Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Hang Seng has announced the conclusions of the market consultation. Primary-listed foreign stocks will be eligible for inclusion in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI INDEX</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH INDEX</a> from the December rebalance.</li>
<li>The coming week has the rebalances for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next 50 Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Bank Index</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">SENSEX Index</a> as a result of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/housing-development-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:252:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Limited</a>/ <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank</a> merger.</li>
<li>There were inflows to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK)</a> and outflows from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng H Share Index ETF (2828 HK)</a> during the week.</li>
</ul>


Hang Seng has announced the conclusions of the market consultation. Primary-listed foreign stocks will be eligible for inclusion in the HSI INDEX and HSTECH INDEX from the December rebalance.
The coming week has the rebalances for the NIFTY Index, Nifty Next 50 Index, Nifty Bank Index and SENSEX Index as a result of the HDFC Limited/ HDFC Bank merger.
There were inflows to Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK) and outflows from Hang Seng H Share Index ETF (2828 HK) during the week.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCI, HSCEI, HSI, CSI300, CSI500, SSE50, HDFC Bank, Sensex

Foxconn Industrial Internet / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Two thirds of the way through the review period, we see 10 potential adds/8 potential deletes in December. However, there can be a maximum of 5 changes at a review.</li>
<li>We estimate a one-way turnover of 5.8% at the December rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 4.67bn. Index arb balances could increase the impact on the stocks.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last six months and there has been renewed outperformance over the last month.</li>
</ul>


Two thirds of the way through the review period, we see 10 potential adds/8 potential deletes in December. However, there can be a maximum of 5 changes at a review.
We estimate a one-way turnover of 5.8% at the December rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 4.67bn. Index arb balances could increase the impact on the stocks.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last six months and there has been renewed outperformance over the last month.


SSE50 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Powering Higher

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for PetroChina, China Mobile, Xpeng, Bilibili, Kuaishou, CCB, ICBC, BYD, HSBC.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight flows for PetroChina, China Mobile, Xpeng, Bilibili, Kuaishou, CCB, ICBC, BYD, HSBC.


Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly: $366m Outflows in June

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 113.9% as of Jun 9th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -1.9ppt week on week, led by consumer discretionary, materials, industrials and offset by consumer staples, information technology, communication services.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for BYD Co Ltd and China Construction Bank.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 113.9% as of Jun 9th.
The average A-H premium changed by -1.9ppt week on week, led by consumer discretionary, materials, industrials and offset by consumer staples, information technology, communication services.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for BYD Co Ltd and China Construction Bank.


<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 113.9% as of Jun 9th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -1.9ppt week on week, led by consumer discretionary, materials, industrials and offset by consumer staples, information technology, communication services.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for CCB, China Longyuan and BYD.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 113.9% as of Jun 9th.
The average A-H premium changed by -1.9ppt week on week, led by consumer discretionary, materials, industrials and offset by consumer staples, information technology, communication services.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for CCB, China Longyuan and BYD.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 9th): CCB, China Longyuan, BYD

China

Haitong Securities Co., Ltd. offers securities services. The Company provides securities brokerage, asset management, securities investment, share transfer agency, and capital intermediary services. Haitong Securities focuses on  online brokerage, wealth management, and institutional investors.

Haitong Securities Co Ltd (A) (600837 CH)

Huatai Securities Co., Ltd. provides financial company. The Company provides securities brokerage services, research consulting services, investment banking and direct investment services, fixed-income services and asset management services.

CITIC Securities Co., Ltd. provides securities brokerage, trading, underwriting, investment banking, asset management, and investment consulting services.

China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. provides securities services. The Company offers securities brokerage, securities investment consulting, securities underwriting, and other services. China Merchants Securities also operates investment management.

China Merchants Securities Co Ltd (A) (600999 CH)

Guotai Junan Securities Co.,Ltd. provides financial services. The Company offers corporate finance, fixed income securities, asset management, risk management, and other services. Guotai Junan Securities Company serves clients throughout China.

Shenwan Hongyuan Group Co., Ltd. provides securities services. The Company offers securities brokerage, securities investment consulting, securities investment fund agency, securities asset management, and other services. Shenwan Hongyuan Group provides services in China.

China Galaxy Securities Co., Ltd. provides securities services. The Company provides securities underwriting, securities brokerage, securities investment advisory, securities transaction, and other services. China Galaxy Securities provides its services throughout China.

GF Securities Co Ltd. is a securities firm. The Company offers investment banking services including equity and bond underwriting, mergers and acquisitions consulting, financial consulting, brokerage services, and asset management services.

Guosen Securities Co.,Ltd offers securities services. The Company provides securities brokerage, securities investment, securities consulting, and other services. Guosen Securities provides its services throughout China.

Founder Securities Company Limited's major business includes securities brokerage, securities investment consulting, securities trading, financial advisory on securities investment and trading activities, proprietary trading, securities asset management, investment fund distribution, margin business, and provide intermediate agency services for Founder Futures Limited.

State Street Corporation services institutional investors and manages financial assets worldwide.  The Company's products and services include custody, accounting, administration, daily pricing, international exchange services, cash management, financial asset management, securities lending, and investment advisory services.

Tradeweb Markets Inc. builds and operates electronic marketplaces for rates, credit, equities/ETFs and money markets. The company serves institutional, wholesale and retail clients in 62 countries including large global asset managers, insurance companies, central banks, financial advisory firms, proprietary trading firms, hedge funds, banks and dealers.

Northern Trust Corporation is a financial holding company that provides investment management, asset and fund administration, fiduciary, and banking solutions for corporations, institutions, and affluent individuals. Northern Trust's banking operations are its primary operations.

LPL Financial Holdings, Inc. offers technology, brokerage and investment advisory services through business relationships with all types of financial advisors. Through proprietary technology, custody and clearing platforms, the Company offers access to financial products and services that enable them to provide financial advice and brokerage services to retail investors.

Raymond James Financial, Inc. provides financial services to individuals, corporations, and municipalities through its subsidiary investment firms. The Company operates throughout the United States, Canada and overseas.

T. Rowe Price Group Inc. is a financial services holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides investment advisory services to individual and institutional investors. T. Rowe manages a broad range of U.S. and international stock, blended asset, bond, and money market mutual funds and other investment portfolios.

Cboe Global Markets, Inc. operates a marketplace for the trading of standardized, listed options on equity securities. The Company is recognized for its role in the trading of options on individual equities, market indexes and exchange-traded funds, their suite of products, their markets and their hybrid trading model.

Amundi SA provides investment management services. The Company offers savings, financial instruments, equity trading, credit activities, and investment solutions. Amundi serves customers worldwide.

Brookfield Asset Management Ltd. operates as an investment management firm. The Company focuses on property development, renewable energy, infrastructure, insurance, and private equity. Brookfield Asset Management serves customers worldwide.

Yuanta Financial Holding Co., Ltd. is a holding company. Its main businesses include brokerage, margin financing, domestic and overseas issuance, financial and M&A advisory, primary listings, corporate financial, securities underwriting and placements, etc. The company also holds the leading position in the derivatives business.

CSC Financial Co., Ltd. provides investment management services. The Company offers investment banking, wealth management, and trading and institutional client services. CSC Financial conducts its business in Hong Kong.

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CSC Financial (601066 CH)

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCI, HSCEI, HSI, CSI300, CSI500, SSE50, HDFC Bank, Sensex

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

SSE50 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Powering Higher

Two thirds of the way through the review period, we see 10 potential adds/8 potential deletes in December. Turnover is over 5% and the potential...

Brian Freitas

Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly: $366m Outflows in June

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for June and highlight flows for PetroChina, China Mobile, Xpeng, Bilibili, Kuaishou, CCB, ICBC, BYD, HSBC.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 9th): BYD, CCB

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for BYD Co Ltd, and China Construction Bank.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 9th): CCB, China Longyuan, BYD

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for CCB, China Longyuan, BYD Co Ltd.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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