Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<p>Post market close on 23 August, the Index Maintenance Sub-Committee (IMSC) of NSE Indices announced the results of the September index review for the NIFTY family of indices. The rebalance will be effective after the close of trading on 29 September and passive funds will need to trade at the close (VWAP over the last 30 minutes of trading) on the day.</p><p>There are no changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a>, in line with what we expected.</p><p>There are 5 changes to the NIFTY Next 50 Index. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-of-baroda" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:545:1" rel="noopener">Bank Of Baroda (BOB IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cholamandalam-investment-and-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17583:1" rel="noopener">Cholamandalam Investment and Finance (CIFC IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jindal-steel-power-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6614:1" rel="noopener">Jindal Steel &amp; Power (JSP IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pi-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6040:1" rel="noopener">Pi Industries (PI IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/steel-authority-of-india" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14323:1" rel="noopener">Steel Authority of India (SAIL IN)</a> will be included in the index, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/abbott-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9687:1" rel="noopener">Abbott India (BOOT IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alkem-laboratories-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26928:1" rel="noopener">Alkem Laboratories Ltd (ALKEM IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mrf-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2930:1" rel="noopener">Mrf Ltd (MRF IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/petronet-lng-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15235:1" rel="noopener">Petronet LNG (PLNG IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-breweries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18080:1" rel="noopener">United Breweries (UBBL IN)</a> will be deleted from the index.</p><p>While the headline impact in terms of ADV looks low, a look at the impact compared to the delivery volumes paints a different picture.</p><p>There are a whole bunch of changes to constituents of other indices too. However, the assets tracking these indices are small and there will be negligible impact on the stocks.</p><p>There is an expansion of the index universe for the NIFTY indices with REITs and Infrastructure Investment Trusts (InvITs) becoming eligible for inclusion in the indices.</p>

Post market close on 23 August, the Index Maintenance Sub-Committee (IMSC) of NSE Indices announced the results of the September index review for the NIFTY family of indices. The rebalance will be effective after the close of trading on 29 September and passive funds will need to trade at the close (VWAP over the last 30 minutes of trading) on the day.There are no changes to the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX), in line with what we expected.There are 5 changes to the NIFTY Next 50 Index. Bank Of Baroda (BOB IN), Cholamandalam Investment and Finance (CIFC IN), Jindal Steel &amp; Power (JSP IN), Pi Industries (PI IN) and Steel Authority of India (SAIL IN) will be included in the index, while Abbott India (BOOT IN), Alkem Laboratories Ltd (ALKEM IN), Mrf Ltd (MRF IN), Petronet LNG (PLNG IN) and United Breweries (UBBL IN) will be deleted from the index.While the headline impact in terms of ADV looks low, a look at the impact compared to the delivery volumes paints a different picture.There are a whole bunch of changes to constituents of other indices too. However, the assets tracking these indices are small and there will be negligible impact on the stocks.There is an expansion of the index universe for the NIFTY indices with REITs and Infrastructure Investment Trusts (InvITs) becoming eligible for inclusion in the indices.

NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance: More Beneath The Surface

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Equity Bottom-Up

Alkem Laboratories Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<p>HG Infra: HG Infra (HG) reported revenue/EBITDA/APAT at INR 9.1/1.5/0.9bn, ahead of our estimates by 28/30/50%. The order book (OB) stands at INR 61bn (~2.4x FY21 revenue). Over the past few quarters, HG has delivered a strong execution outperformance, strengthened its balance sheet, started winning new orders, and showed strong recovery in NWC days. We believe HG deserves a multiple upgrade, backed by robust growth and solid financial discipline. We increase our P/E target multiple from 10x to 12x, upgrade our FY22/23 EPS by 5.8/6.3%, and roll forward our valuation to Jun-23E.</p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

HG Infra: HG Infra (HG) reported revenue/EBITDA/APAT at INR 9.1/1.5/0.9bn, ahead of our estimates by 28/30/50%. The order book (OB) stands at INR 61bn (~2.4x FY21 revenue). Over the past few quarters, HG has delivered a strong execution outperformance, strengthened its balance sheet, started winning new orders, and showed strong recovery in NWC days. We believe HG deserves a multiple upgrade, backed by robust growth and solid financial discipline. We increase our P/E target multiple from 10x to 12x, upgrade our FY22/23 EPS by 5.8/6.3%, and roll forward our valuation to Jun-23E.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Alkem Labs, Prince Pipes, BSE, HG Infra, Somany Ceramics, ITD Cementation

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<p>The Hang Seng, EURO STOXX 50, MSCI ACWI ex-US, and MSCI EAFE display bearish short-term inflections. Additionally, 10-year yields in the US and Germany are breaking down below key support. These deteriorating market dynamics raise concerns of a deeper pullback, however other indicators remain largely positive. As a result, we continue to see a mixed, but overall constructive market. Actionable themes highlighted in today's report include Health Care and Real Estate.</p>

The Hang Seng, EURO STOXX 50, MSCI ACWI ex-US, and MSCI EAFE display bearish short-term inflections. Additionally, 10-year yields in the US and Germany are breaking down below key support. These deteriorating market dynamics raise concerns of a deeper pullback, however other indicators remain largely positive. As a result, we continue to see a mixed, but overall constructive market. Actionable themes highlighted in today's report include Health Care and Real Estate.

Global Equity Strategy: Mixed Market Environment Continues As Yields Break Down

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal

<p>It had a positive impact of higher offtake of COVID-19 associated drugs in the recent past. The reduction in COVID-19 cases, coinciding with seasonal change, bodes well for a pick-up in the performance of Acute therapies. Bunched-up ANDA launches over the next 12-15 months are expected to improve sales growth as well as profitability of the US business. We have tweaked our FY22E/FY23E EPS estimate by 2%/3% and continue to value ALKEM at 23x 12-months forward earnings to arrive at our TP of INR3,730.</p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

It had a positive impact of higher offtake of COVID-19 associated drugs in the recent past. The reduction in COVID-19 cases, coinciding with seasonal change, bodes well for a pick-up in the performance of Acute therapies. Bunched-up ANDA launches over the next 12-15 months are expected to improve sales growth as well as profitability of the US business. We have tweaked our FY22E/FY23E EPS estimate by 2%/3% and continue to value ALKEM at 23x 12-months forward earnings to arrive at our TP of INR3,730.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

On growth path despite high base of past year

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BOB Capital Markets Ltd

BOB Capital Markets Ltd.

<p>Alkem Labs reported a below-expected Q4FY21 with +7%/4% YoY sales/EBITDA growth.</p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Alkem Labs reported a below-expected Q4FY21 with +7%/4% YoY sales/EBITDA growth.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Alkem Labs (BUY):  Poor US sales and inventory provision affect Q4

India

Alkem Laboratories Limited operates as a pharmaceutical company. The Company researches, develops, manufactures, and markets generic and branded pharmaceuticals. Alkem also provides nutraceuticals, functional foods, health foods, and herbal products.

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Alkem Laboratories Ltd (ALKEM IN)

NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance: More Beneath The Surface

There are 5 changes to the NIFTY Next 50 Index that will be implemented at the close on 29 September. The impact is quite large compared to the...

Brian Freitas

HSIE Results Daily: Alkem Labs, Prince Pipes, BSE, HG Infra, Somany Ceramics, ITD Cementation

HG Infra: HG Infra (HG) reported revenue/EBITDA/APAT at INR 9.1/1.5/0.9bn, ahead of our estimates by 28/30/50%. The order book (OB) stands at INR...

HDFC Securities

Global Equity Strategy: Mixed Market Environment Continues As Yields Break Down

The Hang Seng, EURO STOXX 50, MSCI ACWI ex-US, and MSCI EAFE display bearish short-term inflections and 10-year yields in the US and Germany are...

Vermilion Research

On growth path despite high base of past year

It had a positive impact of higher offtake of COVID-19 associated drugs in the recent past. The reduction in COVID-19 cases, coinciding with...

Motilal Oswal

Alkem Labs (BUY): Poor US sales and inventory provision affect Q4

Alkem Labs reported a below-expected Q4FY21 with +7%/4% YoY sales/EBITDA growth.

BOB Capital Markets Ltd.

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