Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>ChrysCap is looking to raise around US$295m via selling a 2.8% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mankind-pharma-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36389:1" rel="noopener">Mankind Pharma</a>.</li>
<li>MP is a pharmaceutical company engaged in developing, manufacturing and marketing a range of pharmaceutical formulations across various acute and chronic therapeutic areas, as well as several consumer healthcare products.</li>
<li>We have looked at the IPO, lock-up release and prior placement in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about the current deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>


ChrysCap is looking to raise around US$295m via selling a 2.8% stake in Mankind Pharma.
MP is a pharmaceutical company engaged in developing, manufacturing and marketing a range of pharmaceutical formulations across various acute and chronic therapeutic areas, as well as several consumer healthcare products.
We have looked at the IPO, lock-up release and prior placement in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about the current deal dynamics.


Mankind Pharma Placement - Well Flagged, past Deals Have Done Well but Its Expensive

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The India Pharma Market (IPM) has maintained a steady ~10% CAGR from FY12 to FY23, despite various disruptions, driven mainly by volume expansion ranging between 5-10% during FY12-18, which subsequently tapered to 2-3% from FY19-23, primarily due to generic competition (FY22 growth was on a low base due to the COVID-19 pandemic)</li><li>However, this deceleration in volume growth has been somewhat offset by 5-6% price growth annually, since FY19</li><li>We expect IPM growth to remain steady at 8-10% over the next few years, with companies boasting strong franchises and brands likely to see faster growth</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

The India Pharma Market (IPM) has maintained a steady ~10% CAGR from FY12 to FY23, despite various disruptions, driven mainly by volume expansion ranging between 5-10% during FY12-18, which subsequently tapered to 2-3% from FY19-23, primarily due to generic competition (FY22 growth was on a low base due to the COVID-19 pandemic)However, this deceleration in volume growth has been somewhat offset by 5-6% price growth annually, since FY19We expect IPM growth to remain steady at 8-10% over the next few years, with companies boasting strong franchises and brands likely to see faster growthContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Pharmaceuticals: Domestic formulations sector: secular growth stories

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

Zydus Lifesciences Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zydus-lifesciences-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12914:1" rel="noopener">Zydus Lifesciences Ltd (ZYDUSLIF IN)</a> reported 16% YoY and 7% QoQ growth in India formulation business revenue in Q3FY24 on the back of healthy volume growth and new product launches.</li>
<li>Profitability improvement continued, with Q3FY24 improving 200 basis points YoY to 24.5%. Net profit surged 27% YoY.</li>
<li>The Board approved INR6 billion buyback, representing 0.59% of total outstanding equity shares at a price of INR1005 per share (25% premium to last closing price) via tender offer route.</li>
</ul>



Zydus Lifesciences Ltd (ZYDUSLIF IN) reported 16% YoY and 7% QoQ growth in India formulation business revenue in Q3FY24 on the back of healthy volume growth and new product launches.
Profitability improvement continued, with Q3FY24 improving 200 basis points YoY to 24.5%. Net profit surged 27% YoY.
The Board approved INR6 billion buyback, representing 0.59% of total outstanding equity shares at a price of INR1005 per share (25% premium to last closing price) via tender offer route.


Zydus Lifesciences (ZYDUSLIF IN): Strong India Momentum; Q3 Net Profit Jumps 27%; Buyback Approved

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 18 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 28 December. We had forecast all the index changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 57.7% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 21.75bn (US$261m). 8 stocks have over 1x ADV to trade; 21 stocks have atleast 0.5x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The adds have continued to outperform the deletes and the index and there could be further outperformance heading into year-end and buying from passive trackers.</li>
</ul>


There are 18 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 28 December. We had forecast all the index changes.
Estimated one-way turnover is 57.7% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 21.75bn (US$261m). 8 stocks have over 1x ADV to trade; 21 stocks have atleast 0.5x ADV to trade.
The adds have continued to outperform the deletes and the index and there could be further outperformance heading into year-end and buying from passive trackers.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 18 Changes a Side, 58% Turnover, Momentum Intact

<ul>
<li>Indian pharmaceutical companies started FY24 on a strong note. Due to better pricing environment, drug shortages, and new launches, sector heavyweights reported double-digit revenue growth from U.S. business.</li>
<li>Price erosion has come down to high single-digit from their peak of mid-teens. Despite the rise in number of ANDA approvals from the US FDA, Indian companies continued their dominance.</li>
<li>Indian pharmaceutical companies have accelerated the filing pace. With shorter timeline of approval, the companies are witnessing a spike in number of approvals. Regulatory risk remains the main downside risk.</li>
</ul>


Indian pharmaceutical companies started FY24 on a strong note. Due to better pricing environment, drug shortages, and new launches, sector heavyweights reported double-digit revenue growth from U.S. business.
Price erosion has come down to high single-digit from their peak of mid-teens. Despite the rise in number of ANDA approvals from the US FDA, Indian companies continued their dominance.
Indian pharmaceutical companies have accelerated the filing pace. With shorter timeline of approval, the companies are witnessing a spike in number of approvals. Regulatory risk remains the main downside risk.


Indian Generic Pharmaceutical Companies: US Momentum to Continue Amid Favorable Sector Tailwinds

India

Alkem Laboratories Limited operates as a pharmaceutical company. The Company researches, develops, manufactures, and markets generic and branded pharmaceuticals. Alkem also provides nutraceuticals, functional foods, health foods, and herbal products.

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Alkem Laboratories Ltd (ALKEM IN)

Mankind Pharma Placement - Well Flagged, past Deals Have Done Well but Its Expensive

ChrysCap is looking to raise around US$295m via selling a 2.8% stake in Mankind Pharma. In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

Pharmaceuticals: Domestic formulations sector: secular growth stories

We expect IPM growth to remain steady at 8-10% over the next few years, with companies boasting strong franchises and brands likely to see faster...

HDFC Securities

Zydus Lifesciences (ZYDUSLIF IN): Strong India Momentum; Q3 Net Profit Jumps 27%; Buyback Approved

Zydus Lifesciences reported strong revenue growth and improved profitability in Q3FY24, leading to a 27% increase in net profit. The company also...

Tina Banerjee

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 18 Changes a Side, 58% Turnover, Momentum Intact

The adds and deletes have performed in line since announcement of the changes a little over a week ago. With 10 trading days to implementation,...

Brian Freitas

Indian Generic Pharmaceutical Companies: US Momentum to Continue Amid Favorable Sector Tailwinds

Indian pharma companies saw strong U.S. revenue growth in H1FY24 due to better pricing, drug shortages, and new launches. With robust pipeline and...

Tina Banerjee

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Mankind Pharma Placement - Well Flagged, past Deals Have Done Well but Its Expensive

ChrysCap is looking to raise around US$295m via selling a 2.8% stake in Mankind Pharma. In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

Pharmaceuticals: Domestic formulations sector: secular growth stories

We expect IPM growth to remain steady at 8-10% over the next few years, with companies boasting strong franchises and brands likely to see faster...

HDFC Securities

Zydus Lifesciences (ZYDUSLIF IN): Strong India Momentum; Q3 Net Profit Jumps 27%; Buyback Approved

​Zydus Lifesciences reported strong revenue growth and improved profitability in Q3FY24, leading to a 27% increase in net profit. The company also...

Tina Banerjee

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 18 Changes a Side, 58% Turnover, Momentum Intact

The adds and deletes have performed in line since announcement of the changes a little over a week ago. With 10 trading days to implementation,...

Brian Freitas

Indian Generic Pharmaceutical Companies: US Momentum to Continue Amid Favorable Sector Tailwinds

​Indian pharma companies saw strong U.S. revenue growth in H1FY24 due to better pricing, drug shortages, and new launches. With robust pipeline and...

Tina Banerjee

Zydus Lifesciences reported strong revenue growth and improved profitability in Q3FY24, leading to a 27% increase in net profit. The company also...

Indian pharma companies saw strong U.S. revenue growth in H1FY24 due to better pricing, drug shortages, and new launches. With robust pipeline and...