Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Alteogen has signed an exclusive license agreement with Daiichi Sankyo to develop and commercialize a subcutaneous version of Enhertu. Volpara won $7.3M contract from the U.S. Defense Health Agency.</li>
<li>Santen Pharmaceutical has rolled out Rhopressa ophthalmic solution in South Korea for the treatment of open-angle glaucoma or ocular hypertension.</li>
<li>Sun Pharmaceutical’s launch of alopecia drug Leqselvi in the U.S. will be delayed due to litigation with Incyte. Recently, a U.S. District Court decided to grant a preliminary injunction.</li>
</ul>


Alteogen has signed an exclusive license agreement with Daiichi Sankyo to develop and commercialize a subcutaneous version of Enhertu. Volpara won $7.3M contract from the U.S. Defense Health Agency.
Santen Pharmaceutical has rolled out Rhopressa ophthalmic solution in South Korea for the treatment of open-angle glaucoma or ocular hypertension.
Sun Pharmaceutical’s launch of alopecia drug Leqselvi in the U.S. will be delayed due to litigation with Incyte. Recently, a U.S. District Court decided to grant a preliminary injunction.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (Nov 10)- Alteogen, Santen Pharmaceutical, Beigene, Sun Pharmaceutical

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

<ul>
<li>The assassination of Trump in July has greatly increased the probability of his election as president this year. However, a Trump presidency is not necessarily good for healthcare industry.</li>
<li>Trump's reform in the field of healthcare has two major propositions - One is to achieve the independence of US pharmaceutical supply chain. The other is to reduce drug prices.</li>
<li>From a US national security perspective, China's APIs/CXO would be the segments with the highest sanction risk. China Biotech may also face some headwinds. The risk of "decoupling" further increases.</li>
</ul>


The assassination of Trump in July has greatly increased the probability of his election as president this year. However, a Trump presidency is not necessarily good for healthcare industry.
Trump's reform in the field of healthcare has two major propositions - One is to achieve the independence of US pharmaceutical supply chain. The other is to reduce drug prices.
From a US national security perspective, China's APIs/CXO would be the segments with the highest sanction risk. China Biotech may also face some headwinds. The risk of "decoupling" further increases.


What Does a Trump Presidency Mean for China Healthcare?

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Revolution Medicines, an American oncology-focused biotechnology company, has made considerable progress in developing therapies for patients with RAS-addicted cancers.</li>
<li>We launched coverage of the stock In November 2023 and added Revolution Medicines to our high conviction list of ideas.</li>
<li>RevMed shares has massively outperformed in 2024 with shares up ~92% YTD vs. a ~12% gain on the XBI. I established a $55 PT and see the valuation as full. </li>
</ul>


Revolution Medicines, an American oncology-focused biotechnology company, has made considerable progress in developing therapies for patients with RAS-addicted cancers.
We launched coverage of the stock In November 2023 and added Revolution Medicines to our high conviction list of ideas.
RevMed shares has massively outperformed in 2024 with shares up ~92% YTD vs. a ~12% gain on the XBI. I established a $55 PT and see the valuation as full. 


2023 High Conviction Update: Revolution Medicines, Time To Take Profits?

<ul>
<li>China healthcare can be mainly divided into the following segments: pharmaceuticals, medical devices, medical services, To B Supply Chain. Investment logic and business characteristics in these fields are completely different.</li>
<li>“High standardization+low dependence on doctors” help pharmaceuticals gain a more favorable commercial value than medical devices in distribution process. Profit margin/cross-regional expansion capability of medical services have always been questioned.</li>
<li>The business characteristics of “To B supply chain” indicate strong cyclical characteristics due to supply rigidity and demand fluctuations, which are easily affected by changes in demand trends.</li>
</ul>


China healthcare can be mainly divided into the following segments: pharmaceuticals, medical devices, medical services, To B Supply Chain. Investment logic and business characteristics in these fields are completely different.
“High standardization+low dependence on doctors” help pharmaceuticals gain a more favorable commercial value than medical devices in distribution process. Profit margin/cross-regional expansion capability of medical services have always been questioned.
The business characteristics of “To B supply chain” indicate strong cyclical characteristics due to supply rigidity and demand fluctuations, which are easily affected by changes in demand trends.


The “Game Rule” of China Healthcare - Pharmaceuticals Vs Medical Devices Vs Medical Services

<ul>
<li>Although both Republicans and Democrats have policies related to supply chain security/lowering drug prices, they have taken different approaches. Harris is likely to be “a continuation of the Biden policy”. </li>
<li>Harris would continue Biden’s strategy of “wooing India to contain China” and developing a pro-US supply chain system that isolates China.Her future policy direction may be more "predictable" than Trump's.</li>
<li>Whether Trump or Harris is elected as President of the US, there's a high possibility that the US will continue to confront China in the fields of biosecurity and biotechnology.</li>
</ul>


Although both Republicans and Democrats have policies related to supply chain security/lowering drug prices, they have taken different approaches. Harris is likely to be “a continuation of the Biden policy”. 
Harris would continue Biden’s strategy of “wooing India to contain China” and developing a pro-US supply chain system that isolates China.Her future policy direction may be more "predictable" than Trump's.
Whether Trump or Harris is elected as President of the US, there's a high possibility that the US will continue to confront China in the fields of biosecurity and biotechnology.


What Does a Kamala Harris Presidency Mean for China Healthcare?

China

BeiGene, Ltd. operates as a commercial stage biopharmaceutical company. The Company focuses on discovery, development, and commercialization of molecularly targeted and immuno-oncology drugs for the treatment of cancer. BeiGene serves patients worldwide.

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BeiGene (6160 HK)

APAC Healthcare Weekly (Nov 10)- Alteogen, Santen Pharmaceutical, Beigene, Sun Pharmaceutical

Alteogen partners with Daiichi Sankyo for Enhertu, Volpara secures $7.3M contract, Santen launches Rhopressa in South Korea, Sun Pharma's Leqselvi...

Tina Banerjee

What Does a Trump Presidency Mean for China Healthcare?

Trump successfully elected as the US President. His reform in healthcare is to achieve the independence of US pharmaceutical supply chain and...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

2023 High Conviction Update: Revolution Medicines, Time To Take Profits?

I remove Revolution Medicines stock from my high conviction list of ideas due to achieving a $55.00 price target and full valuation relative to peers.

Andrei Zakharov

The “Game Rule” of China Healthcare - Pharmaceuticals Vs Medical Devices Vs Medical Services

China healthcare has distinct segments with different investment logic/characteristics.The pecking order is drugs>medical device>medical...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

What Does a Kamala Harris Presidency Mean for China Healthcare?

Harris could be “a continuation of Biden's policy” , making her future policy direction more "predictable" .But the US will continue to confront...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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APAC Healthcare Weekly (Nov 10)- Alteogen, Santen Pharmaceutical, Beigene, Sun Pharmaceutical

​Alteogen partners with Daiichi Sankyo for Enhertu, Volpara secures $7.3M contract, Santen launches Rhopressa in South Korea, Sun Pharma's Leqselvi...

Tina Banerjee

What Does a Trump Presidency Mean for China Healthcare?

Trump successfully elected as the US President. His reform in healthcare is to achieve the independence of US pharmaceutical supply chain and...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

2023 High Conviction Update: Revolution Medicines, Time To Take Profits?

I remove Revolution Medicines stock from my high conviction list of ideas due to achieving a $55.00 price target and full valuation relative to peers.

Andrei Zakharov

The “Game Rule” of China Healthcare - Pharmaceuticals Vs Medical Devices Vs Medical Services

​China healthcare has distinct segments with different investment logic/characteristics.The pecking order is drugs>medical device>medical...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

What Does a Kamala Harris Presidency Mean for China Healthcare?

Harris could be “a continuation of Biden's policy” , making her future policy direction more "predictable" .But the US will continue to confront...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Alteogen partners with Daiichi Sankyo for Enhertu, Volpara secures $7.3M contract, Santen launches Rhopressa in South Korea, Sun Pharma's Leqselvi...

China healthcare has distinct segments with different investment logic/characteristics.The pecking order is drugs>medical device>medical...