Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 149 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 95.8% as of Oct 25th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 1.4ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, information technology, real estate and offset by utilities, consumer discretionary, financials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for SMIC, ZOOMLION, PICC, FDZJ, FLAT GROUP, INNOCARE.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 149 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 95.8% as of Oct 25th.
The average A-H premium changed by 1.4ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, information technology, real estate and offset by utilities, consumer discretionary, financials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for SMIC, ZOOMLION, PICC, FDZJ, FLAT GROUP, INNOCARE.


A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 25th):SMIC, ZOOMLION, PICC, FDZJ, FLAT GROUP, INNOCARE

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Although the H-share securities companies have retreated significantly from their peaks, there are still "fats" in their share prices in the near term, relative to the market turnover.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/citic-securities-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:463:1" rel="noopener">Citic Securities (H) (6030 HK)</a> looks vulnerable given its high valuations, low H-A share discount, limited correction from its peak, and significant rebound from the trough.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-merchants-securities-co-4f5d644c-0051-426f-9706-eaa74b0ba280" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22738:1" rel="noopener">China Merchants Securities (6099 HK)</a> appears exposed though valuations are not high. It has the best YTD performance and rebound from the trough, and its H-A share discount is light.   </li>
</ul>


Although the H-share securities companies have retreated significantly from their peaks, there are still "fats" in their share prices in the near term, relative to the market turnover.

Citic Securities (H) (6030 HK) looks vulnerable given its high valuations, low H-A share discount, limited correction from its peak, and significant rebound from the trough.

China Merchants Securities (6099 HK) appears exposed though valuations are not high. It has the best YTD performance and rebound from the trough, and its H-A share discount is light.   


China Strategy: Screening the H-Share Securities Companies

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 148 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 95.2% as of Oct 11th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -13.0ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, consumer discretionary, financials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for BYD, SMIC, TSINGTAO, Guotai Junan Securities, HAITONG, CanSino, Junshi Biosciences, FLAT Group, China Tourism.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 148 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 95.2% as of Oct 11th.
The average A-H premium changed by -13.0ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, consumer discretionary, financials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for BYD, SMIC, TSINGTAO, Guotai Junan Securities, HAITONG, CanSino, Junshi Biosciences, FLAT Group, China Tourism.


A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 11th):BYD, SMIC, TSINGTAO, Guotai Junan Securities, HAITONG, CanSino

Equity Bottom-Up

China International Capital Corporation / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-international-capital-corporation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1071:1" rel="noopener">China International Capital Corporation (3908 HK)</a> is a laggard among the Chinese securities companies. With the rebound in HSI and Shanghai Composite, such divergence should narrow.</li>
<li>The investment banking business should recover following the rebound in the secondary market and equity valuations. HK's IPO funds raised are forecast to double in 2024.</li>
<li>At 0.4x 12-month P/B, the market has deeply discounted CICC's earnings outlook. However, as earnings recovery will be fast, its share price will react rapidly.</li>
</ul>



China International Capital Corporation (3908 HK) is a laggard among the Chinese securities companies. With the rebound in HSI and Shanghai Composite, such divergence should narrow.
The investment banking business should recover following the rebound in the secondary market and equity valuations. HK's IPO funds raised are forecast to double in 2024.
At 0.4x 12-month P/B, the market has deeply discounted CICC's earnings outlook. However, as earnings recovery will be fast, its share price will react rapidly.


<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 124.6% as of Mar 22nd.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 1.4ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, information technology, utilities and offset by financials, health care.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for ZTE, CRCC Times Electric, Air China, Longyuan, Shanghai Fudan, Hua Hong Semi.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 124.6% as of Mar 22nd.
The average A-H premium changed by 1.4ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, information technology, utilities and offset by financials, health care.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for ZTE, CRCC Times Electric, Air China, Longyuan, Shanghai Fudan, Hua Hong Semi.


A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 22nd): ZTE, CRCC Times Electric, Air China, Longyuan, Shanghai Fudan

China

Shenwan Hongyuan Group Co., Ltd. provides securities services. The Company offers securities brokerage, securities investment consulting, securities investment fund agency, securities asset management, and other services. Shenwan Hongyuan Group provides services in China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Shenwan Hongyuan Group (6806 HK)

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 25th):SMIC, ZOOMLION, PICC, FDZJ, FLAT GROUP, INNOCARE

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for SMIC, ZOOMLION, PICC, FDZJ, FLAT GROUP, INNOCARE.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 11th):BYD, SMIC, TSINGTAO, Guotai Junan Securities, HAITONG, CanSino

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for BYD, SMIC, TSINGTAO, Guotai Junan Securities, HAITONG,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CICC (3908 HK): Soon to Be Its Time

CICC is a laggard among Chinese securities companies. With the market rebound, its earnings and share price are set to improve rapidly. Its 0.4x P...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 22nd): ZTE, CRCC Times Electric, Air China, Longyuan, Shanghai Fudan

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for ZTE, CRCC Times Electric, Air China, Longyuan, Shanghai...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 25th):SMIC, ZOOMLION, PICC, FDZJ, FLAT GROUP, INNOCARE

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for SMIC, ZOOMLION, PICC, FDZJ, FLAT GROUP, INNOCARE.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Strategy: Screening the H-Share Securities Companies

​H-share securities companies still have room for corrections despite recent retreats, with Citic Securities and China Merchants Securities looking...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 11th):BYD, SMIC, TSINGTAO, Guotai Junan Securities, HAITONG, CanSino

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for BYD, SMIC, TSINGTAO, Guotai Junan Securities, HAITONG,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CICC (3908 HK): Soon to Be Its Time

​CICC is a laggard among Chinese securities companies. With the market rebound, its earnings and share price are set to improve rapidly. Its 0.4x P...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 22nd): ZTE, CRCC Times Electric, Air China, Longyuan, Shanghai Fudan

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for ZTE, CRCC Times Electric, Air China, Longyuan, Shanghai...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

H-share securities companies still have room for corrections despite recent retreats, with Citic Securities and China Merchants Securities looking...

CICC is a laggard among Chinese securities companies. With the market rebound, its earnings and share price are set to improve rapidly. Its 0.4x P...