Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The average Indian allocation among active GEM funds broke through the 15% barrier at the start of 2024, despite an increasing underweight versus the benchmark index.</li>
<li>Valuation-Driven Underweight: The average weight versus the iShares MSCI EM ETF hit record underweights of -2.44%, with only 27.6% of funds positioned overweight. EM Value funds hit record -8.7% underweight.</li>
<li>HDFC Bank is the most widely held stock, owned by 60.5% of funds, while a majority of Indian names, such as Reliance Industries, are underweighted by active GEM funds.</li>
</ul>


The average Indian allocation among active GEM funds broke through the 15% barrier at the start of 2024, despite an increasing underweight versus the benchmark index.
Valuation-Driven Underweight: The average weight versus the iShares MSCI EM ETF hit record underweights of -2.44%, with only 27.6% of funds positioned overweight. EM Value funds hit record -8.7% underweight.
HDFC Bank is the most widely held stock, owned by 60.5% of funds, while a majority of Indian names, such as Reliance Industries, are underweighted by active GEM funds.


India:  Record Exposure Gives Rise to Caution

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ambuja-cements-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14745:1" rel="noopener">Ambuja Cements (ACEM IN)</a> to Acquire Penna Cement for Rs. 10,422 Crore</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/puravankara-projects-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15711:1" rel="noopener">Puravankara Projects (PURVA IN)</a> raising 1000 Cr via QIP and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vodafone-idea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15678:1" rel="noopener">Vodafone Idea (IDEA IN)</a> approved 2458 Cr Preferential allotment</li>
<li>Upcoming 53rd GST Council Meeting to Address Key Taxation Issues</li>
</ul>



Ambuja Cements (ACEM IN) to Acquire Penna Cement for Rs. 10,422 Crore

Puravankara Projects (PURVA IN) raising 1000 Cr via QIP and Vodafone Idea (IDEA IN) approved 2458 Cr Preferential allotment
Upcoming 53rd GST Council Meeting to Address Key Taxation Issues


#14 India Insight: Ambuja Acquiring Penna, Vodafone Idea & Purvankara Fundraise, L&T, GST

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

<ul>
<li>With the "Postcard" series, our objective is to bring to our readers on-ground insights based on interactions across key channels located in tier 2 and tier 3 locations.</li>
<li>Uttar Pradesh (UP) is crucial in Indian politics with the most Lok Sabha seats and has a diverse economy focused on agriculture, services, and manufacturing.</li>
<li>We are trying to be optimists, but it's hard to ignore the ground realities, especially when compared to a much less developed and smaller nation like Nepal. </li>
</ul>


With the "Postcard" series, our objective is to bring to our readers on-ground insights based on interactions across key channels located in tier 2 and tier 3 locations.
Uttar Pradesh (UP) is crucial in Indian politics with the most Lok Sabha seats and has a diverse economy focused on agriculture, services, and manufacturing.
We are trying to be optimists, but it's hard to ignore the ground realities, especially when compared to a much less developed and smaller nation like Nepal. 


Postcard from Uttar Pradesh | Addressing the Core

<ul>
<li>Overall, the surge in CAPEX in India reflects a positive outlook for the economy, with investments in infrastructure and emerging sectors driving growth and innovation.  come.</li>
<li>The strong balance sheet of companies and healthy tax collections further support this trend, indicating a sustainable path towards economic development. </li>
<li>As CAPEX continues to rise and investments in key sectors increase, India is poised for continued growth and prosperity in the years to</li>
</ul>


Overall, the surge in CAPEX in India reflects a positive outlook for the economy, with investments in infrastructure and emerging sectors driving growth and innovation.  come.
The strong balance sheet of companies and healthy tax collections further support this trend, indicating a sustainable path towards economic development. 
As CAPEX continues to rise and investments in key sectors increase, India is poised for continued growth and prosperity in the years to


Thematic Report: Capex Fueling Economic Growth and Development

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 13 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 42.3% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 32bn (US$384m). There are 13 stocks with over 0.5x ADV to trade, mostly on the deletes.</li>
<li>After steady outperformance over the last few months, there was a selloff in momentum names following the announcement of the election results. There has been a recovery since then.</li>
</ul>


There are 13 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June.
Estimated one-way turnover is 42.3% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 32bn (US$384m). There are 13 stocks with over 0.5x ADV to trade, mostly on the deletes.
After steady outperformance over the last few months, there was a selloff in momentum names following the announcement of the election results. There has been a recovery since then.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 13 Changes, 42% Turnover, Momentum Recovers After Selloff

India

Larsen & Toubro Ltd manufactures engineering equipment, undertakes large scale engineering projects, and acts as the Indian representative for a number of overseas manufacturers of heavy machinery. The Company's products include bulldozers, road rollers, dairy machinery, chemical and pharmaceutical plants, switchgears, food processing machinery and feed milling plants.

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Larsen & Toubro (LT IN)

India: Record Exposure Gives Rise to Caution

Despite record MSCI India highs, valuations keep India as a significant underweight for active EM managers. Underweights client to -2.44% versus...

Steven Holden

#14 India Insight: Ambuja Acquiring Penna, Vodafone Idea & Purvankara Fundraise, L&T, GST

Ambuja Cements to acquire Penna Cement, Puravankara raising 1k Cr via QIP, VI approved 2458 Cr Preferential allotment, upcoming GST Council...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Postcard from Uttar Pradesh | Addressing the Core

"Exploring the political and economic landscape of Uttar Pradesh through on-ground interactions in tier 2 and 3 locations, highlighting the...

Pranav Bhavsar

Thematic Report: Capex Fueling Economic Growth and Development

India's increasing CAPEX signals a positive economic outlook, supported by strong balance sheets and healthy tax collections. Continued growth and...

Sudarshan Bhandari

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 13 Changes, 42% Turnover, Momentum Recovers After Selloff

There are 13 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index. Estimated one-way turnover is 42.3% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 32bn. The adds...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

India: Record Exposure Gives Rise to Caution

Despite record MSCI India highs, valuations keep India as a significant underweight for active EM managers. Underweights client to -2.44% versus...

Steven Holden

#14 India Insight: Ambuja Acquiring Penna, Vodafone Idea & Purvankara Fundraise, L&T, GST

​Ambuja Cements to acquire Penna Cement, Puravankara raising 1k Cr via QIP, VI approved 2458 Cr Preferential allotment, upcoming GST Council...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Postcard from Uttar Pradesh | Addressing the Core

​"Exploring the political and economic landscape of Uttar Pradesh through on-ground interactions in tier 2 and 3 locations, highlighting the...

Pranav Bhavsar

Thematic Report: Capex Fueling Economic Growth and Development

​India's increasing CAPEX signals a positive economic outlook, supported by strong balance sheets and healthy tax collections. Continued growth and...

Sudarshan Bhandari

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 13 Changes, 42% Turnover, Momentum Recovers After Selloff

There are 13 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index. Estimated one-way turnover is 42.3% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 32bn. The adds...

Brian Freitas

Ambuja Cements to acquire Penna Cement, Puravankara raising 1k Cr via QIP, VI approved 2458 Cr Preferential allotment, upcoming GST Council...

"Exploring the political and economic landscape of Uttar Pradesh through on-ground interactions in tier 2 and 3 locations, highlighting the...

India's increasing CAPEX signals a positive economic outlook, supported by strong balance sheets and healthy tax collections. Continued growth and...