Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The trade remains Long Nifty with a watch on earnings. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/infosys-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:267:1" rel="noopener">Infosys Ltd (INFO IN)</a> reported a beat on revenues and a miss on EPS, heading into seasonally weak quarters is the pain now consensus? </li>
<li>Other names discussed include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delta-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4627:1" rel="noopener">Delta Corp Ltd (DELTA IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-asset-management-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27027:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Asset Management Co Ltd (HDFCAMC IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dmart" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23656:1" rel="noopener">Avenue Supermarts Ltd (DMART IN)</a>. </li>
</ul>


The trade remains Long Nifty with a watch on earnings. 

Infosys Ltd (INFO IN) reported a beat on revenues and a miss on EPS, heading into seasonally weak quarters is the pain now consensus? 
Other names discussed include Delta Corp Ltd (DELTA IN), HDFC Asset Management Co Ltd (HDFCAMC IN) and Avenue Supermarts Ltd (DMART IN). 


[Week 7] Namaste India 🙏 | Infosys Ltd (INFO IN) | Seasonal Sluggishness Now Consensus

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/polycab-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27877:1" rel="noopener">Polycab India</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/macrotech-developers-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27315:1" rel="noopener">Macrotech Developers</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/one-97-communications-limited-paytm" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26149:1" rel="noopener">Paytm</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-communications-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20892:1" rel="noopener">Tata Communications</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-motors-ltd-a-dvr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:349:1" rel="noopener">Tata Motors DVR</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apl-apollo-tubes-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16132:1" rel="noopener">Apl Apollo Tubes</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/persistent-systems-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9468:1" rel="noopener">Persistent Systems</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suzlon-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1073:1" rel="noopener">Suzlon Energy</a> have run up over the recent past and have heightened investor attention.</li>
<li>The increase in market cap has put the stocks on active manager radars and could also result in the stocks being added to global indices in the near future.</li>
<li>We take a look at the positioning on the stocks and recommend pair trades to reduce market risk while trying to capture alpha.</li>
</ul>



Polycab India, Macrotech Developers, Paytm, Tata Communications, Tata Motors DVR, Apl Apollo Tubes, Persistent Systems and Suzlon Energy have run up over the recent past and have heightened investor attention.
The increase in market cap has put the stocks on active manager radars and could also result in the stocks being added to global indices in the near future.
We take a look at the positioning on the stocks and recommend pair trades to reduce market risk while trying to capture alpha.


India - Positioning on Some Interesting* Names

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Cables &amp; Wires demand was buoyant during the quarter, though the overall demand for consumer durables remained moderate.</li><li>The demand was driven by government spends on infrastructure projects along with stale demand from overseas markets.</li><li>Furthermore, it was led by an increase in private Capex spending and real estate up-cycle. The demand for cooling products was tepid (being a seasonally soft quarter) with some brands resorting to discounts to clear inventory. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Cables &amp; Wires demand was buoyant during the quarter, though the overall demand for consumer durables remained moderate.The demand was driven by government spends on infrastructure projects along with stale demand from overseas markets.Furthermore, it was led by an increase in private Capex spending and real estate up-cycle. The demand for cooling products was tepid (being a seasonally soft quarter) with some brands resorting to discounts to clear inventory. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/r-r-kabel" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39810:1" rel="noopener">R R Kabel (2333180Z IN)</a> raised around US$238m in its India IPO, after the deal was priced at INR1,035/share. It will begin trading tomorrow on 20th Sep 2023.</li>
<li>R R Kabel is an Indian consumer electrical company, which primarily sells wires, cables and fast moving electrical goods (FMEG).</li>
<li>We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our previous notes. In this note, we talk about demand and trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



R R Kabel (2333180Z IN) raised around US$238m in its India IPO, after the deal was priced at INR1,035/share. It will begin trading tomorrow on 20th Sep 2023.
R R Kabel is an Indian consumer electrical company, which primarily sells wires, cables and fast moving electrical goods (FMEG).
We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our previous notes. In this note, we talk about demand and trading dynamics.


R R Kabel IPO Trading - Average Subscription Rates but Strong Insti Demand

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/r-r-kabel" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39810:1" rel="noopener">R R Kabel (2333180Z IN)</a> is looking to raise up to US$238m in its India IPO.</li>
<li>R R Kabel is an Indian consumer electrical company, which primarily sells wires, cables and fast moving electrical goods (FMEG).</li>
<li>In our previous notes, we looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we undertake a quick peer comparison and share our thoughts on valuation.</li>
</ul>



R R Kabel (2333180Z IN) is looking to raise up to US$238m in its India IPO.
R R Kabel is an Indian consumer electrical company, which primarily sells wires, cables and fast moving electrical goods (FMEG).
In our previous notes, we looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we undertake a quick peer comparison and share our thoughts on valuation.


R R Kabel IPO - Peer Comp & Thoughts on Valuation - Fifth in Market Share but First in Sales Growth

India

Polycab India Limited produces and distributes electronic equipment. The Company offers cables, wires, fans, switches, lighting, junction boxes, circular lids, and pumps. Polycab India serves customers in India.   

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Polycab India (POLYCAB IN)

[Week 7] Namaste India 🙏 | Infosys Ltd (INFO IN) | Seasonal Sluggishness Now Consensus

The trade remains long Nifty. Names discussed include INFO, DMART, DELTACORP and HDFCAMC. The next two weeks are going to be busy as the full...

Pranav Bhavsar

India - Positioning on Some Interesting* Names

There are 8 Indian stocks have jumped in price recently and where the increased market cap will put them on active investors radars and could get...

Brian Freitas

Q2FY24 - Consolidated Earnings Preview

Cables & Wires demand was buoyant during the quarter, though the overall demand for consumer durables remained moderate.Dixon

Axis Direct

R R Kabel IPO Trading - Average Subscription Rates but Strong Insti Demand

R R Kabel (2333180Z IN) raised around US$238m in its India IPO, after the deal was priced at INR1,035/share. It will begin trading tomorrow on 20th...

Ethan Aw

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Week 7] Namaste India 🙏 | Infosys Ltd (INFO IN) | Seasonal Sluggishness Now Consensus

The trade remains long Nifty. Names discussed include INFO, DMART, DELTACORP and HDFCAMC. The next two weeks are going to be busy as the full...

Pranav Bhavsar

India - Positioning on Some Interesting* Names

There are 8 Indian stocks have jumped in price recently and where the increased market cap will put them on active investors radars and could get...

Brian Freitas

Q2FY24 - Consolidated Earnings Preview

Cables & Wires demand was buoyant during the quarter, though the overall demand for consumer durables remained moderate.Dixon

Axis Direct

R R Kabel IPO Trading - Average Subscription Rates but Strong Insti Demand

R R Kabel (2333180Z IN) raised around US$238m in its India IPO, after the deal was priced at INR1,035/share. It will begin trading tomorrow on 20th...

Ethan Aw

R R Kabel IPO - Peer Comp & Thoughts on Valuation - Fifth in Market Share but First in Sales Growth

R R Kabel (2333180Z IN) is looking to raise up to US$238m in its India IPO. In this note, we undertake a quick peer comparison and share our...

Ethan Aw