ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The past week saw insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitra-adiperkasa-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18684:1" rel="noopener">Mitra Adiperkasa (MAPI IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sariguna-primatirta-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33584:1" rel="noopener">Sariguna Primatirta Tbk PT (CLEO IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/global-digital-niaga-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34881:1" rel="noopener">Global Digital Niaga (BELI IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prodia-widyahusada" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23663:1" rel="noopener">Prodia (PRDA IJ)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/berli-jucker-public-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3685:1" rel="noopener">Berli Jucker (BJC TB)</a>. </li>
<li>There were also insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-eastern-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13993:1" rel="noopener">Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oversea-chinese-banking-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:114:1" rel="noopener">OCBC (OCBC SP)</a>, the bid for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sinarmas-land-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1144:1" rel="noopener">Sinarmas Land (SML SP)</a> from the Widjaja Family, and Southern Alliance Mining.</li>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom, from across Southeast Asia.</li>
</ul>


The past week saw insights on Mitra Adiperkasa (MAPI IJ), Sariguna Primatirta Tbk PT (CLEO IJ), Global Digital Niaga (BELI IJ), Prodia (PRDA IJ), and Berli Jucker (BJC TB). 
There were also insights on Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP) and OCBC (OCBC SP), the bid for Sinarmas Land (SML SP) from the Widjaja Family, and Southern Alliance Mining.
The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom, from across Southeast Asia.


The Lebaran Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - MAPI, CLEO, and Berli Jucker

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Equity Bottom-Up

MAP Aktif Adiperkasa PT / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>New store openings and cost management initiatives drove solid 9M24 net profit growth of 8.4% yoy. </li><li>We increased our FY24/25F net profit estimates by 12.4% and 10.2%, reflecting solid 9M24 results and expectations of more store openings. </li><li>We expect the upcoming festive events to sustain growth momentum for MAPA. Maintain Buy rating with a higher TP of Rp1,250.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

New store openings and cost management initiatives drove solid 9M24 net profit growth of 8.4% yoy. We increased our FY24/25F net profit estimates by 12.4% and 10.2%, reflecting solid 9M24 results and expectations of more store openings. We expect the upcoming festive events to sustain growth momentum for MAPA. Maintain Buy rating with a higher TP of Rp1,250.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

MAP Aktif - Store Expansions and Cost Efficiency Drive FY24-26F Est. And TP Upgrade

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitra-adiperkasa-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18684:1" rel="noopener">Mitra Adiperkasa</a> reported a solid finish to the year with positive sequential growth in 4Q2024, although it was impacted by the delayed iPhone 16 launch, which reduced its peak quarter.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/map-aktif-adiperkasa-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27291:1" rel="noopener">MAP Aktif Adiperkasa</a> was the core growth driver, and its 4Q2024 was more seasonally strong at 28% of FY2024, with its regional expansion also helping to drive growth in FY2024. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitra-adiperkasa-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18684:1" rel="noopener">Mitra Adiperkasa</a> remains a core retail proxy for Indonesia, with an increasing regional edge, and stronger growth prospects for FY2025. Valuations look extremely attractive on 9.9x FY2025E PER.</li>
</ul>



Mitra Adiperkasa reported a solid finish to the year with positive sequential growth in 4Q2024, although it was impacted by the delayed iPhone 16 launch, which reduced its peak quarter.

MAP Aktif Adiperkasa was the core growth driver, and its 4Q2024 was more seasonally strong at 28% of FY2024, with its regional expansion also helping to drive growth in FY2024. 

Mitra Adiperkasa remains a core retail proxy for Indonesia, with an increasing regional edge, and stronger growth prospects for FY2025. Valuations look extremely attractive on 9.9x FY2025E PER.


Mitra Adiperkasa (MAPI IJ) - Parting Clouds Ahead

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Retailers have offered healthy promotions Ytd, while we observed some FMCG price increases ahead of the Eid Festive season.</li><li>Amid reports of soft sales and demand in Feb Ytd, we believe the affordable FMCG segment should remain lucrative.</li><li>We maintain OW ratings in the Consumer and Retail sectors. We prefer MAPI and KLBF as our top picks, as both offer attractive valuations.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Retailers have offered healthy promotions Ytd, while we observed some FMCG price increases ahead of the Eid Festive season.Amid reports of soft sales and demand in Feb Ytd, we believe the affordable FMCG segment should remain lucrative.We maintain OW ratings in the Consumer and Retail sectors. We prefer MAPI and KLBF as our top picks, as both offer attractive valuations.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Retailers Boost Promotions as FMCG Prices Rise Ahead of Eid Festive (OVERWEIGHT)

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Japfa Comfeed Indonesia / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 2 constituent changes for the IDX30 Index, and 3 changes each for the LQ45 Index and IDX80 Index to be implemented at the close on 31 January.</li>
<li>The largest passive flows are expected in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-central-asia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:440:1" rel="noopener">Bank Central Asia</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indosat-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5737:1" rel="noopener">Indosat</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japfa-comfeed-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8258:1" rel="noopener">Japfa Comfeed Indonesia</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indocement-tunggal-prakarsa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4040:1" rel="noopener">Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dayamitra-telekomunikasi-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34741:1" rel="noopener">Dayamitra Telekomunikasi</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/map-aktif-adiperkasa-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27291:1" rel="noopener">MAP Aktif Adiperkasa</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-mandiri-persero-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:441:1" rel="noopener">Bank Mandiri Persero</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ciputra-development-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5513:1" rel="noopener">Ciputra Development</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xl-axiata-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15028:1" rel="noopener">XL Axiata</a>.</li>
<li>With only 4 days to implementation, there could be relatively big moves on stocks that have large flow/impact from passive fund trading.</li>
</ul>


There are 2 constituent changes for the IDX30 Index, and 3 changes each for the LQ45 Index and IDX80 Index to be implemented at the close on 31 January.
The largest passive flows are expected in Bank Central Asia, Indosat, Japfa Comfeed Indonesia, Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa, Dayamitra Telekomunikasi, MAP Aktif Adiperkasa, Bank Mandiri Persero, Ciputra Development and XL Axiata.
With only 4 days to implementation, there could be relatively big moves on stocks that have large flow/impact from passive fund trading.


IDX30/​​LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: Big Impact in Some Stocks with 4 Days to Implementation

Indonesia

PT MAP Aktif Adiperkasa Tbk retails sporting goods. The Company operates an online portal that offers a wide range boots, shoes, sandals, shorts, caps, hoodies, and accessories. Map Aktif Adiperkasa serves customers in Indonesia.

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MAP Aktif Adiperkasa PT (MAPA IJ)

The Lebaran Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - MAPI, CLEO, and Berli Jucker

The past week saw insights on Mitra Adiperkasa (MAPI IJ), Sariguna Primatirta Tbk PT (CLEO IJ), Global Digital Niaga (BELI IJ), Prodia (PRDA IJ),...

Angus Mackintosh

MAP Aktif - Store Expansions and Cost Efficiency Drive FY24-26F Est. And TP Upgrade

New store openings and cost management initiatives drove solid 9M24 net profit growth of 8.4% yoy. We increased our FY24/25F net profit estimates...

BRI Danareksa Research

Mitra Adiperkasa (MAPI IJ) - Parting Clouds Ahead

Mitra Adiperkasa remains a core retail proxy for Indonesia, with an increasing regional edge, and stronger growth prospects for FY2025. Valuations...

Angus Mackintosh

Retailers Boost Promotions as FMCG Prices Rise Ahead of Eid Festive (OVERWEIGHT)

Retailers have offered healthy promotions Ytd, while we observed some FMCG price increases ahead of the Eid Festive season.

BRI Danareksa Research

IDX30/LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: Big Impact in Some Stocks with 4 Days to Implementation

There are 2 constituent changes for the IDX30, and 3 each for LQ45 and IDX80 indices to be implemented at the close 31 Jan. There are stocks with...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

The Lebaran Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - MAPI, CLEO, and Berli Jucker

The past week saw insights on Mitra Adiperkasa (MAPI IJ), Sariguna Primatirta Tbk PT (CLEO IJ), Global Digital Niaga (BELI IJ), Prodia (PRDA IJ),...

Angus Mackintosh

MAP Aktif - Store Expansions and Cost Efficiency Drive FY24-26F Est. And TP Upgrade

New store openings and cost management initiatives drove solid 9M24 net profit growth of 8.4% yoy. We increased our FY24/25F net profit estimates...

BRI Danareksa Research

Mitra Adiperkasa (MAPI IJ) - Parting Clouds Ahead

Mitra Adiperkasa remains a core retail proxy for Indonesia, with an increasing regional edge, and stronger growth prospects for FY2025. Valuations...

Angus Mackintosh

Retailers Boost Promotions as FMCG Prices Rise Ahead of Eid Festive (OVERWEIGHT)

Retailers have offered healthy promotions Ytd, while we observed some FMCG price increases ahead of the Eid Festive season.

BRI Danareksa Research

IDX30/​​LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: Big Impact in Some Stocks with 4 Days to Implementation

There are 2 constituent changes for the IDX30, and 3 each for LQ45 and IDX80 indices to be implemented at the close 31 Jan. There are stocks with...

Brian Freitas

IDX30/LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: Big Impact in Some Stocks with 4 Days to Implementation