Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>In our February 6, 2023 EM Strategy, we discussed that we were buyers of the MSCI EM (EEM-US) on a pullback to the 50-day MA. </li>
<li>The pullback went a bit deeper but managed to hold at our $37.50 line-in-the-sand which we discussed in our recent ETF Pathfinder reports (Mar. 6 and Mar. 20, 2023).</li>
<li>The EEM-US displays a bullish 2-month downtrend reversal- add exposure. Signs continue to point to a topping DXY, and a declining DXY has historically resulted in EM outperformance (vs. EAFE).</li>
</ul>


In our February 6, 2023 EM Strategy, we discussed that we were buyers of the MSCI EM (EEM-US) on a pullback to the 50-day MA. 
The pullback went a bit deeper but managed to hold at our $37.50 line-in-the-sand which we discussed in our recent ETF Pathfinder reports (Mar. 6 and Mar. 20, 2023).
The EEM-US displays a bullish 2-month downtrend reversal- add exposure. Signs continue to point to a topping DXY, and a declining DXY has historically resulted in EM outperformance (vs. EAFE).


MSCI EM $EEM 2-Month Downtrend Reversal at Support -- Add Exposure. Upgrading Taiwan to Overweight

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 114.1% as of Mar 24th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 0.6ppt week on week, led by information technology, industrials, utilities and offset by communication services, consumer discretionary, energy.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Dongfang Electric, CEEC, Great Wall Motor.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 114.1% as of Mar 24th.
The average A-H premium changed by 0.6ppt week on week, led by information technology, industrials, utilities and offset by communication services, consumer discretionary, energy.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Dongfang Electric, CEEC, Great Wall Motor.


A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 24th): Dongfang Electric, CEEC, Great Wall Motor

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 24th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$1,685.1 million, led by industrials, information technology, health care sectors, and offset by energy, financials.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Boe Technology, Contemporary Amperex Technology, Kweichow Moutai, Shenzhen Inovance Technology, Luxshare Precision Industry, Hithink Royalflush Information Network, China Shenhua Energy, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Ping An Insurance.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 24th.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$1,685.1 million, led by industrials, information technology, health care sectors, and offset by energy, financials.
We highlight flows for Boe Technology, Contemporary Amperex Technology, Kweichow Moutai, Shenzhen Inovance Technology, Luxshare Precision Industry, Hithink Royalflush Information Network, China Shenhua Energy, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Ping An Insurance.


Northbound Flows (Mar 24th): Boe, CATL, Moutai, Shenzhen Inovance, Luxshare

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 113.5% as of Mar 17th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -1.6ppt week on week, led by consumer discretionary, consumer staples, information technology and offset by communication services.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Telecom, China Shenhua, Great Wall Motor, CEEC.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 113.5% as of Mar 17th.
The average A-H premium changed by -1.6ppt week on week, led by consumer discretionary, consumer staples, information technology and offset by communication services.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Telecom, China Shenhua, Great Wall Motor, CEEC.


A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 17th): China Telecom, China Shenhua, Great Wall Motor, CEEC

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Unemployment / In Depth: Solving China’s soaring youth unemployment</li><li>Politics / Communist Party rejigs human resources body leadership</li><li>Fine / Bohai Bank slapped with $2.5 million fine for 12 violations</li></ul>

Unemployment / In Depth: Solving China’s soaring youth unemploymentPolitics / Communist Party rejigs human resources body leadershipFine / Bohai Bank slapped with $2.5 million fine for 12 violations

CX Daily: Solving China’s Soaring Youth Unemployment

China

Zijin Mining Group Company Limited operates metal mineral resources exploration and mining businesses. The Company produces gold, copper, zinc, iron, and other base metals. Zijin Mining Group also conducts metal trade and investment businesses domestically and internationally.

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Zijin Mining Group (601899 CH)

MSCI EM $EEM 2-Month Downtrend Reversal at Support -- Add Exposure. Upgrading Taiwan to Overweight

Signs continue to point to a topping $DXY, and a declining DXY has historically resulted in EM outperformance (vs. $EAFE). Many ideas in China/Hong...

Vermilion Research

A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 24th): Dongfang Electric, CEEC, Great Wall Motor

We analyzed WoW changes in A-H premium and highlight changes in A-H premium for Dongfang Electric, CEEC, Great Wall Motor.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Mar 24th): Boe, CATL, Moutai, Shenzhen Inovance, Luxshare

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Boe, CATL, Moutai, Shenzhen Inovance, Luxshare.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 17th): China Telecom, China Shenhua, Great Wall Motor, CEEC

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Telecom, China Shenhua, Great Wall Motor, CEEC.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CX Daily: Solving China’s Soaring Youth Unemployment

In Depth: Solving China’s soaring youth unemployment. Communist Party rejigs human resources body leadership. Bohai Bank slapped with $2.5 million...

Caixin Global

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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