Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/home-first-finance-company-india" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28865:1" rel="noopener">Home First Finance (HOMEFIRS IN)</a> lends to a customer segment exposed to high income volatility.</li>
<li>Soft bounces are used by customers to manage their cash flow, with bounce charge collection done on a best-effort basis, management attitude towards financial discipline warrants attention. </li>
<li>While there may not be any immediate asset quality issues, caution is warranted. </li>
</ul>



Home First Finance (HOMEFIRS IN) lends to a customer segment exposed to high income volatility.
Soft bounces are used by customers to manage their cash flow, with bounce charge collection done on a best-effort basis, management attitude towards financial discipline warrants attention. 
While there may not be any immediate asset quality issues, caution is warranted. 


Home First Finance (HOMEFIRS IN) | The Bounce Mystery & Way Forward

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Near the end of the review period, we see 7 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 6 from LargeCap to MidCap, 8 from SmallCap to MidCap and vice versa.</li>
<li>One spin-off should be added to the MidCap segment, while a bunch of recent listings will be added to the SmallCap segment.</li>
<li>Stock migrating upwards have outperformed stocks migrating downwards and we expect there could be some mean reversion from the middle of January.</li>
</ul>


Near the end of the review period, we see 7 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 6 from LargeCap to MidCap, 8 from SmallCap to MidCap and vice versa.
One spin-off should be added to the MidCap segment, while a bunch of recent listings will be added to the SmallCap segment.
Stock migrating upwards have outperformed stocks migrating downwards and we expect there could be some mean reversion from the middle of January.


AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2022): A Bunch of Migrations

<ul>
<li>We interact with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/home-first-finance-company-india" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28865:1" rel="noopener">Home First Finance (HOMEFIRS IN)</a>  branch managers to understand the reason behind the increase in bounce rates.</li>
<li>The overall NACH data also shows a high rejection rate in October despite being a festive month, which is surprising.</li>
<li>With 92% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/home-first-finance-company-india" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28865:1" rel="noopener">Home First Finance (HOMEFIRS IN)</a> loans being disbursed in less than 48 hours, this focus on TAT could lead to higher than industry-average asset quality issues. </li>
</ul>


We interact with Home First Finance (HOMEFIRS IN)  branch managers to understand the reason behind the increase in bounce rates.
The overall NACH data also shows a high rejection rate in October despite being a festive month, which is surprising.
With 92% of Home First Finance (HOMEFIRS IN) loans being disbursed in less than 48 hours, this focus on TAT could lead to higher than industry-average asset quality issues. 


Home First Finance (HOMEFIRS IN) | Bounce Rate and Sales Pressure

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Five Star Business Finance / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/five-star-business-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35238:1" rel="noopener">Five Star Business Finance (0958461D IN)</a> is looking to raise around US$250m in its upcoming India IPO. </li>
<li>Five-Star Business is a non-banking financial company (NBFC-ND-SI) that provides secured business loans to micro-entrepreneurs and self-employed individuals.</li>
<li>We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our previous note, in this note, we talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>



Five Star Business Finance (0958461D IN) is looking to raise around US$250m in its upcoming India IPO. 
Five-Star Business is a non-banking financial company (NBFC-ND-SI) that provides secured business loans to micro-entrepreneurs and self-employed individuals.
We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our previous note, in this note, we talk about valuations.


Five-Star Business IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/five-star-business-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35238:1" rel="noopener">Five Star Business Finance (0958461D IN)</a> is looking to raise around US$250m in its upcoming India IPO. </li>
<li>Five-Star Business is a non-banking financial company (NBFC-ND-SI) that provides secured business loans to micro-entrepreneurs and self-employed individuals.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the RHP updates and undertake a peer comparison.</li>
</ul>



Five Star Business Finance (0958461D IN) is looking to raise around US$250m in its upcoming India IPO. 
Five-Star Business is a non-banking financial company (NBFC-ND-SI) that provides secured business loans to micro-entrepreneurs and self-employed individuals.
In this note, we talk about the RHP updates and undertake a peer comparison.


Five-Star Business IPO - RHP Updates and Peer Comparion

India

Aavas Financiers Limited provides consumer finance services. The Company offers home, land purchase, construction, home improvement, balance transfer, and business loans. Aavas Financiers serves customers in India.

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Aavas Financiers Ltd (AAVAS IN)

Home First Finance (HOMEFIRS IN) | The Bounce Mystery & Way Forward

Affordable housing lenders like HOMEFIRS typically lend to vulnerable customers. Despite efforts, customer behaviour may not change and pose risks...

Pranav Bhavsar

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2022): A Bunch of Migrations

Near the end of the review period, we see 7 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 6 from LargeCap to MidCap, 8 from SmallCap to MidCap and vice...

Brian Freitas

Home First Finance (HOMEFIRS IN) | Bounce Rate and Sales Pressure

We interact with our channels at Home First and industry professionals to understand the trend in bounce rates, demand environment and competitive...

Pranav Bhavsar

Five-Star Business IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

Five Star Business Finance is looking to raise around US$250m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we'll talk about valuations.

Sumeet Singh

Five-Star Business IPO - RHP Updates and Peer Comparion

Five Star Business Finance is looking to raise around US$250m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the RHP updates and undertake...

Sumeet Singh

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