thanks to stronger sales and footfall and the success of efficiency measures introduced over the past few years.</li>
<li>The improvements look sustainable and should lead to improved results for Aeon longer-term adding to the already good results from the drugstore, real estate and overseas businesses.</li>
</ul>


Aeon’s main GMS arm, Aeon Retail, is on track to post a net profit in FY2023 after a 4-fold increase in OP in 1H2022.
This is largely thanks to stronger sales and footfall and the success of efficiency measures introduced over the past few years.
The improvements look sustainable and should lead to improved results for Aeon longer-term adding to the already good results from the drugstore, real estate and overseas businesses.


<ul>
<li>Inflation remains the biggest headwind but most retail formats will see growth in 2023 with e-commerce expected to become the largest channel in the next 18 months.</li>
<li>Supermarkets are ripe for consolidation as new competitors emerge from the discount sector and online while convenience stores will consolidate further in a saturated sector.</li>
<li>Department stores will rebound further but only the leading firms will survive in a contracting sector.</li>
</ul>


Inflation remains the biggest headwind but most retail formats will see growth in 2023 with e-commerce expected to become the largest channel in the next 18 months.
Supermarkets are ripe for consolidation as new competitors emerge from the discount sector and online while convenience stores will consolidate further in a saturated sector.
Department stores will rebound further but only the leading firms will survive in a contracting sector.


Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS: SPX +0.4%DoD +2.7%WoW; Semi run continues with SOX +0.4%DoD +6.2%WoW; Beta and Growth the big WoW winners;  Fed's Bostic leans to 25bp hike; Tesla cuts prices</li>
<li>JAPAN:  NKY Futs -1.3% vs Cash;  JGB 10Yr Yld hits 0.512% despite BOJ 10trn yen buying; USDJPY up to127.87;  DECARBONIZATION: Resonac (Showa Denko) expansion; Toray  expansion; METI CCS roadmap</li>
<li>DAILY NUGGET: Slowing EV sales in China ? Maybe, but its still the largest EV market in the world. We see Nidec as the best way to play.</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS: SPX +0.4%DoD +2.7%WoW; Semi run continues with SOX +0.4%DoD +6.2%WoW; Beta and Growth the big WoW winners;  Fed's Bostic leans to 25bp hike; Tesla cuts prices
JAPAN:  NKY Futs -1.3% vs Cash;  JGB 10Yr Yld hits 0.512% despite BOJ 10trn yen buying; USDJPY up to127.87;  DECARBONIZATION: Resonac (Showa Denko) expansion; Toray  expansion; METI CCS roadmap
DAILY NUGGET: Slowing EV sales in China ? Maybe, but its still the largest EV market in the world. We see Nidec as the best way to play.


Good Morning Japan |Fed 1 Inflation 0, Fed Wins; Equity Bid Continues; Telsa Cuts Px; BOJ in Focus

Japan

LAWSON, INC. operates a chain of convenience stores in Japan. The Company sells a variety of products including fast food, beverages, snacks, magazines, newspapers, and sundry goods.

Seven & i Holdings Co., Ltd. is a holding company which was established through the merger of Ito-Yokado Co., Seven Eleven Japan Co., and Denny's Japan. The Company plans, manages, and operates mainly convenience stores, supermarkets, and department stores.

KOBE BUSSAN CO., LTD. is a supermarket franchise store operator which mainly deals in foods stuffs.  The Company also has direct-run stores.

Yaoko Co., Ltd. operates local supermarkets in the Saitama Prefecture. The Company handles fresh food products, daily-use sundry products, and other various goods in local area.

COSMOS Pharmaceutical Corporation operates drug stores based in Kyushu. The Company sells daily necessities such as drug medicines, foodstuffs, and alcoholic beverages.

SUGI HOLDINGS CO., LTD. operates a chain of drug stores located mainly in Aichi Prefecture.  The Company sells prescription and nonprescription medicine, cosmetics, health foods, and general merchandise.

TSURUHA HOLDINGS INC. is a holding company which manages subsidiaries that operate drug stores in Hokkaido and the Tohoku area.  The Company's product line includes drugs, cosmetics, and household utensils.

SUNDRUG CO., LTD. operates an outlet drug store chain primarily in the Tokyo area.  The Company sells mainly medicines, cosmetics, baby care products, and household utensils.  Sundrug supplies merchandise to franchise stores.  The Company also operates a real estate business.

WELCIA HOLDINGS CO.,LTD. is a holding company established through a merger of Welcia Kanto and Takada Pharmacy.  The Group mainly operates drug chain stores which sell medicines, health foods, cosmetics, nursery items and daily necessity goods.

Kusuri no Aoki Holdings Co., Ltd. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides medicines, cosmetics, health foods, beauty care, and household products. Kusuri no Aoki Holdings serves customers in Japan.

Casey's General Stores, Inc. operates convenience stores in the Midwest.  The Company's stores, operating under the name Casey's General Store, carry a selection of food, beverages, tobacco products, health and beauty aids, automotive products, and other non-food items, as well as sells gasoline.

CP ALL PCL operates convenience store chains in Thailand and China.  The Company also owns and operates the a department store chain located primarily in Shanghai city and Chonqing city of China.

Jeronimo Martins, SGPS, S.A. is a holding company. The Company, through subsidiaries, distributes food in Portugal, Poland and Colombia. The Company operates supermarkets and cash and carry stores in Portugal as well as retail stores in Poland and Colombia. Jeronimo Martins also manufactures various food products as well as provides services to the restaurant industry.

Carrefour SA operates chains of supermarkets, hypermarkets, discount, cash and carry, and frozen food stores in Europe, the Americas, and Asia.

BIM Birlesik Magazalar A.S. operates food and basic consumer goods discount stores in Turkey.  The Company provides an assortment of private label products.

George Weston Limited operates as a super market. The Company processes and distributes food and pharmacy products to grocer wholesalers, warehouses, and independent accounts, as well as provides real estate services. George Weston serves customers in Canada.

Metro Inc. distributes food and pharmaceutical products. The Company operates a network of food stores and drug stores in the provinces of Quebec and Ontario.

BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. operates as a warehouse club. The Company delivers electronics, furniture, fitness, video games, health, toys, home decor, computers, landscaping, jewelry, and grocery products. BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings serves customers in the United States.

Coles Group Limited owns and operates a chain of supermarkets and department stores. The Company offers apparels, liquor, office supplies, groceries, and household products. Coles Group serves customers throughout Australia and New Zealand.

US Foods Holding Corp. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides catering services. US Foods Holding serves healthcare, hospitality, educational, government facilities, and other sectors in the United States.

AEON CO., LTD. operates general merchandise stores, supermarkets, and convenience stores throughout Japan. The Company is also engaged in women's and casual clothing store business, development business of commercial property, and financing service through the subsidiaries.

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Aeon Co Ltd (8267 JP)

Trial Holdings Pre-IPO - The Positives - Steady past Performance with an Expanding Footprint

Trial Holdings (5882 JP)'s is looking to raise around US$375m in its Japan IPO. In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

Aeon Retail: Profits Again After 4 Years

Aeon looks set to see consistent and sustained improvements in operating profit following the news that the core Aeon Retail division, long a drag...

Michael Causton

Outlook for Japanese Retail in 2023

Most Japanese retailers can look forward to a good year in 2023 but there will be challenges for formats like supermarkets where consolidation is...

Michael Causton

Good Morning Japan |Fed 1 Inflation 0, Fed Wins; Equity Bid Continues; Telsa Cuts Px; BOJ in Focus

Fed 1 Inflation 0, Fed Wins; Equity Bid Continues; Telsa Cuts Px (positive Panasonic); BOJ in Focus. Expect the BOJ to lift JGB buying and do what...

Mark Chadwick

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Trial Holdings Pre-IPO - The Positives - Steady past Performance with an Expanding Footprint

Trial Holdings (5882 JP)'s is looking to raise around US$375m in its Japan IPO. In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

Japanese E-Commerce Big Review: Still Taking Market Share as Omnichannel Becomes the Norm

Japanese e-commerce continues to take more share from other retail channels but Japan is developing a sophisticated omnichannel model where stores...

Michael Causton

Aeon Retail: Profits Again After 4 Years

Aeon looks set to see consistent and sustained improvements in operating profit following the news that the core Aeon Retail division, long a drag...

Michael Causton

Outlook for Japanese Retail in 2023

Most Japanese retailers can look forward to a good year in 2023 but there will be challenges for formats like supermarkets where consolidation is...

Michael Causton

Good Morning Japan |Fed 1 Inflation 0, Fed Wins; Equity Bid Continues; Telsa Cuts Px; BOJ in Focus

Fed 1 Inflation 0, Fed Wins; Equity Bid Continues; Telsa Cuts Px (positive Panasonic); BOJ in Focus. Expect the BOJ to lift JGB buying and do what...

Mark Chadwick