HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The 2021 national medical insurance negotiation released results on December 3.</li>
<li>If the COVID virus continues to mutate in a more transmissible direction, the logic of related companies would change.</li>
<li>For those new IPOs that fell on debut, the current "cold winter" is a rational return of the crazy healthcare investment capital market since 2019.</li>
</ul>


The 2021 national medical insurance negotiation released results on December 3.
If the COVID virus continues to mutate in a more transmissible direction, the logic of related companies would change.
For those new IPOs that fell on debut, the current "cold winter" is a rational return of the crazy healthcare investment capital market since 2019.


China Healthcare Weekly (Dec.3)-2021 Insurance Negotiation Results,new COVID Virus,a Rational Return

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Even if the biopharmaceutical enterprises become gradually mature in each part of the development process, they still have to face the final test - the commercialization.</li>
<li>If compare BeiGene’s product revenue from 2017 to 2021Q3 and the related investment during the same period, the situation was not satisfactory. The internationalization may also not meet the expectation.</li>
<li>We hope that the IPO in the SSE STAR Market would not be "the last hurrah" for BeiGene, because what BeiGene's future performance represents means a lot.</li>
</ul>


Even if the biopharmaceutical enterprises become gradually mature in each part of the development process, they still have to face the final test - the commercialization.
If compare BeiGene’s product revenue from 2017 to 2021Q3 and the related investment during the same period, the situation was not satisfactory. The internationalization may also not meet the expectation.
We hope that the IPO in the SSE STAR Market would not be "the last hurrah" for BeiGene, because what BeiGene's future performance represents means a lot.


Pre-IPO BeiGene Ltd - The Future Performance Means a Lot

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The December rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI and HSTECH indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituents at 8%. This will lead to large flows.</li>
<li>The largest passive outflows as a result of capping will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> due to their weight exceeding 8% in all three indices.</li>
<li>There are large funding outflows (in terms of days of ADV to trade) on quite a few Hong Kong property stocks as well as stocks from the financials sector.</li>
</ul>


The December rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI and HSTECH indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituents at 8%. This will lead to large flows.
The largest passive outflows as a result of capping will be on Meituan (3690 HK) and Tencent (700 HK) due to their weight exceeding 8% in all three indices.
There are large funding outflows (in terms of days of ADV to trade) on quite a few Hong Kong property stocks as well as stocks from the financials sector.


HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH: December Rebalance Flows Post Capping

<ul>
<li>We reviewed the 2021 performance and summarized the 2022 outlook for China healthcare sector.</li>
<li>We listed the 2022 high conviction ideas and mainly analyzed the industry characteristics, the business, the core competitiveness, the forecast and the concerns of related companies.</li>
<li>Overall, there are still good investment opportunities in China healthcare industry in 2022.</li>
</ul>


We reviewed the 2021 performance and summarized the 2022 outlook for China healthcare sector.
We listed the 2022 high conviction ideas and mainly analyzed the industry characteristics, the business, the core competitiveness, the forecast and the concerns of related companies.
Overall, there are still good investment opportunities in China healthcare industry in 2022.


2022 High Conviction (China Healthcare) - Seek the Relative Certainties Out of the Uncertainties

Equity Bottom-Up

Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the logic and the potential impact of the deal with CStone for CS1002 as well as the accounting estimate change related to R&amp;D spending.</li>
<li>There could be some share price rebound due to the short-term catalyst, and investors could choose to take advantage of it.</li>
<li>However, Hengrui has not been in its best time yet, and the Company still needs time for rebalancing. So, we remain conservative about the outlook at the current stage.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the logic and the potential impact of the deal with CStone for CS1002 as well as the accounting estimate change related to R&amp;D spending.
There could be some share price rebound due to the short-term catalyst, and investors could choose to take advantage of it.
However, Hengrui has not been in its best time yet, and the Company still needs time for rebalancing. So, we remain conservative about the outlook at the current stage.


Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276.CH)-The Deal with Cstone,the Accounting Estimate Change and Outlook

China

Innovent Biologics, Inc. operates as a biopharmaceutical company. The Company develops, manufactures, and distributes monoclonal antibody drug candidates for the treatment of oncology, ophthalmology, autoimmune, cardiovascular, and other diseases. Innovent Biologics serves customers in China.

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Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK)

China Healthcare Weekly (Dec.3)-2021 Insurance Negotiation Results,new COVID Virus,a Rational Return

This article analyzed the 2021 national medical insurance negotiation results, the change in logic of valuation due to the new COVID virus, and a...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Pre-IPO BeiGene Ltd - The Future Performance Means a Lot

The article analyzed the commercialization performance vs the investment,the concerns on internationalization based on license-out mode and the...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH: December Rebalance Flows Post Capping

The Dec rebalance of the HK indices will use today's closing prices to cap the stocks at 8%. Meituan and Tencent will see large outflows due to...

Brian Freitas

2022 High Conviction (China Healthcare) - Seek the Relative Certainties Out of the Uncertainties

The article analyzed the 2021 review and 2022 high conviction ideas, including the industry characteristics, the business, the core...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276.CH)-The Deal with Cstone,the Accounting Estimate Change and Outlook

The article analyzed Hengrui in terms of the logic and the potential impact of the deal with CStone and the accounting estimate change,the short...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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52-week Range

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