Analyst - Media&Entertainment Sector, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Stan Zhao

Analyst - Media&Entertainment Sector

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The popularity of &lt;DnF Mobile&gt; and &lt;Arena Breakout&gt; continues to rise. As a result, we are increasing the gross billings estimation for these games by 10% and 15% respectively.</li>
<li>
&lt;Need For Speed Mobile&gt; had an impressive first day, topping the iOS download charts and ranking  15th on the grossing chart. We are raising the expected gross billings by 25%.</li>
<li>Due to the game's lifecycle, &lt;Eggy Party&gt; has experienced a slight decline in revenue. Therefore, we are adjusting the forecast down by 10%. Conversely, &lt;Identity V&gt; continues to perform strongly.</li>
</ul>


The popularity of &lt;DnF Mobile&gt; and &lt;Arena Breakout&gt; continues to rise. As a result, we are increasing the gross billings estimation for these games by 10% and 15% respectively.

&lt;Need For Speed Mobile&gt; had an impressive first day, topping the iOS download charts and ranking  15th on the grossing chart. We are raising the expected gross billings by 25%.
Due to the game's lifecycle, &lt;Eggy Party&gt; has experienced a slight decline in revenue. Therefore, we are adjusting the forecast down by 10%. Conversely, &lt;Identity V&gt; continues to perform strongly.


Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Average active fund returns of 3.91% fail to beat the iShares MSCI EM ETF return of 4.39%, with 54% of funds underperforming.</li>
<li>Consensus overweights in Brazil, Mexico and Indonesia proved costly, though Materials underweights, Saudi underweights and strong stock selection in South Korea stemmed relative losses.</li>
<li>Tencent and TSMC underweights costly: Both stocks are among the top underweights among active GEM investors. Strong performance this quarter contributed to underperformance.</li>
</ul>


Average active fund returns of 3.91% fail to beat the iShares MSCI EM ETF return of 4.39%, with 54% of funds underperforming.
Consensus overweights in Brazil, Mexico and Indonesia proved costly, though Materials underweights, Saudi underweights and strong stock selection in South Korea stemmed relative losses.
Tencent and TSMC underweights costly: Both stocks are among the top underweights among active GEM investors. Strong performance this quarter contributed to underperformance.


Active GEM Fund Q2 Performance Update.  Mexico & Indonesia Overweights Cost Investors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>SOUTHBOUND was again a net buyer, for HK$7.3bn this week, on smallish two-way volumes. Major buying was mostly SOEs.</li>
<li>The more I watch, the more I think the last few months have had serious national team buying of banks and energy, perhaps ahead of shareholder return policy changes.</li>
<li>But valuations are acceptable. Flows are good. Policy changes are afoot. SOUTHBOUND may continue to see inflows - national team and otherwise.</li>
</ul>


SOUTHBOUND was again a net buyer, for HK$7.3bn this week, on smallish two-way volumes. Major buying was mostly SOEs.
The more I watch, the more I think the last few months have had serious national team buying of banks and energy, perhaps ahead of shareholder return policy changes.
But valuations are acceptable. Flows are good. Policy changes are afoot. SOUTHBOUND may continue to see inflows - national team and otherwise.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 12 Jul 2024); Slower Flows Gross and Net (Buy), Still SOEs

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jul 5th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Petrochina (857 HK), Bosideng (3998 HK), Anta Sports (2020 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jul 5th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Petrochina (857 HK), Bosideng (3998 HK), Anta Sports (2020 HK).


HK Short Interest Weekly: Petrochina, Bosideng, Anta Sports

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Equity Bottom-Up

Chenqi Technology Limited / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Chenqi Technology Ltd., operator of the ride-sharing platform OnTime, closed its first trading day in Hong Kong 3.14% below the offering price, after raising $124 million in its initial public offering.</li><li>Chenqi’s shares closed at HK$33.9 ($4.3) each, recovering from a 14% drop during its debut on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. The company’s market cap stood at HK$6.92 billion.</li><li>Chenqi, also known as Ruqi Mobility, offered more than 30 million shares at HK$35 each in its IPO, raising a net HK$969 million.</li></ul>

Chenqi Technology Ltd., operator of the ride-sharing platform OnTime, closed its first trading day in Hong Kong 3.14% below the offering price, after raising $124 million in its initial public offering.Chenqi’s shares closed at HK$33.9 ($4.3) each, recovering from a 14% drop during its debut on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. The company’s market cap stood at HK$6.92 billion.Chenqi, also known as Ruqi Mobility, offered more than 30 million shares at HK$35 each in its IPO, raising a net HK$969 million.

Ride-Hailing Operator Chenqi Drops on Hong Kong Debut 

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

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Tencent (700 HK)

Online Game Monitor: July 2-15, 2024

Gross billing estimates for popular mobile games like Tencent's <dnf mobile>, and Bilibili's <three kingdom> are being adjusted due to rising...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Active GEM Fund Q2 Performance Update. Mexico & Indonesia Overweights Cost Investors

Average active fund returns of 3.91% fail to beat the iShares MSCI EM ETF return of 4.39%, with 54% of funds underperforming.

Steven Holden

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 12 Jul 2024); Slower Flows Gross and Net (Buy), Still SOEs

SOUTHBOUND net flows this past week were lower than has been the case in past weeks, but were positive every day, and have been positive 23 weeks...

Travis Lundy

HK Short Interest Weekly: Petrochina, Bosideng, Anta Sports

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jul 5th and highlight short interest changes in Petrochina, Bosideng, Anta...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Ride-Hailing Operator Chenqi Drops on Hong Kong Debut

Chenqi Technology Ltd. , operator of the ride-sharing platform OnTime, closed its first trading day in Hong Kong 3.14% below the offering price,...

Caixin Global

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Online Game Monitor: July 2-15, 2024

​Gross billing estimates for popular mobile games like Tencent's <dnf mobile>, and Bilibili's <three kingdom> are being adjusted due to rising...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Active GEM Fund Q2 Performance Update. Mexico & Indonesia Overweights Cost Investors

Average active fund returns of 3.91% fail to beat the iShares MSCI EM ETF return of 4.39%, with 54% of funds underperforming.

Steven Holden

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 12 Jul 2024); Slower Flows Gross and Net (Buy), Still SOEs

SOUTHBOUND net flows this past week were lower than has been the case in past weeks, but were positive every day, and have been positive 23 weeks...

Travis Lundy

HK Short Interest Weekly: Petrochina, Bosideng, Anta Sports

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jul 5th and highlight short interest changes in Petrochina, Bosideng, Anta...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Ride-Hailing Operator Chenqi Drops on Hong Kong Debut

Chenqi Technology Ltd. , operator of the ride-sharing platform OnTime, closed its first trading day in Hong Kong 3.14% below the offering price,...

Caixin Global

Gross billing estimates for popular mobile games like Tencent's <dnf mobile>, and Bilibili's <three kingdom> are being adjusted due to rising...