Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Chinese e-commerce companies have underperformed in the last couple of years with immense regulatory-pressure. Although, there’s been a resurgence lately, we are not expecting a complete change of fortunes next-year.</li>
<li>Regulatory crackdowns have already had their stab at curtailing Chinese e-commerce valuations but the effects of Common Prosperity and a State-Dominated-Economy will continue to impact the industry over-medium-long term.</li>
<li>Meanwhile, the Chinese economy looks fragile with high unemployment among youths and many local governments on the brink of bankruptcy.</li>
</ul>


Chinese e-commerce companies have underperformed in the last couple of years with immense regulatory-pressure. Although, there’s been a resurgence lately, we are not expecting a complete change of fortunes next-year.
Regulatory crackdowns have already had their stab at curtailing Chinese e-commerce valuations but the effects of Common Prosperity and a State-Dominated-Economy will continue to impact the industry over-medium-long term.
Meanwhile, the Chinese economy looks fragile with high unemployment among youths and many local governments on the brink of bankruptcy.


China E-Commerce 2023: Fortunes Unlikely To Change With China Moving To a State-Dominated Economy

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Sunshine Insurance Group  Lt / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Sunshine Insurance Group (SIG), a life, health and P&amp;C insurance company, raised around US$850m in its HK IPO.</li>
<li>SIG is an integrated insurance provider which offers both life and health (L&amp;H) and property and casualty (P&amp;C) insurance in China.</li>
<li>We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>


Sunshine Insurance Group (SIG), a life, health and P&amp;C insurance company, raised around US$850m in its HK IPO.
SIG is an integrated insurance provider which offers both life and health (L&amp;H) and property and casualty (P&amp;C) insurance in China.
We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.


Sunshine Insurance Group IPO Trading - No Demand - Still Needs to Correct by 50%

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vinfast" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36550:1" rel="noopener">VinFast Auto (1905332D VN)</a>  is looking to raise up to US$1bn in its upcoming US IPO.</li>
<li>VinFast is a full-scale mobility platform focused primarily on designing and manufacturing premium EVs, electric scooters and electric buses.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



VinFast Auto (1905332D VN)  is looking to raise up to US$1bn in its upcoming US IPO.
VinFast is a full-scale mobility platform focused primarily on designing and manufacturing premium EVs, electric scooters and electric buses.
In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


VinFast Auto Pre-IPO - The Positives - Aiming High...

Country Garden Holdings Co / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/country-garden-holdings-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5225:1" rel="noopener">Country Garden Holdings Co (2007 HK)</a>  aims to raise around US$500m via a primary placement</li>
<li>This will be the third placement by the company this year and the second one within a month’s time.</li>
<li>In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about the recent updates.</li>
</ul>



Country Garden Holdings Co (2007 HK)  aims to raise around US$500m via a primary placement
This will be the third placement by the company this year and the second one within a month’s time.
In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about the recent updates.


Country Garden Placement - Hot on the Heels of the Last Deal, Momentum Has Shifted

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The revenue growth accelerated and the operating margin improved in 3Q22.</li>
<li>However, management said the performance may not continue and profit is not their target.</li>
<li>We believe the stock has a downside of 23% for year end 2023. </li>
</ul>


The revenue growth accelerated and the operating margin improved in 3Q22.
However, management said the performance may not continue and profit is not their target.
We believe the stock has a downside of 23% for year end 2023. 


Pinduoduo (PDD): High-Performing Financials, But Low-Profile Management, 23% Downside

China

PDD Holdings Inc. is a multinational commerce group that owns and operates a portfolio of businesses. The Company focuses on digital economy so that local communities and small businesses can benefit from the increased productivity and new opportunities. PDD Holdings has built a network of sourcing, logistics, and fulfillment capabilities for its underlying businesses.

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PDD Holdings (PDD US)

China E-Commerce 2023: Fortunes Unlikely To Change With China Moving To a State-Dominated Economy

Even though there appears to be a revival in Chinese e-commerce stocks lately, driven by rigorous cost-cutting and hopes of ending Zero COVID, we...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Sunshine Insurance Group IPO Trading - No Demand - Still Needs to Correct by 50%

Sunshine Insurance Group (SIG), a life, health and P&C insurance company, raised around US$850m in its HK IPO. In this note, we talk about the...

Sumeet Singh

VinFast Auto Pre-IPO - The Positives - Aiming High...

VinFast Auto (1905332D VN) is looking to raise up to US$1bn in its upcoming US IPO. In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

Country Garden Placement - Hot on the Heels of the Last Deal, Momentum Has Shifted

Country Garden Holdings Co (2007 HK) aims to raise around US$500m via a primary placement. In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM...

Sumeet Singh

Pinduoduo (PDD): High-Performing Financials, But Low-Profile Management, 23% Downside

The revenue growth accelerated and the operating margin improve in 3Q22. However, management said the performance may not continue. We believe the...

Ming Lu

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