SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>REIT Watch - Retail S-Reits see double-digit pickup; downtown malls shine Retail sales in Singapore went up by 13 per cent year on year (yoy) in August, marking its fifth consecutive month of double-digit yoy growth.</li><li>CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust reported 15.9 per cent yoy growth in retail tenant sales and 12.5 per cent yoy growth in shopper traffic for H1 2022.</li></ul>

REIT Watch - Retail S-Reits see double-digit pickup; downtown malls shine Retail sales in Singapore went up by 13 per cent year on year (yoy) in August, marking its fifth consecutive month of double-digit yoy growth.CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust reported 15.9 per cent yoy growth in retail tenant sales and 12.5 per cent yoy growth in shopper traffic for H1 2022.

REIT Watch - Retail S-Reits see double-digit pickup; downtown malls shine

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Headquartered in Singapore, SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia) is an investment bank focusing on emerging growth companies across Asia, providing a full suite of investment banking services, including corporate finance, mergers and acquisitions advisory, equity capital markets, institutional equities sales and trading and equities research.

SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/frasers-centrepoint-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2870" rel="noopener">Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT SP)</a> acquires additional 10% stake in Waterway Point for ~S$73.6m</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/frasers-hospitality-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:913" rel="noopener">Frasers Hospitality Trust (FHT SP)</a> privatisation deal falls short of the required 75% shareholder approval</li>
<li>Mercatus’ retail portfolio looks more digestible post withdrawal of AMK Hub</li>
</ul>



Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT SP) acquires additional 10% stake in Waterway Point for ~S$73.6m

Frasers Hospitality Trust (FHT SP) privatisation deal falls short of the required 75% shareholder approval
Mercatus’ retail portfolio looks more digestible post withdrawal of AMK Hub


ASEAN Builder's Scoop (13Sep22) - FCT Buys Extra 10% of Waterway Point

<ul><li>REIT Watch - Outperformance in S-Reits in STI reserve list Post the June review, the STI reserve list, which consists of the 5 highest ranking non-constituents of the STI, were: Olam International, Suntec Reit, Keppel Reit, Frasers Centrepoint Trust and Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MNACT).</li><li>Four out of the 5 stocks in the STI reserve list were in the S-Reits and Property Trusts sector.</li></ul>

REIT Watch - Outperformance in S-Reits in STI reserve list Post the June review, the STI reserve list, which consists of the 5 highest ranking non-constituents of the STI, were: Olam International, Suntec Reit, Keppel Reit, Frasers Centrepoint Trust and Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MNACT).Four out of the 5 stocks in the STI reserve list were in the S-Reits and Property Trusts sector.

REIT Watch - Outperformance in S-Reits in STI reserve list

<ul><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/frasers-centrepoint-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2870" rel="noopener">Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT SP)</a> Jul22 tenant sales rebounded to 115% above pre-Covid levels; Shopper traffic remains flat at 80+% levels</li><li>Hilton is set to open Waldorf Astoria KL in FY24; Double its portfolio in APAC over next five years</li><li>Johor Land (JLB MK) starts developing ~3,000ha Sedenak Tech Valley in Johor this year</li></ul>

Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT SP) Jul22 tenant sales rebounded to 115% above pre-Covid levels; Shopper traffic remains flat at 80+% levelsHilton is set to open Waldorf Astoria KL in FY24; Double its portfolio in APAC over next five yearsJohor Land (JLB MK) starts developing ~3,000ha Sedenak Tech Valley in Johor this year

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (24Aug22) - FCT Jul22 Tenant Sales Rebounded, Shopper Traffic Steady

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In June-July I warned of a reinvestment trade into S-REITs due to the S$2.0-3.0bn cash-out by investors in Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust and sellers into the SPHREIT Chain Offer.</li>
<li>Many investors who would need to re-allocate. The trade was to buy major S-REITs. From my last insight, a basket is up 5.3%. MCT has already topped out vs peers.</li>
<li>The question is.... is there still a trade left to run?</li>
</ul>


In June-July I warned of a reinvestment trade into S-REITs due to the S$2.0-3.0bn cash-out by investors in Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust and sellers into the SPHREIT Chain Offer.
Many investors who would need to re-allocate. The trade was to buy major S-REITs. From my last insight, a basket is up 5.3%. MCT has already topped out vs peers.
The question is.... is there still a trade left to run?


Singapore

Frasers Centrepoint Trust is a retail real estate investment trust focused on growing unitholder value through asset management, financial management and strategic investments.  The trust invests in retail properties in Singapore and overseas.

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Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT SP)

REIT Watch - Retail S-Reits see double-digit pickup; downtown malls shine

REIT Watch - Retail S-Reits see double-digit pickup; downtown malls shine Retail sales in Singapore went up by 13 per cent year on year (yoy) in...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (13Sep22) - FCT Buys Extra 10% of Waterway Point

FHT Failed Privatization; Mercatus's portfolio on mrkt now sans AMK Hub; Mapletree focuses on logistics + dormitory assets; ALI chairman resigns

SCCM Asia Research

REIT Watch - Outperformance in S-Reits in STI reserve list

REIT Watch - Outperformance in S-Reits in STI reserve list Post the June review, the STI reserve list, which consists of the 5 highest ranking...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (24Aug22) - FCT Jul22 Tenant Sales Rebounded, Shopper Traffic Steady

Hilton's Waldorf Astoria to double APAC portfolio in 5 years; Phils office sees demand from traditional occupiers; JLB developing 3,000ha Johor...

SCCM Asia Research

Update on the S-REIT Re-Allocation Trade

The S-REIT Re-Allocation Basket is +5.3%(TR) from close after I wrote (25 July) to yesterday. Not enough excess value has traded. Should it run?...

Travis Lundy

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