India BFSI - Long-Short - Equity Research Analyst

Raj S, CA, CFA

Artoval Advisors

Art’o’val stands for Art of Valuation. Artoval Advisors LLP is a professionally run advisory firm catering to various financial advisory services including Valuation, Investment Research, Training, Accounting, CFO Services and other ancillary services.

We are passionate about what we do and strongly believe in working with our clients as their extended teams. With Artoval Advisors as their trusted partner, our clients find it easy to achieve efficiency in service delivery without compromising on quality.

True Art of Valuation

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bandhan-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26705:1" rel="noopener">Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN)</a> has been an underperformer among Indian banks since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic due to asset quality issues in its core Group Microfinance portfolio.</li>
<li>Bandhan Bank’s leading position in the microfinance sector, strong operating margins, strategic de-risking, self-sustaining capital base, and cheap relative valuations make it a value bet with strong positive re-rating potential.
</li>
<li>
We value Bandhan Bank at 2.1x FY25e P/B in the base case, implying a 44% upside. On the other hand, we also discuss the risks to the thesis in detail.</li>
</ul>



Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN) has been an underperformer among Indian banks since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic due to asset quality issues in its core Group Microfinance portfolio.
Bandhan Bank’s leading position in the microfinance sector, strong operating margins, strategic de-risking, self-sustaining capital base, and cheap relative valuations make it a value bet with strong positive re-rating potential.


We value Bandhan Bank at 2.1x FY25e P/B in the base case, implying a 44% upside. On the other hand, we also discuss the risks to the thesis in detail.


Bandhan Bank: Initiating Coverage – Heads Up, Strong Re-Rating Ahead.

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In line with our forecast, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canara-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:543:1" rel="noopener">Canara Bank (CBK IN)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bandhan-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26705:1" rel="noopener">Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX)</a> at the close on 27 September.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bandhan-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26705:1" rel="noopener">Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN)</a> will be deleted from a global index at the close on 31 August, so real float will increase a lot over the next month.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to buy over 2 days of ADV in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canara-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:543:1" rel="noopener">Canara Bank (CBK IN)</a> and sell 1 day of ADV in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bandhan-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26705:1" rel="noopener">Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN)</a>. </li>
</ul>


In line with our forecast, Canara Bank (CBK IN) will replace Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN) in the NSE Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX) at the close on 27 September.

Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN) will be deleted from a global index at the close on 31 August, so real float will increase a lot over the next month.
Passive trackers will need to buy over 2 days of ADV in Canara Bank (CBK IN) and sell 1 day of ADV in Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN). 


NIFTY Bank Index Rebalance: Canara Bank IN; Bandhan Bank OUT

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canara-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:543:1" rel="noopener">Canara Bank (CBK IN)</a> should replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bandhan-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26705:1" rel="noopener">Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX)</a> at the September rebalance.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to buy nearly 2 days of ADV in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canara-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:543:1" rel="noopener">Canara Bank (CBK IN)</a> while selling over 1 day of ADV in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bandhan-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26705:1" rel="noopener">Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN)</a>. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canara-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:543:1" rel="noopener">Canara Bank (CBK IN)</a> is one of the best performing banking stocks while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bandhan-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26705:1" rel="noopener">Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN)</a> has been the worst performer over the last two years.</li>
</ul>



Canara Bank (CBK IN) should replace Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN) in the NSE Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX) at the September rebalance.
Passive trackers will need to buy nearly 2 days of ADV in Canara Bank (CBK IN) while selling over 1 day of ADV in Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN). 

Canara Bank (CBK IN) is one of the best performing banking stocks while Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN) has been the worst performer over the last two years.


NIFTY Bank Index Rebalance Preview: Canara Bank Still Cheap; Double Deletion for Bandhan?

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Mr Chandra Shekhar Ghosh has resigned from the post of MD &amp; CEO of the bank with the intent to retire and assume a more strategic role at Bandhan HoldCo. level.</li><li>This development comes shortly after the board had recently approved the extension of Mr Ghosh’s term as MD CEO for another 3 years in Nov’23.</li><li>The bank has set up an internal search committee to identify a new MD CEO.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Mr Chandra Shekhar Ghosh has resigned from the post of MD &amp; CEO of the bank with the intent to retire and assume a more strategic role at Bandhan HoldCo. level.This development comes shortly after the board had recently approved the extension of Mr Ghosh’s term as MD CEO for another 3 years in Nov’23.The bank has set up an internal search committee to identify a new MD CEO.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bandhan Bank Ltd - MD CEO’s Resignation Raises Concerns on Future Prospects!

<ul><li>Disbursements grew by 15/4% YoY/QoQ, driven by non-EEB disbursements (+14/7% YoY/QoQ), while EEB (MFI) disbursements grew by 15/3% YoY/QoQ (growth mainly in Individual portfolio +2/6% YoY/QoQ).</li><li>Advances grew by 19/8% YoY/QoQ. MFI, Housing, Commercial, and Retail grew by 10/7% YoY/QoQ, 6/6% YoY/QoQ, 60/9% YoY/QoQ, and 70/15% YoY/QoQ.</li><li>Share of EEB book was steady at 50% QoQ.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Disbursements grew by 15/4% YoY/QoQ, driven by non-EEB disbursements (+14/7% YoY/QoQ), while EEB (MFI) disbursements grew by 15/3% YoY/QoQ (growth mainly in Individual portfolio +2/6% YoY/QoQ).Advances grew by 19/8% YoY/QoQ. MFI, Housing, Commercial, and Retail grew by 10/7% YoY/QoQ, 6/6% YoY/QoQ, 60/9% YoY/QoQ, and 70/15% YoY/QoQ.Share of EEB book was steady at 50% QoQ.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bandhan Bank Ltd. - Soft Quarter; Asset Quality Improving Slowly!

India

Bandhan Bank Limited operates as a commercial bank. The Bank provides accounts checking, savings deposits, money market, mortgage, and term loans services, as well as card facilities and Internet banking services. Bandhan Bank serves customers in India.

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Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN)

Bandhan Bank: Initiating Coverage – Heads Up, Strong Re-Rating Ahead.

Bandhan Bank’s "turnaround story" with leading market position, strong operating margins, strategic de-risking, strong capital base, and cheap...

Raj S, CA, CFA

NIFTY Bank Index Rebalance: Canara Bank IN; Bandhan Bank OUT

Canara Bank will replace Bandhan Bank in the Nifty Bank Index in Sep. Bandhan is also being deleted from a global index on 31 August. Passives need...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY Bank Index Rebalance Preview: Canara Bank Still Cheap; Double Deletion for Bandhan?

Canara Bank should replace Bandhan Bank in the Nifty Bank Index in Sept. Canara Bank still trades cheaper than its peers. Bandhan's recent price...

Brian Freitas

Bandhan Bank Ltd - MD CEO’s Resignation Raises Concerns on Future Prospects!

Mr Chandra Shekhar Ghosh has resigned from the post of MD & CEO of the bank with the intent to retire and assume a more strategic role at Bandhan...

Axis Direct

Bandhan Bank Ltd. - Soft Quarter; Asset Quality Improving Slowly!

Disbursements grew by 15/4% YoY/QoQ, driven by non-EEB disbursements (+14/7% YoY/QoQ), while EEB (MFI) disbursements grew by 15/3% YoY/QoQ

Axis Direct

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