Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Our flash checks across a couple of dealers indicate pressure on margins across the industry. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/voltas-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19924:1" rel="noopener">Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN)</a> is trying hard to gain market share.</li>
<li>Other names discussed include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pnb-housing-finance-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23613:1" rel="noopener">PNB Housing Finance Ltd (PNBHOUSI IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedant-fashions-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34260:1" rel="noopener">Vedant Fashions (MANYAVAR IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bandhan-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26705:1" rel="noopener">Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN)</a>. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/varun-beverages-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23653:1" rel="noopener">Varun Beverages (VBL IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/schaeffler-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6434:1" rel="noopener">Schaeffler India (SCHFL IN)</a> show up as interesting ARs to read. </li>
</ul>


Our flash checks across a couple of dealers indicate pressure on margins across the industry. Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN) is trying hard to gain market share.
Other names discussed include PNB Housing Finance Ltd (PNBHOUSI IN), Vedant Fashions (MANYAVAR IN) and Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN). 

Varun Beverages (VBL IN) and Schaeffler India (SCHFL IN) show up as interesting ARs to read. 


[#22] Namaste India 🙏 | Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN) | Margin Pressure to Continue

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Pick of the Week (PoW): POW calls delivered an astounding monthly strike rate of 92% in Feb’24.</li><li>Calls that successfully achieved their target were Coal India (10%) and ACC (10%) Axis Top Picks: We are proud to share that our Axis Top Picks basket delivered impressive returns of 46% in the last one year, beating the benchmark Nifty 50 index (27% return over the same period) by a wide margin.</li><li>In Feb’24, the basket inched up further by 1.8%. A few picks that reported excellent returns included SBI (15.5%), Varun Beverage (9.7%), Coal India (7.4%), TVS Motor (7.2%), and Lupin (7.1%). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Pick of the Week (PoW): POW calls delivered an astounding monthly strike rate of 92% in Feb’24.Calls that successfully achieved their target were Coal India (10%) and ACC (10%) Axis Top Picks: We are proud to share that our Axis Top Picks basket delivered impressive returns of 46% in the last one year, beating the benchmark Nifty 50 index (27% return over the same period) by a wide margin.In Feb’24, the basket inched up further by 1.8%. A few picks that reported excellent returns included SBI (15.5%), Varun Beverage (9.7%), Coal India (7.4%), TVS Motor (7.2%), and Lupin (7.1%). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Axis Research Scorecard Report for Feb 2024

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Q3FY24 earnings season saw an overall in-line performance, with wide divergences across sectors and companies</li><li>Aggregate revenue/PAT grew by 5%/20% YoY and 4%/-4% QoQ across the HSIE coverage (~224 stocks), with their four-year CAGRs at 13%/18%</li><li>There was similar participation by large and midcap categories towards incremental earnings growth as large-cap grew by 20% YoY and midcap grew by 21% YoY</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Q3FY24 earnings season saw an overall in-line performance, with wide divergences across sectors and companiesAggregate revenue/PAT grew by 5%/20% YoY and 4%/-4% QoQ across the HSIE coverage (~224 stocks), with their four-year CAGRs at 13%/18%There was similar participation by large and midcap categories towards incremental earnings growth as large-cap grew by 20% YoY and midcap grew by 21% YoYContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India Equity Strategy: Input Cost Benefits Drive Earnings Growth, Revenue Contribution Muted

<ul><li>Over the last year, the key benchmark indices Nifty 50, Nifty Midcap 100 and Nifty Small-Cap 100 have delivered returns of 22%, 56% and 66% respectively</li><li>Given such returns, it is prudent to pause and analyse the current valuation levels of these indices and their constituents which will be a key determinant of their future returns</li><li>We have analysed all indices and their constituents’ historical break-ups, sectoral composition shifts, and valuation swings (using P/B as a common metric).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Over the last year, the key benchmark indices Nifty 50, Nifty Midcap 100 and Nifty Small-Cap 100 have delivered returns of 22%, 56% and 66% respectivelyGiven such returns, it is prudent to pause and analyse the current valuation levels of these indices and their constituents which will be a key determinant of their future returnsWe have analysed all indices and their constituents’ historical break-ups, sectoral composition shifts, and valuation swings (using P/B as a common metric).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Valuation of Indices: All Indices and Most Sectors in the Overheated Zone

<ul><li>Hero Motocorp: Hero MotoCorp’s Q3 margin, at 14%, was down 10bps QoQ despite the 3% QoQ volume growth and improved mix, due to higher promotional spending</li><li>The recovery in the entry segment continues to be impacted by erratic monsoons</li><li>More importantly, despite the launch of new variants in the 125cc motorcycle segment, it has seen a decline in market share, dropping by 330bps to 20.2% in H1</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Hero Motocorp: Hero MotoCorp’s Q3 margin, at 14%, was down 10bps QoQ despite the 3% QoQ volume growth and improved mix, due to higher promotional spendingThe recovery in the entry segment continues to be impacted by erratic monsoonsMore importantly, despite the launch of new variants in the 125cc motorcycle segment, it has seen a decline in market share, dropping by 330bps to 20.2% in H1Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Hero Motocorp, Bandhan Bank, Aarti Industries

India

Bandhan Bank Limited operates as a commercial bank. The Bank provides accounts checking, savings deposits, money market, mortgage, and term loans services, as well as card facilities and Internet banking services. Bandhan Bank serves customers in India.

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Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN)

[#22] Namaste India 🙏 | Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN) | Margin Pressure to Continue

Industry margins under pressure, Voltas Ltd striving for market share. Other companies discussed include PNB Housing Finance Ltd, Vedant Fashions,...

Pranav Bhavsar

Axis Research Scorecard Report for Feb 2024

In Feb’24, the basket inched up further by 1.8%. A few picks that reported excellent returns included SBI (15.5%), Varun Beverage (9.7%), Coal...

Axis Direct

India Equity Strategy: Input Cost Benefits Drive Earnings Growth, Revenue Contribution Muted

Q3FY24 earnings season saw an overall in-line performance, with wide divergences across sectors and companies. Aggregate revenue/PAT grew by 5%/20%...

HDFC Securities

Valuation of Indices: All Indices and Most Sectors in the Overheated Zone

Over the last year, the key benchmark indices Nifty 50, Nifty Midcap 100 and Nifty Small-Cap 100 have delivered returns of 22%, 56% and 66%...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Hero Motocorp, Bandhan Bank, Aarti Industries

Hero Motocorp: Hero MotoCorp’s Q3 margin, at 14%, was down 10bps QoQ despite the 3% QoQ volume growth and improved mix, due to higher promotional...

HDFC Securities

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[#22] Namaste India 🙏 | Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN) | Margin Pressure to Continue

​Industry margins under pressure, Voltas Ltd striving for market share. Other companies discussed include PNB Housing Finance Ltd, Vedant Fashions,...

Pranav Bhavsar

Axis Research Scorecard Report for Feb 2024

In Feb’24, the basket inched up further by 1.8%. A few picks that reported excellent returns included SBI (15.5%), Varun Beverage (9.7%), Coal...

Axis Direct

India Equity Strategy: Input Cost Benefits Drive Earnings Growth, Revenue Contribution Muted

Q3FY24 earnings season saw an overall in-line performance, with wide divergences across sectors and companies. Aggregate revenue/PAT grew by 5%/20%...

HDFC Securities

Valuation of Indices: All Indices and Most Sectors in the Overheated Zone

Over the last year, the key benchmark indices Nifty 50, Nifty Midcap 100 and Nifty Small-Cap 100 have delivered returns of 22%, 56% and 66%...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Hero Motocorp, Bandhan Bank, Aarti Industries

Hero Motocorp: Hero MotoCorp’s Q3 margin, at 14%, was down 10bps QoQ despite the 3% QoQ volume growth and improved mix, due to higher promotional...

HDFC Securities

Industry margins under pressure, Voltas Ltd striving for market share. Other companies discussed include PNB Housing Finance Ltd, Vedant Fashions,...